Relieved-Pence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

135

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$669

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 11-06 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

61% 58% +$20

Politics

32% 42% -$21

Sports

6% 20% -$9

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	4	$20	27	9	+17	Team Yandex	-$10	08-20 11:04
will trump say million or billion 15 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427271	2	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	+$9	08-07 19:44
will dollar be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	04-17 22:53
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	2	$15	20	0	+20	Yes	+$5	08-17 14:43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 15:42
will trump say jesus this week march 8	2	$12	14	14	+0	Yes	+$10	03-09 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	08-24 13:04
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$11	16	0	+16	Yes	+$6	10-27 15:05
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	2	$10	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-28 09:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	09-15 08:04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	2	$10	25	0	+25	No	-$10	10-20 19:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	2	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	08-26 14:29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	2	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-30 13:47
mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	2	$10	9	9	+0	Atlanta Braves	$0	08-20 12:53
Will Trump say "Regarded" this week?	2	$9	15	15	+0	No	-$1	05-06 08:22
will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034690	2	$8	12	12	+0	Yes	-$2	07-01 17:54
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$0	07-15 20:48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	1	$8	11	0	+11	Yes	+$3	10-26 18:42
will trump say made in america during no tax on tips roundtable	2	$8	21	0	+21	Yes	+$13	04-17 00:04
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$8	31	31	+0	open	—	08-20 12:53
will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	3	$6	9	3	+6	Yes	-$2	08-05 21:15
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	1	$6	15	0	+15	No	-$6	10-29 17:23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	09-09 18:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$2	10-16 07:49
will trump say sleepy joe during miami address	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	03-09 21:43
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	05-27 16:53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-27 14:29
will trump say stupid or low iq during meetings with chancellor merz	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 17:25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	10-13 12:10
will trump say ceasefire during monday press conference	2	$5	12	12	+0	No	-$5	03-09 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 11:09:00	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x9d7269…
11-06 11:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc8189f…
10-29 17:23:58	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" or "Deport" or "Deported" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x5f8001…
10-28 16:11:05	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb8147c…
10-28 11:15:25	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x24cd1f…
10-27 15:05:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x11d094…
10-27 14:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9feb00…
10-27 14:28:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xf06ee2…
10-26 18:42:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xdd5aa1…
10-26 10:13:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf5d3c8…
10-26 10:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x894cb7…
10-25 22:47:27	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xebd328…
10-22 09:57:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x275a07…
10-22 08:00:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4c6163…
10-20 19:33:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x86eb61…
10-20 16:33:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbc9ef7…
10-20 14:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa1ae35…
10-20 14:40:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc5eb85…
10-16 07:50:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x045a81…
10-16 07:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x3f06e6…
10-13 12:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5a2740…
10-13 12:10:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x43bf5d…
10-06 19:29:50	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe68ef8…
09-30 15:27:05	will trump say immigrant during hispanic heritage month celebration september 30	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x370aeb…
09-30 12:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcad9f2…
09-29 08:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3d2272…
09-24 07:47:23	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf4c6ae…
09-24 07:21:56	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xfa79cb…
09-22 09:01:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x274da6…
09-21 15:03:00	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x0810a8…
09-18 12:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x56eaca…
09-15 20:29:43	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6fa8d3…
09-15 08:05:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x361941…
09-15 08:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x47ff0c…
09-15 05:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb929fd…
09-09 18:15:24	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe1545e…
09-09 18:14:25	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xdfe64b…
09-09 13:02:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xafcdc9…
08-31 14:06:45	atp landalu fearnle 2026 08 30	Martin Landaluce	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x498f4b…
08-30 13:48:21	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xedd677…
08-30 13:47:28	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf9460e…
08-30 13:47:18	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4083f3…
08-29 07:46:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe85c37…
08-29 07:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x41f4ad…
08-28 09:07:25	will trump say china or chinese during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x5be537…
08-27 09:07:27	will trump say communication during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xda5f1c…
08-26 20:46:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x311afc…
08-26 14:29:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf1f4e6…
08-26 11:35:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xa32eae…
08-24 13:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9c8f0d…
08-24 10:20:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb02752…
08-20 12:53:48	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0xdaa37c…
08-20 12:53:48	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xd6a498…
08-20 12:08:04	will trump or melania say afford affordable affordability during remarks in the white house rose garden	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x28eaa2…
08-20 11:04:21	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1404cc…
08-20 11:04:09	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdc0264…
08-20 10:35:55	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x3c0526…
08-19 16:13:00	dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20	Team Liquid	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfa8cde…
08-19 11:28:55	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2dc3a6…
08-17 14:43:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x8c8045…
08-17 13:44:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x968b1d…
08-17 09:36:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xecfef2…
08-17 08:50:12	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x8f5884…
08-14 12:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x621960…
08-11 15:25:39	atp mensik shelton 2026 08 11	Ben Shelton	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc7e77d…
08-07 19:44:48	will trump say million or billion 15 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427271	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf333f3…
08-06 11:05:45	will trump say million or billion 15 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427271	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xceb628…
08-05 21:15:32	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x34604d…
08-05 20:37:35	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x44e5dc…
08-05 20:34:03	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3f807d…
07-30 16:46:08	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during announcement on freedom haulers 20260730133922112	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb266f1…
07-15 20:48:37	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x9c3d13…
07-15 20:46:44	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xfa4215…
07-14 11:00:01	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd04ed0…
07-12 09:38:46	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x30eebf…
07-11 19:55:13	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x16cbbb…
07-09 23:27:26	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x23239d…
07-08 11:12:31	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1c06bf…
07-06 15:42:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x07fd0c…
07-06 15:12:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0x6038f2…
07-03 11:29:53	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xfc5e7a…
07-03 11:29:19	will the announcers say ronaldo during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236646	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcb8de8…
07-01 17:54:19	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034690	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xd06dfb…
07-01 17:50:04	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfc8c08…
07-01 17:38:50	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xdce177…
07-01 16:30:37	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034690	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8d9729…
06-18 11:20:59	will the announcers say what a save during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456429	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x67c2cc…
06-13 10:43:18	will mrbeast say cash during his next youtube video 20260609182228653	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9ead80…
06-11 10:48:31	will ai be said 50 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260605165706064	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdff3d7…
06-04 20:50:36	will trump say fossil or fuel during coal announcement 20260604130800085 346	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4199f1…
06-02 17:44:24	Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x87ef2d…
05-28 11:27:57	Will Vance say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5b1c31…
05-28 11:27:43	Will Vance say "Commitment" during Air Force Academy Address?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbf2f85…
05-27 16:53:18	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x587516…
05-27 11:08:40	will xi be said on the lemonade stand podcast	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x17f79d…
05-21 09:21:18	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Covid" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x9ae18e…
05-20 16:33:29	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf13a95…
05-20 16:15:46	Will Trump say "Fighter" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x969a3a…
05-20 14:25:05	Will Trump say "Fighter" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3f8305…
05-19 09:36:59	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x72e329…