Melodic-Cymbal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$56.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$375

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-14 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$59

Other

0% 82% -$7

Politics

0% 60% -$8

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-10	-$9	82¢	$-8	+$0	10-14 18:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	15	$13.1K	6,561	6,557	+4	Yes	+$0	03-18 04:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	2	$10.6K	5,325	5,325	+0	Yes	+$16	05-21 21:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	42	$10.2K	6,335	3,877	+2,458	Yes	+$9	05-21 12:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	7	$7.7K	5,300	2,403	+2,897	Yes	+$8	05-21 15:13
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	4	$6.5K	3,277	3,272	+5	Yes	+$0	03-18 10:25
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	35	$5.0K	2,308	2,752	-445	No	+$17	03-17 12:11
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	3	$3.3K	2,800	500	+2,300	Yes	+$7	03-17 12:15
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-25 23:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$9	5	4	+1	No	+$0	04-08 00:41
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	4	$9	6	4	+1	No	+$0	03-30 15:54
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	10-14 18:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 02:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$7	5	2	+3	No	+$0	05-18 02:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	02-24 22:03
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	02-20 08:34
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-22 21:45
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	-$6	02-16 13:37
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-16 19:49
will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-18 18:28
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	04-11 19:30
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-12 10:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$5	4	1	+3	Yes	+$0	03-29 02:08
nvda close above 170 on april 6 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	04-04 10:53
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-07 15:02
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$4	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-11 13:02
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	-$4	02-26 14:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	-$4	05-15 00:32
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	02-28 03:26
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-23 07:20
will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	03-18 00:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 18:56:09	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x813b69…
05-21 21:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	5,325	100¢	$5,320	0x84ffa2…
05-21 15:25:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5,325	100¢	$5,304	0x6da37f…
05-21 15:13:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1,696	100¢	$1,694	0xe63299…
05-21 15:13:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	707	100¢	$706	0xb2edc3…
05-21 14:19:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,657	100¢	$1,653	0xe9b60f…
05-21 14:17:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x0f7ed3…
05-21 14:14:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d9981…
05-21 14:01:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0x0cd815…
05-21 13:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3,284	100¢	$3,277	0x55dd83…
05-21 12:55:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1fb0ca…
05-21 11:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	517	100¢	$516	0xf27a75…
05-21 11:26:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	483	100¢	$483	0xe672c5…
05-21 11:09:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x9628b4…
05-21 10:37:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x60514b…
05-21 10:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x769220…
05-21 10:19:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xc8ae96…
05-21 10:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,094	100¢	$1,093	0x9768f4…
05-21 10:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xad4844…
05-21 10:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x33fbd2…
05-21 10:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,376	100¢	$1,375	0x2c8d0b…
05-21 08:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x141c60…
05-21 08:02:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x9c3cd0…
05-21 08:00:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf6bb73…
05-21 06:57:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xab13ef…
05-21 06:55:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x351b32…
05-21 06:54:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x653de9…
05-21 06:52:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x7adf74…
05-21 06:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x94d646…
05-21 06:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x282eda…
05-21 06:47:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x383b39…
05-21 06:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x41c6cd…
05-21 06:44:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x189d1b…
05-21 06:43:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xaf3552…
05-21 06:42:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x39239f…
05-21 06:41:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe25e6e…
05-21 06:40:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x50e301…
05-21 06:38:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xa3b9a5…
05-21 06:37:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xe73ec3…
05-21 06:36:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x1e6f39…
05-21 06:35:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xadd692…
05-21 06:34:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x7b523c…
05-21 06:32:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x7deaa6…
05-21 06:31:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xa73da6…
05-21 06:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x507424…
05-21 06:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1dff80…
05-21 06:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe52862…
05-21 06:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9d1ead…
05-21 06:26:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdac1d8…
05-21 06:25:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50d80f…
05-21 06:23:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5cb9c5…
05-21 02:44:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2,443	100¢	$2,438	0x9b2abd…
05-18 02:44:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x628209…
05-15 00:32:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x0b968e…
05-11 05:56:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x490949…
04-22 21:45:16	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9d97b7…
04-19 13:02:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xaffea1…
04-16 19:49:36	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x14887a…
04-12 10:36:53	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbd383…
04-11 19:30:07	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8b9fce…
04-11 13:02:43	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x952060…
04-08 00:41:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x9718b6…
04-04 10:53:03	nvda close above 170 on april 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x188e8b…
03-31 13:44:57	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc4df18…
03-30 15:54:23	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5a8551…
03-29 02:08:22	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78f9ff…
03-25 23:47:25	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf7af29…
03-24 07:34:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x783157…
03-23 07:20:41	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xbd266d…
03-19 16:17:11	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x924873…
03-18 23:42:43	prince andrew charged by march 31	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x249c11…
03-18 10:25:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x7f73a1…
03-18 10:21:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	2,934	100¢	$2,928	0x5b8e45…
03-18 10:11:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x42a533…
03-18 08:46:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	3,277	100¢	$3,270	0xb6e2a2…
03-18 04:56:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x77d84d…
03-18 04:56:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x01d06d…
03-18 04:47:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc81e98…
03-18 04:47:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x09c722…
03-18 04:47:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x83498c…
03-18 04:47:23	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x147c34…
03-18 04:47:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x90c1e8…
03-18 04:47:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x00a376…
03-18 04:39:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	2,715	100¢	$2,709	0xd8de4d…
03-18 04:22:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	3,276	100¢	$3,269	0x0e0196…
03-18 03:52:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x326857…
03-18 03:52:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x114543…
03-18 03:52:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf7e1c8…
03-18 03:52:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	SELL	3,082	100¢	$3,076	0xf9dee1…
03-18 03:29:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 20	Yes	BUY	3,285	100¢	$3,278	0x226656…
03-18 00:36:21	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xaeaad1…
03-17 12:15:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x818af3…
03-17 12:14:23	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x00206e…
03-17 12:11:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0d3049…
03-17 12:10:47	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcf88ae…
03-17 12:10:45	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x388e81…
03-17 12:09:35	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xdf44b0…
03-17 12:08:51	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x3e778e…
03-17 12:08:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xedd7a5…
03-17 12:07:33	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x156987…