Knobby-Politician — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

30 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$36.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.21K

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-27 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 50% +$72

Other

50% 80% -$9

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$18.1K	9,080	9,080	+0	No	-$9	05-06 00:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$18.1K	9,080	9,080	+0	No	-$9	05-05 12:16
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-23 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	1	$10	100	0	+100	Up	+$90	05-06 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	7	$8	600	0	+600	Down	-$8	05-06 04:57
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	03-31 06:10
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-26 02:08
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	01-26 02:08
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	02-23 06:16
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-27 00:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-27 00:55
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-26 02:08
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 683	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-23 06:17
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-31 06:10
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-27 00:13
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-27 00:12
will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-31 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	4	$1	700	0	+700	Up	-$1	05-06 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 00:19:45	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x801de1…
07-27 00:55:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac15d8…
06-27 00:13:29	Will Bruno Fernandes win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x26b964…
06-27 00:12:31	Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7ed348…
05-06 12:18:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6b7fc2…
05-06 05:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf52843…
05-06 04:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x2005ea…
05-06 04:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xac8389…
05-06 04:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe23243…
05-06 04:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa02aed…
05-06 04:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x51c2c4…
05-06 04:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe3715f…
05-06 04:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0xf87c0f…
05-06 01:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x216bb0…
05-06 01:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x4f2aa0…
05-06 01:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	432	0¢	$0	0x27f635…
05-06 01:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x403d70…
05-06 00:39:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9,080	100¢	$9,044	0x3f7ee4…
05-05 23:38:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9,080	100¢	$9,053	0x9af700…
05-05 12:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	9,080	100¢	$9,035	0x19601f…
05-04 23:43:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	9,080	100¢	$9,044	0xd6ee94…
03-31 06:10:59	will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x800735…
03-31 06:10:31	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x332357…
03-31 06:10:03	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x82b83a…
02-23 06:17:36	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 683	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x48e2be…
02-23 06:16:52	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x7d147f…
02-23 06:16:36	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6df179…
01-26 02:08:32	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c4003…
01-26 02:08:22	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8893e3…
01-26 02:08:16	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb92cd5…