Warm-Size — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,972

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-08 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 7% $-15

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771992900	1	$126	132	0	+132	open	—	02-25 04:18
xrp updown 5m 1773886200	4	$117	69	68	+1	open	—	03-19 02:15
btc updown 5m 1771990200	6	$95	59	59	+1	open	—	02-25 03:35
btc updown 5m 1773886500	6	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	03-19 02:20
btc updown 5m 1771991700	3	$89	55	54	+1	open	—	02-25 04:00
xrp updown 5m 1773880200	7	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	03-19 00:35
btc updown 5m 1771980000	13	$77	54	53	+1	open	—	02-25 00:45
btc updown 5m 1771863600	13	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 16:24
sol updown 5m 1773879600	7	$76	44	44	+0	open	—	03-19 00:25
btc updown 5m 1771985700	6	$75	1,338	5	+1,333	open	—	02-25 02:18
btc updown 5m 1771991400	1	$66	76	0	+76	open	—	02-25 03:54
sol updown 5m 1773880800	6	$63	38	37	+0	open	—	03-19 00:45
btc updown 5m 1773890700	3	$60	36	36	+0	open	—	03-19 03:30
btc updown 5m 1771988400	7	$60	49	23	+26	open	—	02-25 03:04
btc updown 5m 1771989600	10	$59	72	7	+64	open	—	02-25 03:24
btc updown 5m 1771977900	7	$56	80	35	+45	open	—	02-25 00:10
btc updown 5m 1773881100	6	$55	77	0	+77	open	—	03-19 00:49
btc updown 5m 1773883200	4	$54	33	33	+0	open	—	03-19 01:25
eth updown 5m 1773887700	4	$54	39	29	+10	open	—	03-19 02:40
btc updown 5m 1772018100	6	$52	34	33	+0	open	—	02-25 11:19
eth updown 5m 1773892200	3	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	03-19 03:55
btc updown 5m 1773888000	4	$50	73	0	+73	open	—	03-19 02:44
sol updown 5m 1773882600	6	$50	39	31	+8	open	—	03-19 01:15
btc updown 15m 1774233000	12	$49	67	63	+4	open	—	03-23 02:45
sol updown 5m 1773891900	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-19 03:49
btc updown 5m 1771867200	8	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 17:25
sol updown 5m 1773882900	4	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	03-19 01:20
btc updown 5m 1772212500	10	$41	29	24	+5	open	—	02-27 17:19
btc updown 5m 1771977600	6	$40	523	23	+500	open	—	02-25 00:06
btc updown 5m 1771987200	5	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	02-25 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:00:53	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xba4850…
05-06 07:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xb2b589…
05-06 07:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x357ad3…
05-06 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf95627…
05-06 07:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf3da28…
05-06 06:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x77b79f…
05-06 06:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x11e4b7…
05-06 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xeee35d…
05-06 05:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xf67c91…
05-06 05:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6fb896…
05-06 03:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x878c2e…
05-06 03:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xedfeb6…
05-06 02:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x8c367c…
05-06 02:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x271a36…
05-06 02:27:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0xc484a4…
05-06 02:27:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xda6d87…
05-06 01:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x777ad1…
05-06 01:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdeae65…
05-06 01:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0xcecd6a…
05-06 01:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xf02459…
05-06 01:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x0ec601…
05-06 01:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xec9c16…
05-06 01:23:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xea36a7…
05-06 01:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x7b0107…
05-06 01:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x9a52a7…
05-06 01:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0ea0ef…
05-06 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x11857c…
05-06 00:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbceaed…
05-03 23:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x83b961…
05-03 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x873616…
05-03 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x98956d…
05-03 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x830fbf…
05-03 15:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe4fc25…
05-03 15:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x47c862…
05-03 04:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5fbe23…
05-03 03:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xd1d0ca…
05-03 03:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe31b62…
05-03 03:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x02e0fd…
05-03 03:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x58f6b7…
05-03 03:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb62b41…
05-03 03:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x668224…
05-03 03:25:04	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc3cba9…
05-03 03:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xbc3744…
05-03 03:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1b74d1…
05-03 03:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x21ff14…
05-03 03:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4ebd84…
05-03 03:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x98d475…
05-03 03:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x926334…
05-03 03:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x0efb17…
05-03 03:14:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x2ee34a…
05-03 03:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93623d…
05-03 03:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe77080…
05-03 03:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x231ba9…
05-03 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4b2e38…
05-03 02:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xf0a8b0…
05-03 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x86e7ab…
05-02 19:59:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xa9f63f…
05-02 19:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xeb760a…
05-02 19:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x1f9699…
05-02 19:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x82f0bf…
05-02 09:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x0fecf2…
05-02 09:27:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2a90d8…
05-02 09:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8f3908…
05-02 09:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xd4ae74…
05-02 09:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x669571…
05-02 09:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x635884…
05-02 08:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x78bb68…
05-02 08:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x1f8bee…
05-02 08:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x54d659…
05-02 08:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x84e836…
05-02 08:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x586189…
05-02 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xec53a7…
05-02 08:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x0e25ea…
05-02 08:26:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x330501…
05-02 08:26:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1260e1…
05-02 08:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7b031b…
05-02 08:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x507148…
05-02 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x61e6ef…
05-02 08:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x642cf6…
05-02 08:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x909597…
05-02 08:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x79ee3e…
05-02 08:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7040f8…
05-02 08:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x91258e…
05-02 08:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x6f1a93…
05-02 08:17:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x06bbfd…
05-02 08:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x305c39…
05-02 07:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x58ae72…
05-02 07:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x80ac02…
05-02 07:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x65d0b8…
05-02 07:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe4424c…
05-02 07:39:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xf9d8d8…
05-02 07:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x259690…
05-02 06:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x0b9f9a…
05-02 06:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3d19ac…
05-02 06:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa4375c…
05-02 06:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xedd22f…
05-02 05:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbd17c1…
05-02 05:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1634cd…
05-02 05:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x358395…
05-02 05:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x07b8d8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	854	$22.6K	2,238	04-26 16:22
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	676	$1.78K	3,087	04-26 16:25
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	673	$390.5K	26,190	03-31 02:13
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	645	$9.69K	1,281	05-06 07:45
(anonymous) 0xf095…7ba8	619	$1.79K	4,228	03-22 15:49
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	613	$2.53M	22,609	04-02 03:24
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	608	$506	1,466	05-06 03:35
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	604	$42.7K	14,842	05-06 07:43