Orange-Conservative — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-27 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 100% +$1

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$226	226	+226	open	—	05-27 12:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$226	226	+226	open	—	05-25 12:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	1	$225	226	+226	open	—	05-24 12:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$225	225	+225	open	—	05-23 13:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	1	$225	225	+225	open	—	05-21 12:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	1	$225	225	+225	open	—	05-20 13:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$225	225	+225	open	—	05-19 13:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$224	225	+225	open	—	05-18 12:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	1	$224	224	+224	open	—	05-15 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	1	$224	224	+224	open	—	05-14 12:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	1	$223	224	+224	No	+$0	05-12 12:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	1	$223	223	+223	Yes	+$0	05-11 12:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	1	$223	223	+223	open	—	04-26 12:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$223	223	+223	Yes	+$0	05-10 12:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	1	$223	223	+223	No	+$0	05-09 12:23
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$223	223	+223	open	—	04-23 11:15
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$222	223	+223	open	—	04-22 12:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$222	223	+223	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:29
bitcoin above 72k on april 21	1	$222	222	+222	open	—	04-21 12:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	1	$222	222	+222	Yes	+$0	05-05 13:03
bitcoin above 72k on april 20	1	$222	222	+222	open	—	04-20 13:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	1	$222	222	+222	open	—	05-04 14:17
bitcoin above 78k on april 19	1	$222	222	+222	open	—	04-19 13:08
bitcoin above 74k on april 18	1	$221	222	+222	open	—	04-18 13:01
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	1	$220	221	+221	open	—	04-17 12:16
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	1	$220	220	+220	open	—	04-16 12:30
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$220	220	+220	open	—	04-15 12:51
bitcoin above 72k on april 14	1	$219	220	+220	open	—	04-14 13:34
bitcoin above 74k on april 13	1	$219	219	+219	open	—	04-13 12:50
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$218	219	+219	open	—	04-11 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 13:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde838d…
05-27 12:29:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0xb16ac4…
05-25 13:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x874b14…
05-25 12:43:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0xecff8d…
05-24 13:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e9b3b…
05-24 12:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0x815902…
05-23 13:23:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xe05232…
05-21 12:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x2ca426…
05-20 13:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x939b8b…
05-19 13:11:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x8dd829…
05-18 12:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x7ec62c…
05-15 13:45:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x5d673a…
05-14 12:28:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xd93dce…
05-12 12:25:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0x65f0dc…
05-11 12:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x239528…
05-10 12:33:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0xda995f…
05-09 12:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0xe52a10…
05-06 13:19:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe8cabb…
05-06 12:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x6c2c55…
05-05 13:03:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x7a617a…
05-04 14:17:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x73ff98…
04-30 14:32:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7f9071…
04-30 12:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x20d4da…
04-27 13:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaca2ac…
04-26 12:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x1d5bf5…
04-23 11:15:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x3658d7…
04-22 12:52:22	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x476576…
04-21 12:42:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x887f3b…
04-20 13:42:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xe85979…
04-19 13:08:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x01f5b2…
04-18 13:01:50	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x3e3dee…
04-17 12:16:28	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	221	100¢	$220	0xe9db71…
04-16 12:30:18	bitcoin above 72k on april 16	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x586e61…
04-15 12:51:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x4974e9…
04-14 13:34:07	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x06abe7…
04-13 12:50:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x6aed14…
04-11 12:51:01	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0x57b1ff…
04-10 12:14:13	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x34f396…
04-09 13:51:39	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0xc18e56…
04-08 12:40:01	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0xd58019…
04-03 12:10:53	bitcoin above 70k on april 3	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x2ed553…
03-31 12:51:59	bitcoin above 70k on march 31	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0xa0aec4…
03-30 14:15:35	bitcoin above 70k on march 30	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0xa5c1a9…
03-29 13:46:54	bitcoin above 68k on march 29	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x140e2b…
03-27 12:53:41	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xea29c9…
03-26 13:15:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 26	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0xfdf4d5…
03-24 13:25:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 24	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xb815fe…
03-23 13:22:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x7236b3…
03-22 13:00:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0xa41036…
03-20 12:45:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x56b414…
03-19 12:42:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 19	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x28dadf…
03-17 13:39:31	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x5d1cb9…
03-16 12:06:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0xf99421…
03-11 14:14:19	bitcoin above 66k on march 11	Yes	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xb7e435…
03-10 14:02:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xd43308…
03-06 14:47:49	bitcoin above 72k on march 6	No	BUY	213	99¢	$212	0x5d5a0a…
03-04 15:00:57	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xe1a518…
03-04 13:53:03	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6a448c…
03-03 14:22:09	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0x5d3641…
02-17 13:55:33	bitcoin above 62k on february 17	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x0a5dbc…
02-14 14:43:37	bitcoin above 74k on february 14	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x3536cf…
02-13 13:17:57	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xbc5930…
02-12 14:36:13	bitcoin above 62k on february 12	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xb232b0…
02-10 16:18:05	bitcoin above 66k on february 10	Yes	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xfdf392…
02-09 15:12:49	bitcoin above 74k on february 9	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x971278…
02-08 15:52:11	bitcoin above 74k on february 8	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xa1bb49…
02-07 15:47:01	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 90 114	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xa8cefc…
01-14 13:27:44	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 140 159	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xd6514f…
01-12 05:09:12	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	27	39¢	$11	0x194786…
01-12 05:09:10	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	27	60¢	$16	0x737986…