Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-03 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

43% 76% -$1,955

Tech

37% 100% +$64

Politics

19% 90% +$221

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	8	$3.5K	1,784	1,784	+0	No	+$16	03-13 14:15
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$1.7K	4,468	0	+4,468	No	-$1,728	03-13 14:22
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	2	$586	298	298	+0	Yes	+$2	09-03 16:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$459	254	254	+0	No	+$33	03-04 04:16
will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	3	$425	215	215	+0	No	+$4	03-13 13:19
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	3	$398	242	242	+0	No	+$10	03-12 18:33
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	2	$352	243	243	+0	Yes	+$2	08-29 20:19
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	2	$302	304	304	+0	No	-$284	09-03 19:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$250	140	140	+0	Yes	+$30	03-01 05:31
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	2	$235	239	0	+239	No	+$4	08-19 15:18
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	1	$233	292	0	+292	Yes	+$59	08-29 20:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	2	$232	235	0	+235	No	+$3	08-13 21:10
usisrael strike yemen by march 7	2	$215	117	117	+0	No	+$15	03-09 06:09
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	2	$203	104	104	+0	No	+$3	03-05 04:20
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	1	$200	311	0	+311	Yes	+$111	03-04 04:32
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	1	$193	232	0	+232	Yes	+$39	07-22 17:21
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	2	$143	75	75	+0	Yes	+$3	03-01 05:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$127	104	104	+0	Yes	+$77	02-28 07:01
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$125	74	74	+0	Yes	+$21	02-28 07:01
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	2	$121	212	212	+0	No	+$2	08-29 20:18
deepseek v4 released by march 21	2	$120	495	0	+495	No	-$120	03-13 14:18
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$120	62	62	+0	No	+$3	03-09 06:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$107	57	57	+0	No	+$7	03-16 18:30
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$104	65	65	+0	No	+$7	03-05 04:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$102	55	55	+0	No	+$2	03-12 05:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	03-10 21:37
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	3	$72	2,342	2,342	+0	No	-$48	03-14 18:40
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	1	$69	74	0	+74	No	+$4	03-18 07:42
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$65	38	38	+0	No	+$5	03-12 05:14
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	2	$44	30	30	+0	No	+$4	03-12 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 19:51:54	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	3¢	$9	0x2edf21…
09-03 16:33:58	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	97¢	$293	0x406b52…
09-03 16:33:24	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	298	99¢	$294	0xe91c3d…
09-03 07:24:42	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	98¢	$292	0xf971a3…
08-29 20:19:57	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	80¢	$233	0x38454d…
08-29 20:19:10	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	73¢	$177	0x6c3676…
08-29 20:18:09	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	29¢	$61	0xe822ec…
08-28 10:04:01	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	28¢	$60	0x0a6fff…
08-28 10:03:43	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	72¢	$175	0x887162…
08-19 15:18:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a11aa…
08-19 15:17:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	238	98¢	$234	0xdef9e2…
08-13 21:10:19	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x35fc77…
08-13 21:09:48	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0x85cc6d…
07-22 17:21:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	Yes	BUY	232	83¢	$193	0x9a71d7…
03-18 07:42:53	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	74	94¢	$69	0x54985a…
03-16 18:30:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc1eac4…
03-14 18:40:01	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	SELL	2,342	1¢	$12	0x64fe4b…
03-13 14:22:47	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	4,077	39¢	$1,603	0x4a5d16…
03-13 14:18:45	deepseek v4 released by march 21	Yes	BUY	375	27¢	$100	0xc8da5c…
03-13 14:17:21	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	1,752	3¢	$50	0x9d25e6…
03-13 14:15:33	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	SELL	1,784	98¢	$1,753	0x58072e…
03-13 14:04:21	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	392	32¢	$125	0x707ad6…
03-13 14:03:53	deepseek v4 released by march 21	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0x0a9c66…
03-13 14:03:03	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	590	2¢	$10	0x197939…
03-13 13:19:51	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0xa9690e…
03-13 13:19:29	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xf67914…
03-12 18:34:37	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	209	97¢	$204	0x429980…
03-12 18:33:33	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	242	84¢	$204	0x8da846…
03-12 14:04:17	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	79	85¢	$67	0x1ad9f8…
03-12 13:24:01	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	288	97¢	$280	0xfb873a…
03-12 13:20:05	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x57cd0c…
03-12 08:23:53	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x848eef…
03-12 08:18:37	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x1a231d…
03-12 07:52:03	will claude 5 be released by march 15 2026	No	BUY	115	98¢	$112	0x8c84c8…
03-12 07:49:25	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0xf0f6c5…
03-12 07:47:03	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	356	98¢	$349	0x0c68e4…
03-12 05:15:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xfcf36b…
03-12 05:14:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0x2ef652…
03-12 05:14:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xef66dc…
03-12 05:14:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	SELL	38	94¢	$35	0xcd7e13…
03-11 22:02:13	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	164	78¢	$127	0xad4b7a…
03-11 21:49:33	Claude 4.7 released by March 15?	No	BUY	424	96¢	$407	0xa0a942…
03-10 21:37:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x503365…
03-10 21:34:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf2848c…
03-10 07:55:51	will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	Yes	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xe1201f…
03-10 07:55:35	will trump say peanut this week march 15	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xf82d25…
03-10 07:55:21	will trump say radical left this week march 15	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x632df0…
03-10 07:55:15	will trump say rigged or stolen this week march 15	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x585795…
03-10 06:53:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc3e263…
03-10 06:53:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x06e308…
03-10 06:53:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x28acb1…
03-09 21:44:09	will trump say epic fury during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x024515…
03-09 21:44:03	will trump say nuclear 3 times during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0652f3…
03-09 21:05:19	will trump say gas or gasoline during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5007fb…
03-09 21:03:47	will trump say middle east during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfb17ac…
03-09 21:03:05	will trump say hormuz during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8e1afc…
03-09 21:02:49	will trump say israel 3 times during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3ca80a…
03-09 21:02:33	will trump say oil 5 times during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x087256…
03-09 21:02:11	will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6cf9af…
03-09 20:56:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x9bac36…
03-09 20:24:07	will trump say democrat 5 times during miami address	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xdf974f…
03-09 20:19:29	will trump say joe or biden 7 times during miami address	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe7f607…
03-09 20:16:21	will trump say delcy or rodrguez during miami address	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xca7096…
03-09 20:15:31	will trump say america first during miami address	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xff149a…
03-09 20:15:05	will trump say manufacture or manufacturing during miami address 756	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x0a6d0d…
03-09 20:13:27	will trump say president xi during miami address	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xa5ba79…
03-09 20:13:05	will trump say pakistan during miami address	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc1cb03…
03-09 06:09:35	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	No	SELL	117	99¢	$115	0x5db835…
03-09 06:09:31	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0x1dc911…
03-05 18:15:31	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	BUY	62	95¢	$58	0x413d28…
03-05 18:15:03	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x95df04…
03-05 04:23:19	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	65	85¢	$55	0xdc32a9…
03-05 04:20:55	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	No	SELL	104	100¢	$103	0xceae6d…
03-04 04:57:49	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	65	74¢	$48	0xb801cd…
03-04 04:57:11	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xcbd493…
03-04 04:32:53	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	BUY	311	64¢	$200	0xed7d25…
03-04 04:16:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	254	97¢	$246	0xec4e01…
03-01 18:44:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	254	84¢	$213	0xf3377a…
03-01 05:32:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	SELL	75	97¢	$73	0x6dd62a…
03-01 05:31:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x509fc5…
02-28 16:46:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	140	78¢	$110	0xaa97e6…
02-28 16:45:43	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xe2c938…
02-28 07:01:55	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	272	2¢	$4	0x2c6eaa…
02-28 07:01:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x682467…
02-28 07:01:03	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0xd5174f…
02-28 06:59:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0xc7c4ab…
02-27 14:41:35	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	70¢	$52	0x47aecd…
02-27 14:39:49	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xbeabb3…
02-27 14:39:25	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	272	9¢	$25	0xea1cc5…