Cold-Parliament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$7.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 10-31 16:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

99% 40% -$153

Crypto

1% 25% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	4	$1.4K	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	+$118	10-24 13:20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$799	737	737	+0	Yes	-$9	10-24 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$602	554	554	+0	No	-$48	10-20 13:04
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$578	318	318	+0	Over	+$57	10-24 12:59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$546	1,502	1,502	+0	No	-$8	10-24 11:51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$374	693	693	+0	Yes	-$61	10-20 06:47
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	4	$265	173	173	+0	Yes	+$78	10-21 20:32
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	4	$256	174	174	+0	Over	+$58	10-21 20:46
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	3	$233	186	186	+0	Yes	+$61	09-26 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$195	1,884	1,884	+0	No	-$94	10-20 11:59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$186	118	118	+0	Yes	+$14	10-24 14:20
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	3	$175	188	188	+0	Yes	+$55	10-21 17:55
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	2	$155	223	223	+0	Under	-$135	10-31 16:45
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	3	$147	279	279	+0	No	+$60	10-20 20:40
San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 2.5	2	$145	88	88	+0	Over	+$32	09-26 16:37
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	2	$115	123	123	+0	No	-$61	10-24 15:14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	1	$100	278	0	+278	BetBoom Team	-$100	10-24 13:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$85	62	62	+0	Yes	+$37	10-20 20:52
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	1	$76	293	0	+293	No	-$76	09-27 20:47
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	2	$75	58	58	+0	Yes	+$40	09-25 20:45
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	2	$61	36	36	+0	Yes	+$10	10-24 15:25
Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	2	$59	62	62	+0	Under	-$1	10-21 18:51
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	2	$57	96	96	+0	No	-$11	10-24 17:39
Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan: Lithuania O/U 1.5	2	$52	79	79	+0	Under	$0	09-27 07:57
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	2	$52	35	35	+0	No	+$7	10-20 17:00
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	2	$46	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	10-20 17:01
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	3	$43	165	53	+112	Arsenal FC	-$23	05-30 14:46
Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?	2	$42	163	0	+163	No	-$42	09-27 18:51
Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 4 Galatasaray SK?	2	$31	77	77	+0	Yes	+$7	10-21 18:06
Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	2	$31	23	23	+0	Over	+$14	10-20 20:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:58:03	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	138	9¢	$12	0x00ffed…
10-31 16:54:22	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8f53fb…
10-31 16:45:42	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x588cd2…
10-31 16:45:10	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	223	4¢	$10	0xe3c382…
10-31 14:56:28	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	223	65¢	$145	0xac1323…
10-24 17:39:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	96	24¢	$23	0x805d00…
10-24 15:27:59	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$34	0xb93c22…
10-24 15:25:45	Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xeca1a4…
10-24 15:15:38	Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xf118e3…
10-24 15:14:21	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	123	22¢	$27	0x87cd8e…
10-24 14:32:21	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	123	72¢	$88	0x1a788a…
10-24 14:20:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0x98ffbf…
10-24 13:48:00	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	118	73¢	$86	0x8329ee…
10-24 13:42:45	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xe1b3bd…
10-24 13:20:24	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	450	93¢	$418	0xb08826…
10-24 13:14:41	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	450	79¢	$355	0x5eda58…
10-24 13:08:00	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	553	66¢	$365	0xf4885f…
10-24 13:00:05	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	553	56¢	$309	0xfd5e7d…
10-24 12:59:32	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	318	100¢	$317	0xed2319…
10-24 11:54:00	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	318	82¢	$261	0x6c7f7e…
10-24 11:51:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,502	18¢	$269	0x04ce67…
10-24 11:47:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	491	20¢	$98	0xc1fde9…
10-24 11:47:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	334	31¢	$103	0x02e14d…
10-24 11:45:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	482	19¢	$91	0x1554a9…
10-24 11:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb02be0…
10-24 11:45:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	334	30¢	$100	0x0161c1…
10-24 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x1fcb06…
10-24 11:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa0a120…
10-24 11:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0aaf8d…
10-24 11:40:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	277	73¢	$202	0x9e5b41…
10-24 11:38:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	528	17¢	$88	0xc336b7…
10-24 11:38:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	125	73¢	$91	0xac00ef…
10-23 14:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	123	8¢	$10	0x7f5b90…
10-23 14:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xd44404…
10-23 14:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x6719b6…
10-23 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac7437…
10-23 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x7af517…
10-23 14:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0x564590…
10-23 14:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x8239cd…
10-23 14:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x99a76c…
10-23 14:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x381315…
10-21 20:59:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	402	76¢	$304	0x03e0f5…
10-21 20:46:09	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0x916ba9…
10-21 20:32:50	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0xc1815c…
10-21 18:51:44	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0x6275c9…
10-21 18:51:20	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	62	47¢	$29	0x893700…
10-21 18:39:50	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	32	56¢	$18	0x8109e6…
10-21 18:39:41	Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xece604…
10-21 18:39:23	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	83	59¢	$49	0x095dae…
10-21 18:10:41	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 5 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0xd50064…
10-21 18:06:12	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 4 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	SELL	77	25¢	$19	0x5a2de1…
10-21 17:59:08	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 4 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	77	15¢	$12	0x873841…
10-21 17:55:30	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	188	61¢	$115	0xe6a1c2…
10-21 16:05:32	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x3edb3a…
10-21 16:05:18	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0xd4edcc…
10-21 13:38:35	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	92	52¢	$48	0x8e3465…
10-21 13:38:14	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x3b915a…
10-21 13:34:14	Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0xc01fe2…
10-21 13:11:48	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x5bbd7a…
10-21 11:16:39	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x493a2b…
10-20 20:52:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$61	0xdecc1b…
10-20 20:40:33	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	279	37¢	$103	0x34ce2e…
10-20 20:27:26	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	135	16¢	$22	0x630217…
10-20 20:26:21	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc185f6…
10-20 20:03:03	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	144	15¢	$22	0x87e73f…
10-20 20:00:15	Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0xde1d6a…
10-20 19:53:23	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xd7ff32…
10-20 18:48:32	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x949bd6…
10-20 18:48:09	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0x27b992…
10-20 18:47:54	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x01cfe7…
10-20 18:47:33	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x998e0d…
10-20 17:13:45	Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xafa295…
10-20 17:13:27	Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0x4f517e…
10-20 17:07:59	Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	13¢	$9	0x26ed70…
10-20 17:06:48	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x39cf98…
10-20 17:06:30	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x0c7096…
10-20 17:06:12	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0x6b3903…
10-20 17:01:21	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x0865b7…
10-20 17:00:27	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	35	84¢	$30	0x0cfae1…
10-20 13:05:51	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	28	76¢	$21	0xf0989f…
10-20 13:05:12	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x9bf699…
10-20 13:04:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	58¢	$45	0x823f9f…
10-20 12:00:47	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	63¢	$49	0x5243bd…
10-20 11:59:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,884	3¢	$50	0xfa054e…
10-20 06:48:34	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,884	8¢	$144	0x4a3dde…
10-20 06:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	693	23¢	$157	0x333cf6…
10-19 20:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	693	31¢	$218	0xbf7b3a…
10-19 20:47:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	477	49¢	$232	0x73759a…
10-19 17:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	477	58¢	$277	0x93906b…
09-27 20:47:39	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	293	26¢	$76	0x89e9a1…
09-27 18:58:30	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0x07185c…
09-27 18:51:00	Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0x5302f0…
09-27 18:48:00	Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	26¢	$24	0xc15c7f…
09-27 07:57:39	Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan: Lithuania O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	79	33¢	$26	0x5eca4d…
09-26 22:01:35	Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan: Lithuania O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x6e7281…
09-26 20:42:18	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x9bf5d3…
09-26 20:21:03	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	149	74¢	$110	0x7562f8…
09-26 18:11:59	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	186	46¢	$86	0x79858c…
09-26 16:37:59	San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xe68740…
09-25 22:35:30	San Marino vs. Finland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0x473a1d…