Cruel-Simplicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

373

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-13 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% -$59

Other

6% 36% -$14

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:00 UTC	16	$29	33	32	+2	Up	+$8	03-31 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:50 UTC	5	$24	28	28	+0	Up	+$9	03-30 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-27 22:26
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	3	$21	50	50	+0	No	+$1	06-12 20:56
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	05-27 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:55 UTC	6	$17	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	03-30 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:15 UTC	11	$17	37	33	+4	Down	+$1	03-30 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:45 UTC	10	$17	43	38	+5	Up	-$5	03-31 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	6	$16	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	05-29 20:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:40 UTC	15	$16	21	18	+3	Up	+$1	03-30 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	7	$16	15	12	+3	Down	+$3	05-29 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:15 UTC	11	$15	15	14	+1	Down	+$1	03-31 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:20 UTC	7	$15	16	15	+1	Down	+$6	03-31 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	8	$15	271	71	+200	Up	-$5	06-13 12:34
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-27 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$15	22	22	+0	Down	+$3	05-29 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$15	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-29 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	5	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 12:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	7	$14	14	11	+3	Up	+$1	06-13 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	7	$14	34	22	+12	Up	-$2	05-29 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	6	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	06-13 12:19
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-27 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 21:00 UTC	10	$14	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	03-30 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:20 UTC	6	$13	35	35	+0	Up	-$1	03-30 20:23
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-27 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:40 UTC	9	$13	25	24	+1	Up	+$1	03-31 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:15 UTC	6	$13	13	12	+0	Down	+$3	03-30 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 06:25 UTC	6	$13	17	16	+1	Down	+$1	03-31 06:28
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-27 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-27 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 22:16:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x94b17a…
10-13 22:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb5250d…
10-13 22:05:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb10b3c…
10-13 21:44:09	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x598685…
10-13 21:43:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x19b487…
10-13 21:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x13da87…
10-13 21:39:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f2b0e…
10-13 21:39:04	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x2a22c7…
10-13 21:37:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9cf4cd…
10-13 21:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xbdfe4c…
10-13 21:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xac05bc…
10-13 21:26:22	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x54327f…
10-13 21:20:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x32dd51…
10-13 21:20:21	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc3500c…
10-13 21:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x5c0979…
10-13 21:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe96e8d…
10-13 21:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xa7c5af…
10-13 21:05:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbba757…
10-13 21:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xcc5d67…
10-13 21:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9298ca…
10-13 20:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x34316a…
10-13 20:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x52b641…
10-13 20:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf917bd…
10-13 20:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x840d85…
10-13 20:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2a61a…
10-13 20:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0a1d20…
10-13 20:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Down	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0x02bc18…
10-13 20:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x207268…
10-13 20:40:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x48f069…
10-13 20:40:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x912336…
10-11 19:31:54	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x180eb1…
09-22 20:14:07	Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Gianluca Cadenasso	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x64420b…
09-22 20:05:24	San Diego 2: Evan Zhu vs Henry Searle	Evan Zhu	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x3ae09f…
09-22 19:59:03	Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Matthew William Donald	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x060f4e…
09-22 19:56:10	San Diego 2: Evan Zhu vs Henry Searle	Evan Zhu	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x04f9ab…
09-22 19:46:42	Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x493bd6…
09-22 19:39:30	Genoa 2: Matthew William Donald vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Matthew William Donald	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdd3989…
09-04 19:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xdb2343…
09-04 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1605ce…
06-13 14:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3334cc…
06-13 14:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8ab36c…
06-13 14:07:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x118b09…
06-13 13:59:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x72777e…
06-13 13:59:06	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x016b2e…
06-13 13:55:30	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xe350e9…
06-13 13:55:22	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xddd0db…
06-13 13:54:36	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x76eba8…
06-13 13:53:46	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdaff26…
06-13 13:36:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x45cb62…
06-13 13:35:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc87e38…
06-13 13:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x54c4dc…
06-13 13:15:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7cdc6e…
06-13 13:14:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc3c44a…
06-13 13:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa67d80…
06-13 13:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0f2ea6…
06-13 13:05:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x462eb2…
06-13 12:55:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x754f9f…
06-13 12:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x3c72c3…
06-13 12:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8d98c4…
06-13 12:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x0f05b4…
06-13 12:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x966c78…
06-13 12:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x37701c…
06-13 12:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf5aa66…
06-13 12:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x2ef895…
06-13 12:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7b6e34…
06-13 12:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xc9c8c7…
06-13 12:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xefd066…
06-13 12:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xe03948…
06-13 12:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd04558…
06-13 12:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xfb0d19…
06-13 12:35:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa74bdc…
06-13 12:34:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xee2f02…
06-13 12:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x218730…
06-13 12:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1fbafe…
06-13 12:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x6d4209…
06-13 12:31:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x56f6ca…
06-13 12:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x0dd0ff…
06-13 12:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x22ebe6…
06-13 12:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6d8050…
06-13 12:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x828a38…
06-13 12:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcb3cee…
06-13 12:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x4bd4a7…
06-13 12:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xece67c…
06-13 12:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x196de8…
06-13 12:23:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xffcaf4…
06-13 12:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x87ee5d…
06-13 12:22:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x1629a7…
06-13 12:21:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0d8740…
06-13 12:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x78c15b…
06-13 12:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8b743b…
06-13 12:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xbbb2c4…
06-13 12:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xfb267d…
06-13 12:19:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa3f71c…
06-13 12:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb81fda…
06-13 12:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xb27037…
06-13 12:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa1f780…
06-13 12:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x1a0cad…
06-13 12:12:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x943e31…
06-13 12:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6dc906…
06-12 20:56:52	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0xcd2187…