Knowing-Straw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

192

Trades

2,225

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-07 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 57% $-27

Other

15% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	4	$184	140	140	+0	open	—	07-02 02:03
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	2	$144	94	94	+0	open	—	07-01 21:49
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	2	$136	91	91	+0	open	—	06-28 20:54
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$99	83	83	+0	open	—	07-03 17:13
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$97	91	91	+0	open	—	07-06 21:53
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$95	251	251	+0	open	—	07-07 10:23
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	2	$88	59	59	+0	open	—	06-29 18:19
eth updown 15m 1783118700	2	$86	47	47	+0	open	—	07-03 22:59
sol updown 5m 1783147500	2	$82	62	62	+0	open	—	07-04 06:49
sol updown 15m 1783120500	2	$82	92	69	+23	open	—	07-03 23:27
sol updown 15m 1783124100	3	$81	56	56	+0	open	—	07-04 00:28
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	2	$74	89	89	+0	open	—	06-30 02:11
btc updown 15m 1783118700	2	$71	42	42	+0	open	—	07-03 22:59
btc updown 5m 1782971100	3	$71	57	57	+0	open	—	07-02 05:49
sol updown 15m 1783127700	2	$67	55	41	+14	open	—	07-04 01:19
btc updown 5m 1782939300	2	$61	42	42	+0	open	—	07-01 21:00
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$60	117	0	+117	open	—	06-30 03:38
btc updown 5m 1782782700	2	$58	38	38	+0	open	—	06-30 01:29
btc updown 5m 1782970500	2	$57	38	38	+0	open	—	07-02 05:38
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte2	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	07-04 00:16
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 12pt5	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	07-04 23:01
btc updown 5m 1782947400	3	$54	39	39	+0	open	—	07-01 23:14
sol updown 5m 1783147200	2	$54	34	34	+0	open	—	07-04 06:44
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	06-29 23:12
btc updown 5m 1782969300	4	$51	118	118	+0	open	—	07-02 05:16
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 btts	1	$50	114	0	+114	open	—	07-04 01:36
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	2	$50	118	0	+118	open	—	07-01 22:40
btc updown 15m 1783202400	2	$50	45	34	+11	open	—	07-04 22:05
btc updown 5m 1782969600	2	$47	39	29	+10	open	—	07-02 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$39	43	20	+23	Up	$-0	05-10 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 10:33:46	btc updown 5m 1783420500	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x5f23a8…
07-07 10:32:44	btc updown 5m 1783420200	Up	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0x91dba2…
07-07 10:23:47	btc updown 5m 1783419900	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x40ad49…
07-07 10:23:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	251	13¢	$33	0xb959dc…
07-07 10:21:04	btc updown 5m 1783419600	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x567a18…
07-06 23:21:08	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x8ea78f…
07-06 23:20:43	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 first corner	United States	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x385797…
07-06 22:54:49	btc updown 5m 1783378500	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7ab76d…
07-06 22:52:28	btc updown 5m 1783378200	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x74547b…
07-06 22:45:41	btc updown 5m 1783377900	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x030239…
07-06 22:41:49	btc updown 5m 1783377600	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7a92d0…
07-06 22:38:10	btc updown 5m 1783377300	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4644bd…
07-06 22:28:08	btc updown 5m 1783377000	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc12c7f…
07-06 22:16:31	btc updown 5m 1783376100	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4b5b4d…
07-06 21:55:28	btc updown 5m 1783374900	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1caf10…
07-06 21:53:05	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	SELL	91	52¢	$47	0x3c91de…
07-06 21:19:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	90	25¢	$22	0x82f05f…
07-06 21:03:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x481d1e…
07-06 21:02:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x5f08a1…
07-06 17:49:58	btc updown 5m 1783359900	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9142f7…
07-06 17:49:23	btc updown 5m 1783359900	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x4fac81…
07-06 17:49:10	eth updown 15m 1783359900	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x229007…
07-06 17:46:23	btc updown 5m 1783359900	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xda7d0e…
07-06 17:00:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x89245e…
07-06 16:54:04	sol updown 5m 1783356600	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x962d40…
07-06 16:47:53	btc updown 5m 1783356300	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x525ebb…
07-06 11:47:32	btc updown 5m 1783338300	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xed7e88…
07-06 11:28:23	eth updown 5m 1783337100	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe5034f…
07-05 23:32:20	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x743f25…
07-05 22:19:41	btc updown 5m 1783290000	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xec9570…
07-05 22:12:46	btc updown 5m 1783289700	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x72d8af…
07-05 22:12:34	eth updown 5m 1783289700	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7d0a4b…
07-05 22:08:05	eth updown 5m 1783289100	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x65edbb…
07-05 22:03:56	sol updown 5m 1783289100	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9b4e60…
07-05 21:58:43	sol updown 5m 1783288800	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x174629…
07-05 21:33:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xdcc513…
07-05 21:30:16	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x83343b…
07-05 21:29:35	btc updown 5m 1783286700	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x06e690…
07-05 21:28:58	btc updown 5m 1783286700	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3e076f…
07-05 21:26:37	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xffa457…
07-05 16:47:41	btc updown 5m 1783269900	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c3098…
07-05 15:14:53	f1 british grand prix driver podium russell 2026 07 05	No	SELL	24	89¢	$21	0xda6bc3…
07-05 14:14:13	f1 british grand prix driver podium leclerc 2026 07 05	No	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x7a9c16…
07-05 14:04:49	sol updown 5m 1783260000	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4dd158…
07-05 14:04:19	sol updown 5m 1783260000	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xd9eff1…
07-05 14:01:46	sol updown 5m 1783260000	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd84e9d…
07-05 13:58:49	bnb updown 5m 1783259700	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd34971…
07-05 13:58:35	eth updown 5m 1783259700	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbdbfec…
07-05 13:58:25	btc updown 5m 1783259700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa911e8…
07-05 11:09:59	btc updown 5m 1783249500	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x45a125…
07-05 11:06:41	btc updown 5m 1783249500	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xafc547…
07-05 11:01:29	sol updown 5m 1783249200	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x30c01d…
07-05 10:56:43	btc updown 5m 1783248900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9be14f…
07-05 10:56:19	eth updown 5m 1783248900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c013e…
07-05 10:55:02	btc updown 5m 1783248600	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xaee6e0…
07-05 10:52:56	eth updown 5m 1783248600	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3783fd…
07-05 10:51:04	btc updown 5m 1783248600	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0f2f66…
07-05 10:46:37	eth updown 5m 1783248300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd15d4b…
07-05 10:45:56	btc updown 5m 1783248300	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xff5884…
07-05 10:43:29	f1 british grand prix driver podium leclerc 2026 07 05	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc31e94…
07-05 10:42:47	f1 british grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 05	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xed7fa6…
07-05 10:42:23	f1 british grand prix driver podium russell 2026 07 05	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfff947…
07-05 10:41:50	btc updown 5m 1783248000	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc7a942…
07-05 10:41:38	eth updown 5m 1783248000	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x71aa4c…
07-05 10:41:20	sol updown 5m 1783248000	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4d0eff…
07-05 10:38:44	sol updown 5m 1783247700	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc0c336…
07-05 10:38:28	btc updown 5m 1783247700	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xad9113…
07-05 10:38:11	eth updown 5m 1783247700	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x34e815…
07-05 10:32:50	btc updown 5m 1783247400	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x794d9e…
07-05 10:32:26	sol updown 5m 1783247400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1a59e…
07-05 10:29:43	eth updown 15m 1783246500	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x595bbf…
07-05 01:04:26	btc updown 5m 1783213200	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdf3330…
07-05 01:03:49	btc updown 5m 1783213200	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1a262c…
07-05 00:51:53	btc updown 5m 1783212600	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x10fd2e…
07-05 00:51:32	sol updown 5m 1783212600	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x449004…
07-05 00:51:19	eth updown 5m 1783212600	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2aa2c7…
07-05 00:49:53	sol updown 5m 1783212300	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc86107…
07-05 00:46:50	sol updown 5m 1783212300	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf04ab2…
07-05 00:41:34	bnb updown 15m 1783211400	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x19c7eb…
07-05 00:40:26	eth updown 15m 1783211400	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6992c8…
07-05 00:39:10	mlb phi kc 2026 07 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x98ede7…
07-04 23:01:37	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 12pt5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xcef65a…
07-04 22:59:40	btc updown 15m 1783205100	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xca41cd…
07-04 22:52:35	btc updown 15m 1783205100	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2a70a8…
07-04 22:40:13	btc updown 15m 1783204200	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x879735…
07-04 22:22:22	btc updown 15m 1783203300	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfeedd8…
07-04 22:20:59	btc updown 5m 1783203600	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd37eaa…
07-04 22:19:02	xrp updown 5m 1783203300	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7fe810…
07-04 22:17:10	btc updown 5m 1783203300	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3d9531…
07-04 22:05:50	btc updown 15m 1783202400	Down	SELL	34	88¢	$30	0x00cfd4…
07-04 22:02:23	sol updown 5m 1783202400	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x25cee3…
07-04 22:01:11	btc updown 15m 1783202400	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf05b43…
07-04 21:53:58	xrp updown 15m 1783201500	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdd578d…
07-04 21:53:46	btc updown 5m 1783201800	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2cebd0…
07-04 21:45:22	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc9c9b3…
07-04 13:26:20	btc updown 5m 1783171500	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd02416…
07-04 13:20:29	btc updown 15m 1783171800	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x0d4b5e…
07-04 13:15:59	btc updown 5m 1783170900	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf065e9…
07-04 11:34:14	eth updown 15m 1783164600	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf4aaf7…
07-04 11:33:56	xrp updown 15m 1783164600	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xea2bcf…