Knowing-Straw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

192

Trades

1,955

lifetime

Volume

$6.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-30 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 57% $-27

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	2	$136	91	91	+0	open	—	06-28 20:54
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	2	$88	59	59	+0	open	—	06-29 18:19
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	2	$74	89	89	+0	open	—	06-30 02:11
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$60	117	0	+117	open	—	06-30 03:38
btc updown 5m 1782782700	2	$58	38	38	+0	open	—	06-30 01:29
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	2	$53	33	33	+0	open	—	06-29 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$39	43	20	+23	Up	$-0	05-10 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$35	41	41	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 03:49
btc updown 5m 1782663600	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	06-28 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$34	31	30	+2	open	—	04-25 09:29
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$30	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$30	30	30	+0	Up	+$10	05-10 09:57
btc updown 5m 1782530100	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$28	26	26	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 09:23
btc updown 5m 1782810600	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	06-30 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 03:37
btc updown 5m 1776223500	5	$25	25	23	+1	open	—	04-15 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$23	65	65	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 10:21
btc updown 5m 1776315900	2	$23	18	18	+1	open	—	04-16 05:07
btc updown 5m 1776265800	6	$23	19	18	+1	open	—	04-15 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776165900	3	$23	20	19	+1	open	—	04-14 11:29
btc updown 5m 1782793800	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	06-30 04:34
btc updown 5m 1776229800	5	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-15 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776233400	2	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-15 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$22	29	10	+19	open	—	05-21 03:27
btc updown 5m 1776237900	5	$22	20	19	+1	open	—	04-15 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776240300	2	$21	17	16	+1	open	—	04-15 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$21	30	16	+15	Down	$-9	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	5	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-25 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:55:56	btc updown 5m 1782824100	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7a746b…
06-30 12:53:41	btc updown 5m 1782823800	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x648555…
06-30 12:47:07	btc updown 5m 1782823500	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x65a7fc…
06-30 12:40:17	btc updown 5m 1782823200	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4913c1…
06-30 12:39:59	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x562a0a…
06-30 12:39:43	eth updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb04d4b…
06-30 12:35:46	btc updown 5m 1782822900	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x804cb1…
06-30 12:32:47	btc updown 5m 1782822600	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x018e0e…
06-30 12:29:56	btc updown 5m 1782822300	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x10a727…
06-30 12:23:50	btc updown 5m 1782822000	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2d59e5…
06-30 12:21:38	btc updown 5m 1782822000	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x92f90b…
06-30 10:59:20	btc updown 15m 1782817200	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3194a1…
06-30 10:52:11	eth updown 15m 1782816300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x989d6b…
06-30 10:51:11	btc updown 5m 1782816600	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x007639…
06-30 10:34:49	btc updown 5m 1782815700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x622b37…
06-30 10:20:44	btc updown 5m 1782814800	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x46792e…
06-30 10:20:05	btc updown 5m 1782814500	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc30943…
06-30 10:15:28	btc updown 5m 1782814500	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x916ccc…
06-30 10:06:50	btc updown 5m 1782813900	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x02cab5…
06-30 10:06:25	btc updown 5m 1782814200	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59c378…
06-30 10:03:29	sol updown 15m 1782813600	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9c17aa…
06-30 10:00:38	btc updown 5m 1782813600	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9d2608…
06-30 09:55:49	btc updown 5m 1782813300	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfdae26…
06-30 09:53:25	btc updown 15m 1782812700	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x52a81d…
06-30 09:52:38	btc updown 5m 1782813000	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3fa9f4…
06-30 09:50:46	btc updown 5m 1782813000	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x682457…
06-30 09:47:47	btc updown 5m 1782812700	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1c08f7…
06-30 09:41:05	btc updown 5m 1782812400	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x312a21…
06-30 09:28:16	btc updown 5m 1782811500	Down	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x5aa658…
06-30 09:21:46	btc updown 5m 1782811200	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf5b90d…
06-30 09:15:16	btc updown 5m 1782810900	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x18403b…
06-30 09:13:32	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x6817d3…
06-30 09:09:13	btc updown 5m 1782810600	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6d21d9…
06-30 08:45:31	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x3a5b7b…
06-30 08:39:20	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xcf3f5d…
06-30 08:25:04	btc updown 5m 1782807900	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5cde0a…
06-30 04:40:08	btc updown 5m 1782794400	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3a9535…
06-30 04:36:59	btc updown 5m 1782794100	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x85bdfe…
06-30 04:34:19	btc updown 5m 1782793800	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xaf3ef9…
06-30 04:31:32	btc updown 5m 1782793800	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcda345…
06-30 04:10:20	btc updown 5m 1782792600	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xbed174…
06-30 04:05:32	btc updown 5m 1782792300	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x7c0805…
06-30 03:55:22	btc updown 5m 1782791700	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x1d3239…
06-30 03:38:11	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3a438c…
06-30 03:12:07	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xffc3b5…
06-30 03:07:55	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x2ed334…
06-30 02:36:38	btc updown 15m 1782786600	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x105aaf…
06-30 02:33:52	sol updown 15m 1782786600	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x236801…
06-30 02:28:19	btc updown 5m 1782786300	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x34f9b0…
06-30 02:25:14	btc updown 5m 1782786300	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x99a8b4…
06-30 02:21:58	btc updown 5m 1782786000	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2e1946…
06-30 02:17:49	eth updown 5m 1782785700	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd034b4…
06-30 02:17:26	btc updown 5m 1782785700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa7c354…
06-30 02:11:14	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	89	27¢	$24	0x5bb729…
06-30 02:09:04	btc updown 5m 1782785100	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe7337a…
06-30 01:29:35	btc updown 5m 1782782700	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x966bf6…
06-30 01:25:31	btc updown 5m 1782782700	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xf7be57…
06-30 01:21:05	btc updown 5m 1782782400	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfea887…
06-30 01:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782781200	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x63217a…
06-30 00:56:58	btc updown 5m 1782780900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa2e530…
06-30 00:48:38	btc updown 5m 1782780600	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xad5c0e…
06-30 00:42:17	btc updown 5m 1782780000	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdb363a…
06-30 00:22:44	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x56cff0…
06-30 00:10:25	btc updown 5m 1782778200	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x520041…
06-30 00:06:43	btc updown 5m 1782777900	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x9979c3…
06-30 00:03:44	btc updown 5m 1782777600	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x442838…
06-29 23:55:59	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x45a1e8…
06-29 23:55:17	btc updown 5m 1782777300	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0aa876…
06-29 23:51:58	btc updown 5m 1782777000	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x630349…
06-29 23:20:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4ea23a…
06-29 23:12:26	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x808df7…
06-29 22:57:10	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9aa46f…
06-29 18:19:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x873c77…
06-29 15:21:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x8b5956…
06-29 13:59:55	btc updown 15m 1782740700	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x58019c…
06-29 13:59:17	sol updown 15m 1782740700	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x77f391…
06-29 13:57:49	btc updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa662ff…
06-29 13:51:13	sol updown 15m 1782740700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5d7d1e…
06-29 13:42:29	btc updown 5m 1782740700	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x098573…
06-29 13:35:11	btc updown 5m 1782740100	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdea4d8…
06-29 13:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782739800	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd015ac…
06-29 13:27:28	btc updown 5m 1782739500	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7af30e…
06-29 12:46:44	btc updown 5m 1782737100	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb951d9…
06-29 12:43:38	btc updown 5m 1782736800	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6e03e0…
06-29 12:35:32	btc updown 5m 1782736500	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2a6086…
06-29 12:22:08	btc updown 5m 1782735600	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb6a942…
06-29 12:11:55	btc updown 5m 1782735000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5f5eb6…
06-28 23:46:26	btc updown 5m 1782690300	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x05b41f…
06-28 21:32:28	eth updown 15m 1782682200	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xaab9a7…
06-28 21:30:25	btc updown 5m 1782682200	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6df6f6…
06-28 21:26:11	btc updown 5m 1782681900	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc7259a…
06-28 21:12:50	btc updown 5m 1782681000	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb435fb…
06-28 20:54:53	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	SELL	91	95¢	$86	0x0377f9…
06-28 17:15:52	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x0d430c…
06-28 16:57:25	btc updown 5m 1782665700	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1bf27a…
06-28 16:52:38	btc updown 5m 1782665400	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xcdf5d5…
06-28 16:40:34	btc updown 5m 1782664800	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0d7ebd…
06-28 16:24:49	btc updown 5m 1782663900	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5fa5b6…
06-28 16:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782663600	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x769cdc…
06-28 16:20:43	btc updown 5m 1782663600	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x92b941…