Knowing-Straw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

192

Trades

1,800

lifetime

Volume

$4.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-26 07:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% $-27

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 236 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$39	43	20	+23	Up	$-0	05-10 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	7	$35	41	41	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$34	31	30	+2	open	—	04-25 09:29
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$30	22	21	+1	open	—	04-25 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$30	30	30	+0	Up	+$10	05-10 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$28	26	26	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 03:37
btc updown 5m 1776223500	5	$25	25	23	+1	open	—	04-15 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$23	65	65	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 10:21
btc updown 5m 1776315900	2	$23	18	18	+1	open	—	04-16 05:07
btc updown 5m 1776265800	6	$23	19	18	+1	open	—	04-15 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776165900	3	$23	20	19	+1	open	—	04-14 11:29
btc updown 5m 1776229800	5	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-15 05:15
btc updown 5m 1776233400	2	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-15 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$22	29	10	+19	open	—	05-21 03:27
btc updown 5m 1776237900	5	$22	20	19	+1	open	—	04-15 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776240300	2	$21	17	16	+1	open	—	04-15 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	5	$21	30	16	+15	Down	$-9	05-10 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	5	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-25 12:03
btc updown 5m 1776067800	2	$21	17	16	+1	open	—	04-13 08:15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	04-25 10:49
btc updown 5m 1776245400	2	$20	16	15	+1	open	—	04-15 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$19	24	12	+12	Up	+$11	05-10 09:54
eth updown 5m 1776245400	2	$19	15	14	+1	open	—	04-15 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$18	16	15	+0	open	—	04-25 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$17	22	22	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 03:44
btc updown 5m 1776223800	3	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	04-15 03:33
btc updown 5m 1776224400	4	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	04-15 03:45
btc updown 5m 1776315000	4	$17	27	26	+1	open	—	04-16 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 07:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x2ae759…
05-26 06:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xb18bdd…
05-26 06:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e675d…
05-26 06:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbfff31…
05-26 06:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9badfc…
05-26 06:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x223386…
05-26 06:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xde11f9…
05-26 04:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x8bf360…
05-26 04:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xb81200…
05-26 04:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x49af95…
05-26 04:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa5c8d6…
05-26 04:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa6a659…
05-26 04:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xae3070…
05-26 04:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x104745…
05-26 04:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2ee17c…
05-26 04:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2ffa4b…
05-26 04:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd6dd6d…
05-26 04:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbdb60b…
05-26 04:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x139146…
05-26 04:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c21c3…
05-26 03:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa93c45…
05-26 03:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe45738…
05-26 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xad4c8a…
05-26 03:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc4d181…
05-26 03:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x2b1782…
05-26 03:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc5c69f…
05-26 03:51:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2068a8…
05-26 03:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9db7be…
05-26 03:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xcf64c2…
05-26 03:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x199b69…
05-26 03:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1c106b…
05-26 03:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x977869…
05-26 03:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xf13864…
05-26 03:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xe24354…
05-26 03:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89dd3b…
05-26 03:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x09cd70…
05-26 03:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x46f944…
05-26 03:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x69d35c…
05-26 03:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xb045de…
05-26 03:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x259c20…
05-26 03:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x42f3f4…
05-26 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1033c9…
05-26 03:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x06d30d…
05-26 03:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe8e24e…
05-26 02:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x2f45f1…
05-26 02:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdc7ca4…
05-21 03:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7a1442…
05-21 03:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb2ff3c…
05-21 03:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xf490a2…
05-21 03:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x749065…
05-21 03:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x230087…
05-21 03:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xcf30fa…
05-21 03:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf41c2b…
05-21 03:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7193a0…
05-21 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x803a88…
05-21 03:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x02bdf2…
05-21 03:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc29737…
05-21 03:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x91d0b8…
05-21 02:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x17f551…
05-21 02:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd17125…
05-20 17:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbaae8f…
05-20 17:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd81b7e…
05-20 17:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x04228a…
05-20 17:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x11e3c0…
05-20 17:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x823ef7…
05-20 17:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0945f7…
05-20 17:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f4352…
05-20 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2c3d14…
05-20 16:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x639da3…
05-20 16:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4f6b8b…
05-20 16:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2d03e3…
05-20 16:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x942fe7…
05-20 16:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x26089a…
05-20 16:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb76653…
05-20 16:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x090d99…
05-20 16:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x7995e6…
05-20 16:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x321a56…
05-20 16:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x5cf67a…
05-20 16:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd9b72d…
05-20 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdd2013…
05-20 16:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x6f54af…
05-20 16:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8fcfc6…
05-20 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x810cca…
05-20 15:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xea04a5…
05-20 15:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x11542d…
05-20 15:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3f0ebc…
05-20 15:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0ffdee…
05-20 15:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaa83a8…
05-20 15:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x77860a…
05-20 15:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9928d7…
05-20 15:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbf8f9d…
05-20 15:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x0f4600…
05-20 15:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2a4833…
05-20 15:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2a9eca…
05-20 15:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2718b1…
05-20 15:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc78418…
05-20 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf507b4…
05-20 15:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xdf469d…
05-20 15:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x54b49e…
05-20 15:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21d48b…