Fickle-Pledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-08 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 0% $-1

Sports

27% 100% +$4

Other

12% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	05-15 13:58
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-15 13:58
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	07-07 23:12
btc updown 15m 1783502100	3	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	07-08 09:28
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5am et	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	07-08 09:38
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total home 1pt5	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	07-06 01:46
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	2	$5	10	10	+0	open	—	07-07 17:57
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	07-06 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-16 18:33
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$4	8	0	+8	Spurs	+$4	05-08 20:05
btc updown 5m 1783377000	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	07-06 22:34
btc updown 5m 1783377300	2	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	07-06 22:35
btc updown 5m 1774171500	2	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	03-22 09:30
btc updown 15m 1783503000	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	07-08 09:33
btc updown 5m 1783376700	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	07-06 22:27
btc updown 5m 1774171200	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	03-22 09:23
btc updown 5m 1783303800	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	07-06 02:10
btc updown 15m 1783503900	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	07-08 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 18:23
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	07-06 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-29 09:55
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-09 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 13:28
btc updown 5m 1774171800	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	03-22 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:45:37	btc updown 15m 1783503900	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf65aed…
07-08 09:38:49	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa5e291…
07-08 09:33:29	btc updown 15m 1783503000	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xe85281…
07-08 09:30:13	btc updown 15m 1783503000	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xb8df93…
07-08 09:28:53	btc updown 15m 1783502100	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb3302c…
07-08 09:21:41	btc updown 15m 1783502100	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd0eec0…
07-08 09:15:05	btc updown 15m 1783502100	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xada35f…
07-08 09:14:19	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7fecb0…
07-07 23:12:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x44592f…
07-07 17:57:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x227891…
07-07 17:34:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x089b4e…
07-06 22:50:29	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x15ed56…
07-06 22:35:58	btc updown 5m 1783377300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x100785…
07-06 22:35:37	btc updown 5m 1783377300	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xdd6b0c…
07-06 22:34:40	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xca5575…
07-06 22:34:23	btc updown 5m 1783377000	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xe9ff18…
07-06 22:30:22	btc updown 5m 1783377000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xce2b36…
07-06 22:27:49	btc updown 5m 1783376700	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xb9435e…
07-06 22:24:59	btc updown 5m 1783376700	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe87ebd…
07-06 21:23:44	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4b6a4d…
07-06 21:11:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x319c1e…
07-06 21:08:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6efbd6…
07-06 02:10:23	btc updown 5m 1783303800	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb07433…
07-06 01:46:28	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xf46cc2…
05-16 18:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xc5615d…
05-16 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc0b04a…
05-16 18:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa83216…
05-16 18:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e3680…
05-16 18:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1736c3…
05-16 18:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x68cdc7…
05-15 13:58:45	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd9fa22…
05-15 13:58:36	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0xaebb08…
05-09 20:13:46	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x919202…
05-08 20:05:33	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x6e7813…
05-07 20:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x78cc7b…
04-30 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x14c2f4…
04-30 12:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb0ba45…
04-30 12:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x021941…
04-30 12:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf1ae0e…
04-30 12:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x69433e…
04-30 10:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c996e…
04-29 09:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x93da08…
04-29 09:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb696ee…
04-29 09:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd3ff34…
04-29 09:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb99935…
04-29 09:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2fc4e0…
04-29 09:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x729417…
04-29 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd15c14…
04-28 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe7a6a6…
04-28 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6c8a31…
04-28 13:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x481d2a…
04-28 13:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb8d79…
04-28 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a5235…
04-28 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe1d6ee…
03-22 09:34:25	btc updown 5m 1774171800	Down	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xea41eb…
03-22 09:33:39	btc updown 5m 1774171800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9e2579…
03-22 09:30:17	btc updown 5m 1774171500	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa3e8dc…
03-22 09:27:01	btc updown 5m 1774171500	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x440f3c…
03-22 09:23:07	btc updown 5m 1774171200	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x49e8d6…
03-22 09:21:35	btc updown 5m 1774171200	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xb9218f…
03-22 09:20:25	btc updown 5m 1774171200	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b600e…