Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$283

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

109

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-14

last 11-13 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 59% -$296

Other

5% 40% +$4

Politics

3% 100% +$9

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	+20	$15	74¢	$15	+$0	11-13 07:50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+10	$6	64¢	$6	$0	11-13 07:51
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	12¢	$2	+$1	11-05 07:43
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-10 06:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:25 UTC	7	$237	156	156	+0	Up	+$17	08-15 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 02:05 UTC	13	$216	1,633	1,633	+0	Down	-$184	08-15 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:05 UTC	14	$211	371	371	+0	Down	+$11	08-14 14:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 02:30 UTC	2	$186	100	100	+0	Up	+$10	08-15 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:20 UTC	46	$170	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$50	08-14 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 04:30 UTC	12	$122	200	200	+0	Up	+$12	08-15 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 01:50 UTC	2	$119	99	99	+0	Down	+$33	08-15 01:52
bitcoin up or down on august 14 2026	2	$110	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	-$110	08-14 10:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$95	100	0	+100	Yes	+$5	10-28 15:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 08:35 UTC	5	$84	60	50	+10	Up	$0	08-16 08:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 05:15 UTC	15	$78	400	0	+400	Down	-$78	08-15 05:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 05:45 UTC	6	$72	40	40	+0	Down	+$8	08-18 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	8	$66	40	40	+0	Down	+$13	09-22 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	7	$62	90	20	+70	Up	-$29	11-13 06:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	15	$54	60	60	+0	Up	+$10	08-21 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:45 UTC	4	$38	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	08-21 08:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	11-04 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$6	11-13 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:20 UTC	4	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	08-17 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	4	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	08-21 08:56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	11-13 07:48
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	2	$21	16	16	+0	No	+$1	11-04 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:00 UTC	6	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	08-17 09:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 08:30 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	08-21 08:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:35 UTC	3	$20	20	10	+10	Down	+$5	08-17 07:39
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	11-04 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	09-27 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:20 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	09-27 14:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 06:00 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	08-18 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:40 UTC	3	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	08-21 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 07:51:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1f22cb…
11-13 07:50:21	Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x47017b…
11-13 07:48:51	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x9b89e0…
11-13 07:48:40	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe2f08c…
11-13 07:48:27	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x75253d…
11-13 06:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc22f00…
11-13 06:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x98eecd…
11-13 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb4aa26…
11-13 06:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xb12fb4…
11-13 06:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x692c38…
11-13 06:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x1a71bc…
11-13 06:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x9e7ef5…
11-13 06:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6577d4…
11-13 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xecf190…
11-13 06:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x742d71…
11-13 06:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x82b807…
11-13 06:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xc04634…
11-13 06:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x81cad3…
11-13 06:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcaf0cd…
11-10 06:31:06	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb86a32…
11-10 06:30:46	Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0ebb97…
11-10 06:30:22	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x277989…
11-09 07:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x3a0d7f…
11-09 07:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xeec39f…
11-05 07:43:39	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc615f3…
11-05 06:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xe33eeb…
11-05 06:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x8c0b24…
11-05 05:51:45	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x82ada7…
11-04 14:00:37	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x90c416…
11-04 06:36:01	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6096c6…
11-04 06:35:46	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfa4328…
11-04 06:35:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8dc5c7…
10-29 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd952b3…
10-29 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xafcadf…
10-29 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x4b073c…
10-29 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x41d259…
10-29 04:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x343286…
10-29 04:00:10	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xda1200…
10-29 03:58:37	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x1df5a2…
10-29 03:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xc45923…
10-29 03:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xf799a9…
10-29 03:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x44265d…
10-29 03:06:52	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd06b76…
10-29 02:45:44	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x32ed6d…
10-28 15:18:23	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb2142f…
10-28 15:12:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x44c92d…
09-28 13:10:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x30b68a…
09-28 09:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1ff525…
09-27 14:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa769c4…
09-27 14:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x3b9a92…
09-27 14:24:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb4a48c…
09-27 14:21:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2affa9…
09-27 12:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb60570…
09-27 12:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x495899…
09-27 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x9ef02f…
09-27 12:36:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x08e513…
09-24 14:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xf085de…
09-24 14:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x6fd1e9…
09-24 14:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x18075d…
09-24 14:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x8d0f28…
09-24 14:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xfe9c0e…
09-22 07:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x29a45f…
09-22 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf59fb4…
09-22 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9d5a7f…
09-22 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x347041…
09-22 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x00fe4f…
09-22 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf9b839…
09-22 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x52094b…
09-22 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x0350f0…
09-22 06:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc70982…
09-21 03:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa33fd7…
09-21 03:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xfc84a5…
09-21 03:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd5eb34…
09-20 02:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x097e48…
09-20 02:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x3545a7…
09-20 02:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x1125eb…
09-20 02:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x49f813…
09-20 02:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2da8bb…
08-28 02:05:03	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 9pm et	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd2f599…
08-28 01:58:49	bitcoin up or down august 27 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xfd90f0…
08-23 13:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa6fa51…
08-21 13:57:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xa720d7…
08-21 13:57:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x6b7cd6…
08-21 13:56:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xf70492…
08-21 13:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xfa7815…
08-21 13:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xea3616…
08-21 13:55:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb05f00…
08-21 13:53:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x757a1d…
08-21 13:52:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4c4fb6…
08-21 13:52:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x955824…
08-21 13:52:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x1887cd…
08-21 13:51:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe6de1e…
08-21 13:50:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x405371…
08-21 13:50:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x487bd7…
08-21 13:48:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x98e0df…
08-21 13:46:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x302a99…
08-21 13:44:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5589f5…
08-21 13:41:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x57f50e…
08-21 13:41:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x309b51…
08-21 13:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8261fc…