Smoggy-Worshiper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,076

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$63

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-10 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 83% +$5

Other

16% 100% +$1

Sports

7% 68% +$15

Politics

4% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No		+68	$65	93¢	$63	$-2	06-10 15:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$232	123	123	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 16:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$207	108	108	+0	open	—	03-15 13:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$207	116	116	+0	open	—	05-29 13:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$200	210	0	+210	open	—	04-27 17:01
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	2	$165	85	85	+0	open	—	03-12 23:18
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$140	75	75	+0	open	—	03-07 06:18
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$140	161	0	+161	open	—	03-09 14:13
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	02-27 12:04
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-22 11:29
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$90	52	52	+0	open	—	02-27 14:53
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	5	$86	74	42	+33	open	—	03-30 17:15
btc updown 5m 1773452700	1	$80	82	0	+82	open	—	03-14 01:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 27	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	02-27 17:19
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$66	74	52	+22	open	—	03-31 15:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	1	$65	68	0	+68	open	—	06-10 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$64	77	77	+0	open	—	03-24 05:23
khamenei seen in public by march 2 179 218 146	1	$62	63	0	+63	open	—	03-01 01:38
cl up or down on march 2 2026	1	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	02-28 16:26
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	03-03 12:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 27	2	$56	54	54	+0	open	—	02-27 15:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$51	36	36	+0	open	—	04-09 04:55
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	2	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	06-10 15:24
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-10 15:29
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-16 17:10
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$41	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 12:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	3	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	06-10 15:32
btc updown 5m 1773323700	1	$40	92	0	+92	open	—	03-12 13:59
btc updown 5m 1773498600	2	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	03-14 14:34
btc updown 5m 1773839700	4	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	03-18 13:19
btc updown 5m 1773924000	4	$36	41	0	+41	open	—	03-19 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 15:32:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0xd1df57…
06-10 15:31:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x953020…
06-10 15:29:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3d3b27…
06-10 15:28:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x97d525…
06-10 15:24:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x1326ab…
06-10 15:24:25	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x2c06e0…
06-10 15:22:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 3pt5	Spurs	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2cd914…
06-10 15:21:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 20pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x14467d…
06-10 15:21:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 20pt5	Spurs	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa6a41a…
06-10 15:20:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 15pt5	Spurs	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe2a317…
06-10 15:20:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 15pt5	Knicks	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5621fb…
06-09 14:42:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xae1dca…
06-09 14:41:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 10pt5	Knicks	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd3424b…
06-09 14:41:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 10pt5	Spurs	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xac5a19…
06-07 14:23:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x052784…
06-07 14:22:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xcc243b…
06-07 14:22:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x280451…
06-07 13:51:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 10pt5	Knicks	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe1bd35…
06-07 13:51:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x408b41…
06-07 13:49:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 10pt5	Spurs	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb69269…
06-06 03:21:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 8pt5	Knicks	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xfe819c…
06-06 03:11:16	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	19	61¢	$12	0x829ecc…
06-06 03:02:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 8pt5	Knicks	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb2d4d5…
06-06 02:56:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x88d846…
06-06 02:29:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfe1411…
06-06 02:04:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 9pt5	Spurs	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9f37e0…
06-06 02:00:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 11pt5	Knicks	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3ba374…
06-04 13:39:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x52f14e…
06-02 14:08:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0dedd4…
06-02 14:03:19	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x612e6a…
06-02 13:59:16	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x525975…
06-02 13:59:09	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x175f47…
06-02 13:58:38	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Knicks	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6caa62…
05-30 17:03:19	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd4720a…
05-29 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xca4234…
05-29 18:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x8d899a…
05-29 18:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x51966a…
05-29 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdff89b…
05-29 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8ca30…
05-29 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x5b1d2c…
05-29 18:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x735649…
05-29 13:39:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	116	92¢	$107	0xaf4603…
05-29 13:39:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x49a031…
05-28 16:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x509382…
05-28 16:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xca3f48…
05-28 14:21:37	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7f447a…
05-28 14:20:57	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf3613e…
05-28 14:20:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc4233f…
05-27 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xa0ab36…
05-27 17:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x150f7f…
05-27 16:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xe4c577…
05-27 16:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6bab36…
05-26 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d870d…
05-26 16:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xdb1462…
05-26 14:42:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0x2f3620…
05-25 17:30:19	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd78a05…
05-25 17:29:37	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Knicks	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf6fb63…
05-24 12:51:46	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x9709bb…
05-24 12:51:39	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x451519…
05-23 13:58:34	Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)	Knicks	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x48d8d1…
05-23 13:58:15	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x179599…
05-22 15:04:52	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7f5cd4…
05-22 15:03:28	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xda8741…
05-21 14:01:23	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Knicks	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xed1090…
05-21 14:01:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x61ba8d…
05-20 16:08:04	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x87c169…
05-20 16:07:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc1d27f…
05-19 11:51:18	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd4d539…
05-18 13:54:15	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa49e4e…
05-18 13:54:06	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x60a38c…
05-17 17:06:41	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11b012…
05-14 14:50:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xad586c…
05-14 14:50:16	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9d1f1c…
05-14 14:49:40	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x94d283…
05-14 14:49:26	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x2a5a92…
05-14 14:48:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x74805f…
05-13 15:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x87dda5…
05-13 15:15:12	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3b187b…
05-13 15:15:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x843354…
05-13 15:13:30	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x681d56…
05-13 15:12:03	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x940284…
05-13 15:11:15	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x66c872…
05-13 13:32:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xadba64…
05-11 14:40:45	Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7a5292…
05-11 14:38:09	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x19629d…
05-11 14:36:01	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x90082b…
05-10 16:31:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd93ff4…
05-10 15:05:52	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0015d5…
05-10 15:04:49	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x5c61e1…
05-09 15:47:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x88f2f7…
05-09 15:47:07	Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1c2b50…
05-09 15:44:47	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2f7947…
05-08 15:03:55	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xac0603…
05-08 15:03:44	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2da9b2…
05-08 15:03:32	Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	76ers	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf5e55b…
05-07 13:23:40	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x720026…
05-07 13:21:39	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x995326…
05-06 16:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x1bab2e…
05-06 16:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27de79…
05-06 16:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x651703…