Mad-Alpha — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

843

Trades

1,840

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 09-02 01:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% -$64

Other

0% 33% -$7

Sports

0% 40% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	30	$44	104	95	+10	Up	-$5	05-23 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:45 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:05 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	06-03 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	06-03 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:30 UTC	2	$31	25	25	+0	Up	-$9	06-03 23:34
will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 12	7	$27	38	25	+13	No	+$6	06-12 09:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 18:55 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	06-19 19:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12?	7	$24	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	06-12 09:47
bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	2	$24	36	36	+0	Down	+$4	06-04 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	6	$23	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	05-23 14:41
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	06-19 19:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:10 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	06-19 20:17
bitcoin above 64k on june 12 2026	8	$22	15	15	+0	No	+$2	06-12 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-23 14:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:25 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 19:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 18:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 18:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:40 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 20:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:40 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 22:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:30 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 20:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:50 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:25 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 22:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:50 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	06-19 20:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	06-04 00:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 19:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 17:25 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	06-19 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:30 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	06-03 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:05 UTC	2	$20	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	06-04 00:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:10 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	06-19 21:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 01:20:37	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6d1480…
09-02 01:00:18	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x85acb7…
09-02 00:17:21	New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x08ba48…
09-02 00:07:58	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x728cd1…
09-02 00:07:24	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x373bae…
09-02 00:05:25	New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb28689…
09-01 23:54:31	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x8bb229…
09-01 23:40:36	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xd805aa…
09-01 23:38:42	Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe6d74c…
09-01 23:38:33	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf04817…
09-01 22:40:28	New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x94c4f6…
08-27 10:34:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x477f3d…
08-27 10:19:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf96433…
08-27 09:49:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdd6b85…
08-27 08:54:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe05737…
08-27 08:49:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe82c78…
08-27 08:49:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf26e54…
08-27 08:24:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1633a2…
08-27 08:24:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4dffca…
08-27 08:15:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5ab935…
08-27 08:14:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xed370c…
08-27 07:49:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x0b3267…
08-27 07:49:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4b41de…
08-27 07:44:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6dab5d…
08-27 07:19:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8dd9e2…
08-27 07:19:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xce227a…
08-27 07:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x74dbbe…
08-27 06:59:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x23848d…
08-27 06:44:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe6a267…
08-27 06:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd9f196…
08-27 06:26:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9c53c…
08-27 06:24:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa0296f…
08-27 05:14:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1c7c2b…
08-27 05:09:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x81558b…
08-27 05:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2f2145…
08-27 04:54:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3313c5…
08-27 03:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe166f4…
08-27 03:24:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x438caa…
08-27 03:09:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd04519…
08-27 03:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xeaf1e6…
08-27 02:59:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x02367b…
08-27 02:54:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0de690…
08-27 02:49:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2cc5bf…
08-27 02:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdb2c94…
08-27 01:39:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf35942…
08-27 01:04:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x97dd60…
08-27 00:44:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5b6afd…
08-27 00:35:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x93e156…
08-27 00:34:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x089117…
08-27 00:19:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf9ae25…
08-26 23:54:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0ed0a3…
08-26 23:24:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x87905c…
08-26 23:14:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x64a564…
08-26 23:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x122234…
08-26 22:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe08a97…
08-26 18:39:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x24fdee…
08-26 18:19:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb75529…
08-26 18:18:07	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1227ec…
08-26 17:44:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb3b0ec…
08-26 17:14:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xce04d2…
08-26 17:14:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x86dd5e…
08-26 17:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe97b99…
08-26 16:29:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x665e4d…
08-26 16:24:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe323ed…
08-26 16:24:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x33fd89…
08-26 16:19:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc13a6e…
08-26 16:19:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x61d440…
08-26 16:04:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe1badf…
08-26 15:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e862b…
08-26 15:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe8d0cc…
08-26 15:39:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d09c1…
08-26 15:39:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x72973d…
08-26 11:24:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x04e298…
08-26 11:24:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x43640c…
08-26 10:55:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfbeb23…
08-26 10:54:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdea132…
08-26 10:46:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb4634c…
08-26 10:44:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc7407a…
08-26 10:04:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xdd7732…
08-26 10:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5dbf2a…
08-26 09:49:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf818b8…
08-26 09:24:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0x2a3269…
08-26 09:24:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf9adf0…
08-26 09:09:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc4ce4…
08-26 08:34:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0xf041ce…
08-26 08:34:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x93d70e…
08-26 08:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c55ce…
08-26 08:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x44923e…
06-27 18:52:26	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb43b27…
06-26 18:15:05	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x266617…
06-19 21:34:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0xd03d8a…
06-19 21:34:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb12ac2…
06-19 21:19:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xcfacb1…
06-19 21:15:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb7da38…
06-19 21:14:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x618379…
06-19 21:11:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77d6a0…
06-19 21:09:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe8fcb…
06-19 20:56:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9c38e9…
06-19 20:54:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1f238e…
06-19 20:46:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x48238c…