Loyal-Horror — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$4.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-15 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 82% +$12

Other

23% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$351	244	244	+0	open	—	06-07 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$284	252	252	+0	open	—	05-21 15:54
wti closes above 97 on june 8 2026	1	$174	202	0	+202	open	—	06-08 04:42
wti closes above 90 on june 11 2026	1	$130	154	0	+154	open	—	06-11 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$130	141	0	+141	open	—	05-21 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$120	135	0	+135	open	—	05-21 10:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$115	73	73	+0	open	—	05-28 15:56
wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	1	$110	131	0	+131	open	—	06-10 00:25
wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	1	$106	0	236	-236	open	—	06-09 14:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$106	59	59	+0	open	—	05-31 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	05-20 23:12
wti closes above 90 on june 9 2026	1	$100	112	0	+112	open	—	06-09 14:15
wti closes above 88 on june 12 2026	1	$97	102	0	+102	open	—	06-12 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	2	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	05-22 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$73	95	0	+95	open	—	05-21 05:23
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	1	$72	75	0	+75	No	+$3	05-06 00:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	2	$67	72	0	+72	open	—	05-02 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	05-03 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$60	66	0	+66	open	—	05-02 04:15
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	1	$55	59	0	+59	No	+$4	05-06 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$51	54	0	+54	open	—	05-22 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	05-02 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	1	$50	60	0	+60	Up	+$10	05-06 10:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	05-03 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	05-02 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	05-22 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$47	49	0	+49	open	—	05-22 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	2	$45	36	36	+0	open	—	05-20 14:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	1	$40	47	0	+47	No	+$7	05-05 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-03 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 02:23:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xab30c8…
06-12 10:39:00	wti closes above 88 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	102	95¢	$97	0x06dfe7…
06-11 01:36:06	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xac73ae…
06-11 01:14:51	wti closes above 90 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	154	84¢	$130	0xc5966e…
06-11 00:31:04	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcb3546…
06-10 00:25:19	wti closes above 92 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0x4e5c2f…
06-09 14:15:43	wti closes above 90 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xb43b0a…
06-09 14:14:34	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	236	45¢	$106	0x2d5926…
06-08 04:42:36	wti closes above 97 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	202	86¢	$174	0x9aa36d…
06-07 16:02:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	244	72¢	$176	0x036275…
06-05 02:46:42	wti closes above 96 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x08ec24…
06-04 04:02:27	wti closes above 99 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xff4524…
06-03 16:23:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	244	72¢	$175	0x7d7f79…
06-03 16:21:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x6c1a71…
06-03 03:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x11d2bb…
06-03 03:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x87df91…
06-03 03:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8403c6…
06-02 11:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x812dbb…
06-02 11:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9d3c66…
06-02 07:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c97c8…
06-02 05:52:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1f5334…
06-02 05:48:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xebe6cb…
06-02 05:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x840541…
05-31 02:12:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x26eb10…
05-30 15:51:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x54e84e…
05-29 01:17:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x09cb76…
05-28 15:56:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	73	90¢	$65	0xba8040…
05-25 14:09:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xfcc298…
05-25 02:38:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf61ece…
05-24 07:17:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfee9ea…
05-23 04:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8c8c33…
05-22 11:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x6f7158…
05-22 11:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x1dbd79…
05-22 08:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x020146…
05-22 07:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x09c678…
05-22 03:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x2318fc…
05-21 15:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	97	50¢	$49	0x39e4a5…
05-21 15:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	97	89¢	$86	0x14f21e…
05-21 15:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	155	19¢	$30	0x31c678…
05-21 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	155	77¢	$120	0xee018d…
05-21 10:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x3ba1eb…
05-21 10:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0xab44f9…
05-21 05:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	95	77¢	$73	0xf2a6ab…
05-21 02:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9c1ad1…
05-21 02:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5db50a…
05-20 23:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x585ea4…
05-20 14:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xb05513…
05-20 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xb2212d…
05-20 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x909201…
05-20 09:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x411114…
05-20 08:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0d9273…
05-19 15:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0xad9b7e…
05-19 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x284d4d…
05-19 12:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x875907…
05-19 11:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x105840…
05-19 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x00bae1…
05-19 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf00365…
05-19 06:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x605980…
05-18 14:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc58ee0…
05-18 13:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc8cf2c…
05-18 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x9c7fcf…
05-18 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x6935e6…
05-18 09:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x303a86…
05-18 09:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x73dbdb…
05-18 09:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x173fd9…
05-18 06:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x08f317…
05-18 06:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x9a4be0…
05-18 06:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa3aeb1…
05-18 03:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6a7703…
05-18 00:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8273f4…
05-18 00:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9edc96…
05-18 00:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb30875…
05-17 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x8934cf…
05-17 18:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0c83ca…
05-17 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x36f118…
05-17 17:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd7a33d…
05-17 16:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb37b4f…
05-17 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x91cb98…
05-17 15:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9af843…
05-17 15:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7e217d…
05-17 14:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbbaf85…
05-17 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe5dd99…
05-17 14:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa2ee0c…
05-17 14:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x686880…
05-17 13:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x65b5d4…
05-17 13:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0xc35a77…
05-17 13:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0c049d…
05-17 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x702be8…
05-17 06:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0xe87ac2…
05-17 06:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdf9823…
05-17 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xb3386e…
05-17 05:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7698d4…
05-17 00:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xc25646…
05-17 00:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x569887…
05-17 00:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x99bac0…
05-16 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xbcdcee…
05-16 22:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6cae56…
05-16 17:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9a08bf…
05-16 16:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xaaffaa…
05-16 16:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3b172d…