Sick-Spill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-19 15:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 55% $-21

Politics

25% — —

Other

22% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	6	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	01-31 05:33
sol updown 5m 1776874500	4	$70	52	51	+1	open	—	04-22 16:19
elon musk of tweets february 19 february 21 90 114	2	$41	53	53	+0	open	—	02-20 22:26
btc updown 5m 1772379300	3	$36	38	4	+33	open	—	03-01 15:40
will bridgerton season 4 be the top global netflix show this week february 10	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	02-04 05:20
eth updown 5m 1771658100	3	$29	119	19	+100	open	—	02-21 07:20
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	02-22 18:21
cs2 nip 100t 2026 02 20	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	02-20 17:43
btc updown 5m 1771657800	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	02-21 07:15
will his hers be the 2 us netflix show this week february 3 2026	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	02-02 19:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$24	357	143	+214	open	—	02-27 19:14
eth updown 5m 1771830900	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	02-23 07:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$22	63	63	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-31 05:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-31 05:39
btc updown 5m 1771786500	2	$19	19	18	+0	open	—	02-22 18:59
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$18	90	90	+0	open	—	01-31 15:18
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 08:45
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	2	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	02-24 16:46
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$15	53	53	+0	open	—	01-30 21:40
will threads be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	01-31 17:33
will trump say alien during the 2026 state of the union address	3	$14	33	26	+6	open	—	02-24 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 10:04
btc updown 5m 1773928200	2	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	03-19 13:54
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	2	$13	111	111	+0	open	—	02-03 18:16
btc updown 5m 1773908100	2	$12	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 08:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$12	29	29	+0	open	—	02-28 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$12	19	7	+12	open	—	05-16 11:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 11:08
eth updown 5m 1776791400	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-21 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 15:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9c4a75…
05-19 15:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x8b7272…
05-19 15:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x024b30…
05-18 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2600ae…
05-16 15:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd3ab08…
05-16 14:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x05fa83…
05-16 13:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0eba17…
05-16 12:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$6	0x723d03…
05-16 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x08756c…
05-16 11:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd1d15d…
05-16 11:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc7778b…
05-16 11:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x46f1fc…
05-16 11:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x90c5b3…
05-16 11:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd0afcd…
05-16 11:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd1daf8…
05-07 06:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4bd6a5…
05-07 06:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbbf35c…
05-07 06:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x394daf…
05-07 06:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcef669…
05-06 13:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xfb5063…
05-06 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb8f56e…
05-06 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x297882…
05-06 13:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb72fa8…
05-06 12:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x532c4e…
05-06 12:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xe675bf…
05-06 12:52:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7530fa…
05-06 12:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcce39f…
05-06 10:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x7ff6a1…
05-06 10:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd5c7f1…
05-06 10:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7fe98e…
05-06 10:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0xc4117d…
05-06 10:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9cadd9…
05-06 10:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x1a3858…
05-06 10:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x07c3dd…
05-06 10:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2632c2…
05-06 09:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3f62c9…
05-06 09:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x49af43…
05-06 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x26c9b8…
05-06 09:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4dd2b9…
05-06 08:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x728c66…
05-06 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc83751…
05-06 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x855f63…
05-06 08:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbd706d…
05-06 08:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xec2289…
05-06 08:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc7ffdf…
05-06 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	17¢	$5	0x5c7e00…
05-06 08:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x05bda7…
05-06 08:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x522460…
05-06 08:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf7058d…
05-06 08:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d6e3a…
05-06 08:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x59007e…
05-06 08:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfc28a3…
05-06 08:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x531432…
05-06 08:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x407e67…
05-06 08:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0519f8…
05-05 18:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5be998…
05-05 18:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7decb4…
05-05 18:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8a1352…
05-05 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9e03a7…
05-05 18:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9fca62…
05-05 18:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1feebc…
05-05 18:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5d160a…
05-05 18:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x22ca8c…
05-05 18:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x79cc0b…
05-05 18:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x33e5ee…
05-05 18:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2e0f8c…
05-05 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd72c85…
05-05 16:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x3eea16…
05-05 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x657d15…
05-05 15:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xd5b1a0…
05-05 15:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc331c5…
05-05 13:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xbdaecc…
05-05 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x07a32f…
05-05 11:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x9b80c4…
05-05 11:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x864e45…
05-05 11:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x283194…
05-05 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4283f7…
05-05 10:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x33f88d…
04-23 12:49:32	btc updown 5m 1776948300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfad072…
04-23 12:45:06	eth updown 15m 1776947400	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x303983…
04-23 12:45:02	eth updown 15m 1776947400	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xfda6f4…
04-23 12:40:00	xrp updown 5m 1776947700	Down	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x5e316f…
04-23 12:40:00	xrp updown 5m 1776947700	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x34ad79…
04-23 12:39:54	btc updown 5m 1776947700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x27ed37…
04-23 12:30:14	xrp updown 5m 1776947100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe74ae…
04-23 12:30:06	btc updown 5m 1776947100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10cf14…
04-23 12:19:44	xrp updown 5m 1776946500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x29e85d…
04-23 12:19:36	eth updown 5m 1776946500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x833309…
04-23 12:19:22	doge updown 5m 1776946500	Up	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xd601cf…
04-23 12:19:20	doge updown 5m 1776946500	Up	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x7bbe83…
04-23 12:14:40	sol updown 5m 1776946200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x05071b…
04-23 12:14:02	eth updown 5m 1776946200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe87918…
04-23 12:10:10	eth updown 5m 1776945900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x352731…
04-23 12:10:08	xrp updown 5m 1776945900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x24dd43…
04-23 12:10:06	btc updown 5m 1776945900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x340761…
04-23 12:09:44	doge updown 5m 1776945900	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb014fc…
04-23 12:09:36	doge updown 5m 1776945900	Down	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xd84c59…
04-23 12:00:16	btc updown 5m 1776945300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x00ac00…
04-23 06:48:20	btc updown 5m 1776926700	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0x239aee…
04-23 06:46:02	btc updown 5m 1776926700	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x692bb5…