Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

139

Trades

274

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$522

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 08-20 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

66% 9% -$145

Politics

18% 14% +$96

Crypto

13% 26% -$50

Sports

2% 0% -$29

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes		+6,109	$457	9¢	$522	+$65	08-20 03:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	19	$527	7,887	1,778	+6,109	open	—	08-20 03:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$401	379	379	+0	No	+$1	04-08 05:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$261	508	508	+0	No	+$155	03-15 05:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$46	107	107	+0	Yes	-$14	02-05 09:50
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	6	$43	663	663	+0	No	-$21	03-14 22:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$32	123	123	+0	No	-$8	02-25 21:45
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	7	$31	5,200	0	+5,200	No	-$31	07-19 20:37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	1	$29	999	0	+999	No	-$29	07-16 21:24
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	1	$25	634	0	+634	No	-$25	03-05 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 15:15 UTC	7	$23	43	43	+0	Up	+$11	07-12 15:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 12	2	$20	111	111	+0	No	+$0	02-11 19:41
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$20	1,625	625	+1,000	No	+$4	03-18 17:00
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	7	$17	13,167	0	+13,167	No	-$17	01-28 11:22
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	2	$17	98	0	+98	Yes	+$81	01-25 09:09
will the us next strike iran on march 15 2026 et	1	$15	13,066	0	+13,066	No	-$15	02-28 07:36
bitcoin above 84k on february 11	2	$15	353	353	+0	No	-$5	02-05 20:13
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	2	$15	42	42	+0	No	+$9	01-29 13:35
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	2	$14	126	126	+0	No	+$8	02-05 20:12
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	4	$14	2,517	0	+2,517	No	-$14	07-26 13:06
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$13	329	329	+0	No	-$4	06-27 05:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	2	$13	300	300	+0	Down	+$7	07-22 20:11
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$12	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	-$12	01-28 11:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 14:00 UTC	5	$11	149	49	+100	Down	+$3	07-12 14:14
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 ful	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	02-11 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:30 UTC	4	$9	446	33	+412	Up	-$9	07-22 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC	3	$9	18	12	+6	Down	+$3	07-12 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 15:00 UTC	4	$8	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	07-12 15:13
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$8	500	500	+0	No	-$2	02-25 21:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:00 UTC	4	$8	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	07-12 21:13
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	2	$8	123	123	+0	No	-$2	02-05 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 03:55:31	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xc89ebb…
08-20 03:53:58	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	1¢	$2	0x9e0e7d…
07-30 15:54:56	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	1¢	$3	0xcc567d…
07-30 15:51:24	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	312	5¢	$17	0x7cf775…
07-30 13:20:06	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0xa492a9…
07-30 12:59:02	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	519	5¢	$27	0xacc665…
07-30 11:25:09	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x33a4e4…
07-30 11:24:09	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0x07f500…
07-29 20:22:36	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	922	5¢	$47	0xdeaf9e…
07-29 15:05:12	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	862	5¢	$43	0xf08fdb…
07-29 14:38:54	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x1f3b55…
07-28 13:32:01	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x200794…
07-28 10:04:31	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xe7165a…
07-28 06:50:22	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x57eef0…
07-27 20:54:52	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x4cf5f8…
07-27 08:33:10	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x7f93f2…
07-26 14:42:42	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	611	5¢	$32	0x4d400c…
07-26 13:06:55	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2,077	1¢	$12	0xd96ef5…
07-26 13:06:51	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xe85bdf…
07-26 13:06:40	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x8653fb…
07-26 13:06:39	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	382	0¢	$1	0x8b0502…
07-26 12:56:54	Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1,052	0¢	$3	0xd0108e…
07-26 10:29:46	Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x019962…
07-23 11:10:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5caf4d…
07-23 10:58:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xd31c3d…
07-23 10:52:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7dcef1…
07-22 22:50:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x939724…
07-22 22:39:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xaa9ce0…
07-22 22:13:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xc460ab…
07-22 22:01:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x015f8e…
07-22 21:42:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	355	1¢	$3	0x429f3a…
07-22 21:39:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x5c3727…
07-22 21:38:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x6108cb…
07-22 21:34:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8bf69a…
07-22 21:26:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x911944…
07-22 21:25:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x73fae7…
07-22 21:14:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xec5037…
07-22 21:11:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x50bc74…
07-22 20:11:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0xb11be8…
07-22 20:11:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x06d97b…
07-22 19:24:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd73c09…
07-22 19:08:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2609fd…
07-22 12:04:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ad5e0…
07-22 11:47:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdee2cb…
07-22 10:56:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x917e0f…
07-22 10:46:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x253bca…
07-22 10:28:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x05014b…
07-22 10:20:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x737508…
07-22 10:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x8c609b…
07-22 10:08:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5d283b…
07-22 09:57:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0be758…
07-19 20:37:12	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	3,465	1¢	$21	0xf8907f…
07-19 20:37:10	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$0	0x3c57bc…
07-19 20:37:09	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$0	0xdab255…
07-19 20:36:49	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	775	1¢	$5	0x073b9a…
07-19 20:36:48	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x8d4923…
07-19 20:36:46	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$0	0x6a49ba…
07-19 20:36:31	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$4	0x66eb1f…
07-19 20:01:58	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,778	2¢	$35	0x7b5775…
07-16 21:24:59	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	999	3¢	$29	0x1403a4…
07-12 22:41:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x657d0a…
07-12 22:03:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xb4b2a6…
07-12 21:47:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe4a70b…
07-12 21:36:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x70a425…
07-12 21:22:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa653db…
07-12 21:22:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x0f313e…
07-12 21:19:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf09a87…
07-12 21:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xf8afd6…
07-12 21:12:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe9d9cc…
07-12 21:08:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xa316c0…
07-12 21:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x71b32a…
07-12 20:58:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x3062d9…
07-12 20:55:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x297649…
07-12 20:39:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x314e02…
07-12 20:36:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x638d3b…
07-12 20:07:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x923b6b…
07-12 19:50:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe1d59e…
07-12 19:38:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xec0c51…
07-12 19:34:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0xb942de…
07-12 19:32:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa7c750…
07-12 19:24:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7f35c9…
07-12 19:14:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x788197…
07-12 19:11:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x27cf90…
07-12 19:11:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x89d165…
07-12 19:08:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb0afbd…
07-12 18:57:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1cbc17…
07-12 16:38:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4479c8…
07-12 16:38:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x68cf16…
07-12 16:34:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x206036…
07-12 16:27:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x66c1a1…
07-12 16:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xea9881…
07-12 16:20:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6a4644…
07-12 16:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xe27011…
07-12 16:12:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd12685…
07-12 16:12:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xae202c…
07-12 16:10:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5f79f5…
07-12 15:58:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x081889…
07-12 15:51:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xfd2b77…
07-12 15:37:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x728033…
07-12 15:35:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e019c…