Optimistic-Prescription — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

730

Trades

1,258

lifetime

Volume

$4.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-31 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 52% -$11

Other

41% 59% -$48

Politics

1% 25% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	25	$59	70	55	+15	Down	+$6	05-18 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	28	$46	77	65	+12	Up	-$6	05-19 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	10	$39	48	46	+2	Down	-$4	06-03 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 21?	2	$36	24	24	+0	No	+$12	10-21 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$28	20	19	+1	Up	+$4	05-30 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?	2	$27	16	16	+0	No	+$3	10-21 17:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 17:45 UTC	2	$26	27	0	+27	Up	+$1	01-28 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 23?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$2	10-23 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	10-21 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16?	4	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$2	09-16 23:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 11:30 UTC	3	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	01-28 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?	2	$23	14	14	+0	No	+$3	10-13 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	-$20	10-19 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	10-27 18:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	3	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	10-29 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	2	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	-$20	10-29 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	10-27 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	2	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	-$20	10-28 22:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:00 UTC	4	$19	27	17	+9	Up	-$4	01-28 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	Up	-$4	06-01 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$19	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-21 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:30 UTC	2	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	06-04 11:45
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 21?	2	$17	12	12	+0	No	+$8	09-21 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:45 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	06-04 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	06-03 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	4	$15	18	10	+8	Up	-$4	06-03 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	06-02 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-30 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:15 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	06-04 00:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc08b9b…
10-30 21:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x29dea3…
10-30 05:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd1c89a…
10-30 01:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe2ab26…
10-30 00:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x036fae…
10-29 17:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc4e64b…
10-29 17:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x650fa9…
10-29 04:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xea8e95…
10-29 04:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0xcd3a69…
10-29 04:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x90e17a…
10-29 03:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x19ad39…
10-29 03:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x12c464…
10-28 22:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xc94044…
10-28 22:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 28?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x9cc869…
10-27 18:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xdf055b…
10-27 18:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x7164c2…
10-27 12:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xe7c581…
10-27 04:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x252a44…
10-27 03:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x689149…
10-25 11:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x9dfd22…
10-25 10:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 25?	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x174224…
10-25 04:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xa20992…
10-25 04:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x3700ba…
10-24 18:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xf537cc…
10-23 11:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 23?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x90048d…
10-23 06:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xab2bcf…
10-23 03:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 23?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xd9702c…
10-21 17:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xf69cda…
10-21 17:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x81d1df…
10-21 17:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x739753…
10-21 07:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 21?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x63c6ce…
10-21 00:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xd3aa3b…
10-20 06:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xb95d48…
10-20 04:19:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x4711f8…
10-20 04:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x248b04…
10-20 03:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd7cece…
10-20 03:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x50e791…
10-19 21:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on October 19?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x95d377…
10-19 12:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x325085…
10-19 07:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 19?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x0704f5…
10-18 18:04:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe10c9f…
10-18 07:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 18?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1cbd4a…
10-18 05:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x109d2a…
10-17 19:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 17?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x55bc6d…
10-17 19:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on October 17?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0cb4e2…
10-17 08:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xeaed2e…
10-17 01:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x88ebe9…
10-16 23:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8c72d4…
10-16 07:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 16?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x38878c…
10-15 23:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 15?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xc695e7…
10-15 23:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 15?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x7e3440…
10-15 23:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 16?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0eb52e…
10-15 21:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 15?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbe80b4…
10-15 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xacb19d…
10-14 23:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 15?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4df4b0…
10-14 16:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x29f8e2…
10-14 07:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x92553b…
10-14 07:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x13cf60…
10-14 06:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x44faf2…
10-13 21:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on October 13?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xfb1286…
10-13 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x1dce3b…
10-13 04:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6bd441…
10-13 03:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9ebe5c…
10-12 17:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x1d5cdc…
10-12 14:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x30c7c6…
10-12 03:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x48429f…
10-11 20:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 11?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc75b5f…
10-10 22:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 10?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x881dd7…
10-10 18:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xd2a1ad…
10-10 17:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x26e47b…
10-10 13:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 10?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x81df59…
10-10 05:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x01b517…
10-10 04:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0e3d70…
10-10 00:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x09cc55…
10-10 00:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3ecb31…
10-10 00:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xcf09f3…
10-09 22:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 9?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd2128c…
10-08 19:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x779ed3…
10-08 18:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xaf3512…
10-08 18:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xdf29af…
10-08 18:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3c3923…
10-08 11:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdcb6ab…
10-07 23:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xeecaad…
10-07 20:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 7?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x656b8d…
10-07 18:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7a8426…
10-04 18:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x6eded1…
10-04 17:58:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x8aeeca…
10-04 17:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 4?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6b4ad2…
10-04 15:03:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5ed71a…
10-02 20:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xce1da5…
10-02 20:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7614ac…
09-25 20:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on September 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x21882e…
09-25 19:58:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 25?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb97fdc…
09-25 19:28:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 25?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xdbcb60…
09-25 19:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on September 25?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd47233…
09-25 17:06:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xac7724…
09-24 18:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 24?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5f9bce…
09-22 20:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe30d21…
09-22 17:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 22?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6435c1…
09-22 13:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x477981…