Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$306

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$81

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-10

last 11-02 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 53% +$389

Tech

6% 0% -$200

Politics

2% 100% +$127

Other

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+119	$100	64¢	$76	-$24	10-10 08:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+44	$11	12¢	$5	-$6	10-10 08:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$300	448	0	+448	Down	-$69	10-12 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$225	330	0	+330	Up	-$29	10-18 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$225	261	0	+261	Down	-$67	10-18 19:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$200	263	0	+263	No	-$200	10-18 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$173	229	229	+0	Up	-$127	10-11 09:24
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$170	631	0	+631	Down	-$170	10-12 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$150	365	0	+365	Down	+$121	10-11 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$150	217	0	+217	Up	+$67	10-18 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$150	172	0	+172	Up	+$22	10-12 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$150	170	0	+170	Down	-$150	10-18 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$150	158	0	+158	Up	+$8	10-19 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$150	153	0	+153	Up	+$3	10-12 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$100	167	0	+167	Up	+$67	10-11 11:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$100	119	0	+119	open	—	10-10 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$100	119	0	+119	Down	+$19	10-11 08:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$100	227	0	+227	No	+$127	10-10 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$100	195	0	+195	Up	-$100	10-11 10:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	1	$100	122	0	+122	Up	+$22	10-11 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$85	196	0	+196	Up	+$44	10-12 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$85	129	0	+129	Down	+$9	10-22 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$80	163	0	+163	Up	+$68	10-10 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$75	104	0	+104	Down	+$29	10-18 19:20
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$75	157	0	+157	Down	+$82	10-18 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$75	139	0	+139	Down	-$75	10-22 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$75	142	0	+142	Up	+$67	11-02 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$75	183	0	+183	Down	-$75	10-19 20:47
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$75	142	0	+142	Up	+$67	10-12 09:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$75	107	0	+107	Up	+$32	10-18 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$75	107	0	+107	Down	+$32	10-12 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$75	107	0	+107	Up	-$75	10-19 20:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0xbd9e13…
10-22 17:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	94	80¢	$75	0x6ad8a4…
10-22 17:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa0998e…
10-22 17:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5b25c6…
10-22 17:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	139	54¢	$75	0x67cae5…
10-19 21:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0893cf…
10-19 20:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x508e6d…
10-19 20:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	183	41¢	$75	0x23e01b…
10-19 20:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7e2625…
10-19 20:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x4a34df…
10-19 20:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3deb89…
10-18 19:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	157	48¢	$75	0xe75408…
10-18 19:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0xa243d4…
10-18 19:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	73¢	$75	0x0978fb…
10-18 19:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	76	6¢	$5	0x64849b…
10-18 19:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x2bb9a7…
10-18 19:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x571db5…
10-18 19:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	196	76¢	$150	0x99375c…
10-18 19:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0xbbdded…
10-18 19:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	186	5¢	$10	0xbbab6e…
10-18 19:00:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	76¢	$200	0x2580bf…
10-18 19:00:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe2bf25…
10-18 18:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xd838cb…
10-18 18:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x24102f…
10-12 10:02:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	281	27¢	$75	0x30823b…
10-12 10:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xf4708f…
10-12 10:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xeca796…
10-12 09:42:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa19c56…
10-12 09:37:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0x1c2abf…
10-12 09:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	172	87¢	$150	0x0483ed…
10-12 09:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0xf5b42c…
10-12 09:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x25e88f…
10-12 09:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc65fa4…
10-12 09:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0x48b8e6…
10-12 09:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xec7d4e…
10-11 12:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x22ed15…
10-11 12:02:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xacdc6e…
10-11 11:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x259cd3…
10-11 10:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb48b33…
10-11 10:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0xf97068…
10-11 09:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x271d6e…
10-11 09:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb7186e…
10-11 09:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	229	10¢	$23	0x21abb9…
10-11 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xb9140b…
10-11 09:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xcd5c04…
10-11 09:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x9f7a6c…
10-11 09:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xe60d0f…
10-11 09:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x53835d…
10-11 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xe64079…
10-11 08:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xd162a0…
10-11 08:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x828a48…
10-11 08:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xc00e37…
10-11 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xf84994…
10-11 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xd6b011…
10-11 08:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x049648…
10-11 08:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xda5136…
10-11 07:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x5fb044…
10-11 07:11:20	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99669d…
10-11 06:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6eb550…
10-11 06:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x96b7bf…
10-11 06:51:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	205	24¢	$50	0x9ffcb2…
10-10 20:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1bfc02…
10-10 20:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	115	43¢	$50	0x6911ed…
10-10 20:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xcdc0d6…
10-10 09:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0xac110d…
10-10 09:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xcbf9d0…
10-10 09:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xd1754e…
10-10 09:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x5df3c6…
10-10 09:02:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xb91567…
10-10 09:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x0d1463…
10-10 08:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xb15cce…
10-10 08:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc1140b…
10-10 08:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x3fe4c5…
10-10 08:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x94faac…
10-10 08:32:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xf64ef1…
10-10 08:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x3aac1f…
10-10 08:28:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	535	5¢	$25	0x2dad58…
10-10 08:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xdc07e4…
10-10 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7bbe3b…
10-10 08:15:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xac9161…