Monstrous-Duckling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-14 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$2

Other

38% — —

Crypto

13% 100% +$1

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	38	$5.8K	4,082	4,082	+0	open	—	03-28 13:39
trump out as president by march 31	11	$2.2K	1,128	1,128	+0	open	—	03-03 16:57
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	12	$1.7K	846	846	+0	open	—	02-15 15:51
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$1.5K	780	780	+0	open	—	04-16 00:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$1.5K	777	777	+0	open	—	04-15 09:01
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$1.4K	697	697	+0	open	—	04-22 08:47
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	7	$1.3K	631	631	+0	open	—	01-09 15:56
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.1K	536	533	+3	open	—	02-13 05:40
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$1.1K	532	532	+0	open	—	02-21 08:33
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$1.1K	531	531	+0	open	—	02-12 09:59
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	3	$956	746	214	+532	open	—	02-16 13:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$844	437	437	+0	open	—	01-20 08:29
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$837	420	420	+0	open	—	01-13 03:43
will bnb reach 1200 in february	4	$677	339	339	+0	open	—	02-24 13:07
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$641	428	214	+214	open	—	02-03 14:41
will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	3	$546	547	0	+547	open	—	04-16 07:57
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	4	$535	536	0	+536	open	—	02-26 18:37
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	1	$534	535	0	+535	open	—	02-24 14:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$532	0	550	-550	open	—	02-19 04:26
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	3	$527	529	0	+529	open	—	02-14 04:30
will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	5	$516	325	200	+125	open	—	04-14 05:13
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$427	214	214	+0	open	—	02-03 05:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$425	215	215	+0	open	—	04-12 16:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$423	212	212	+1	open	—	04-08 14:09
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	2	$422	215	215	+0	open	—	02-05 08:28
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$422	212	214	-2	open	—	01-25 12:08
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	10	$421	211	211	+0	open	—	01-12 00:55
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	2	$398	210	188	+22	open	—	01-04 13:11
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$391	198	198	+0	open	—	05-04 15:34
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	2	$388	195	195	+0	Yes	+$2	05-12 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 13:04:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x7d1c0e…
06-14 12:30:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x647f7d…
06-10 16:48:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xed95ce…
06-05 08:37:36	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x349c29…
05-23 12:44:46	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x63ec2a…
05-16 02:45:54	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x2a11da…
05-12 23:29:38	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x3b0e6b…
05-11 01:41:42	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0x801d5b…
05-09 03:44:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd1d8ce…
05-09 02:38:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x43c6af…
05-04 15:34:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0xf998c6…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	198	99¢	$195	0x7b8a01…
04-22 08:47:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$176	0xbc8d73…
04-21 11:10:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x6cedae…
04-20 03:38:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x4772fa…
04-19 08:57:28	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	175	99¢	$174	0x9a70f0…
04-19 05:13:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	183	97¢	$178	0x7f7ff9…
04-19 03:43:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	183	96¢	$177	0xc9881c…
04-18 03:03:34	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1385c9…
04-17 02:00:40	will trump say hottest during no tax on tips roundtable	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9327a…
04-17 02:00:28	will trump say waitress during no tax on tips roundtable	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x084df1…
04-16 07:57:10	will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x69acde…
04-16 07:53:36	will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x9f03e6…
04-16 07:53:14	will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	386	100¢	$386	0xa6df80…
04-16 07:24:58	will trump say maga or make america great again during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xef4166…
04-16 06:39:30	will trump say mine during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x965738…
04-16 06:10:10	will trump say king during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x11b541…
04-16 06:02:58	will trump say mine during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x524173…
04-16 05:55:58	will trump say blockade during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xfecaff…
04-16 05:47:16	will trump say inflation during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xad3d91…
04-16 05:13:52	will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x012ef0…
04-16 05:09:08	will trump say blockade during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	263	98¢	$258	0x09614c…
04-16 05:00:12	will trump say inflation during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcab13b…
04-16 05:00:12	will trump say inflation during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcab13b…
04-16 04:46:44	will trump say king during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x78f930…
04-16 04:46:02	will trump say fake news during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x28b332…
04-16 04:09:54	will trump say king during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x833d83…
04-16 04:07:54	will trump say inflation during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x870ae8…
04-16 04:03:42	will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c0ab1…
04-16 04:03:18	will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x27d79e…
04-16 04:00:18	will trump say maga or make america great again during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x4e6234…
04-16 03:59:28	will trump say king during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5c8792…
04-16 03:59:12	will trump say king during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x79e7af…
04-16 03:58:28	will trump say boat during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x071363…
04-16 00:47:06	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	780	99¢	$771	0x257ad4…
04-15 21:53:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	780	99¢	$770	0x3b7475…
04-15 13:59:12	will trump say patriot during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x5401cb…
04-15 13:17:20	will trump say patriot during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xbb4c7c…
04-15 13:00:42	will trump say patriot during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c1553…
04-15 12:58:12	will trump say greatest military during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4c23ad…
04-15 12:57:36	will trump say too late or fed during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xafa2a6…
04-15 12:57:36	will trump say too late or fed during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xafa2a6…
04-15 12:57:00	will trump say patriot during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc47aea…
04-15 12:50:28	will trump say dow or sp during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x02d9c1…
04-15 12:41:18	will trump say dow or sp during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x90849f…
04-15 12:37:30	will trump say midterm during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15ae6b…
04-15 12:35:26	will trump say patriot during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb0b4f5…
04-15 12:21:12	will trump say too late or fed during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x81c13d…
04-15 12:15:36	will trump say russia during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xc1e2a8…
04-15 12:14:20	will trump say too late or fed during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xd07f73…
04-15 12:14:14	will trump say russia during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1b97b3…
04-15 12:07:30	will trump say midterm during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0xddf840…
04-15 12:04:56	will trump say midterm during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x34d988…
04-15 12:04:20	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x2d9575…
04-15 12:03:00	will trump say midterm during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xc4ce2e…
04-15 12:02:52	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd999e6…
04-15 11:47:38	will trump say too late or fed during fox interview on wednesday	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x7fc24f…
04-15 11:45:52	will trump say russia during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xef83af…
04-15 11:44:08	will trump say too late or fed during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaa4f8a…
04-15 11:43:48	will trump say dow or sp during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xccc93c…
04-15 11:43:28	will trump say midterm during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x08c4e0…
04-15 11:41:58	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7635fe…
04-15 11:39:54	will trump say dow or sp during fox interview on wednesday	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x005f04…
04-15 11:36:34	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during fox interview on wednesday	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1de4a6…
04-15 09:01:06	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x7e081d…
04-15 08:50:50	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	763	99¢	$753	0xb7fc4d…
04-15 07:26:42	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	777	99¢	$766	0x5feac2…
04-14 05:13:25	will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x44060a…
04-14 04:48:01	will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xc9fd01…
04-14 04:48:01	will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	77	99¢	$77	0xc03efc…
04-14 04:47:07	will trump say dike or sea during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1393e6…
04-14 04:40:41	will trump say dike or sea during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x932527…
04-14 04:10:23	will trump say dike or sea during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf6bf77…
04-14 03:57:57	will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xd77b99…
04-14 03:43:39	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x2091cd…
04-14 03:32:35	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x12c257…
04-14 02:26:27	will trump say ballroom during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xbdccac…
04-14 02:17:13	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda6208…
04-14 02:17:13	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x75bd34…
04-14 02:17:11	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x502b36…
04-14 01:39:11	will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xb48c8e…
04-14 01:34:03	will trump say amsterdam during dinner with dutch royals	No	BUY	197	97¢	$190	0xe43779…
04-12 16:48:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	215	99¢	$213	0xae9e70…
04-11 15:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$212	0x4ea1bf…
04-11 14:08:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xbed203…
04-10 15:50:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	206	99¢	$203	0x1001c4…
04-10 10:28:35	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	206	98¢	$203	0xc7ac9c…
04-10 04:42:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x59b900…
04-08 14:09:19	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x529ce2…
04-08 10:25:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	212	99¢	$211	0xfb811c…