Monstrous-Duckling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

405

lifetime

Volume

$42.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-05 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

41% 100% +$2

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+0	$-1	99¢	$0	+$1	07-03 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	38	$5.8K	4,082	4,082	+0	open	—	03-28 13:39
trump out as president by march 31	11	$2.2K	1,128	1,128	+0	open	—	03-03 16:57
will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	22	$1.7K	3,442	110	+3,332	open	—	07-05 05:26
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	12	$1.7K	846	846	+0	open	—	02-15 15:51
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$1.5K	780	780	+0	open	—	04-16 00:47
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$1.5K	777	777	+0	open	—	04-15 09:01
Trump out as President by April 30?	8	$1.4K	697	697	+0	open	—	04-22 08:47
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	7	$1.3K	631	631	+0	open	—	01-09 15:56
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$1.1K	536	533	+3	open	—	02-13 05:40
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$1.1K	532	532	+0	open	—	02-21 08:33
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$1.1K	531	531	+0	open	—	02-12 09:59
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	3	$956	746	214	+532	open	—	02-16 13:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	8	$844	437	437	+0	open	—	01-20 08:29
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$837	420	420	+0	open	—	01-13 03:43
will bnb reach 1200 in february	4	$677	339	339	+0	open	—	02-24 13:07
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$641	428	214	+214	open	—	02-03 14:41
will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	6	$617	1,852	618	+1,234	open	—	07-02 12:07
will trump say jd or vance during fox interview on wednesday	3	$546	547	0	+547	open	—	04-16 07:57
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	4	$535	536	0	+536	open	—	02-26 18:37
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	1	$534	535	0	+535	open	—	02-24 14:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$532	0	550	-550	open	—	02-19 04:26
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	3	$527	529	0	+529	open	—	02-14 04:30
will trump say america or us 7 times during dinner with dutch royals	5	$516	325	200	+125	open	—	04-14 05:13
will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	7	$486	1,059	484	+575	open	—	07-01 04:00
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$427	214	214	+0	open	—	02-03 05:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$425	215	215	+0	open	—	04-12 16:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$423	212	212	+1	open	—	04-08 14:09
will ethereum dip to 1000 in february 2026	2	$422	215	215	+0	open	—	02-05 08:28
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$422	212	214	-2	open	—	01-25 12:08
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	10	$421	211	211	+0	open	—	01-12 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 05:26:59	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	SELL	110	90¢	$98	0x6d0875…
07-05 05:25:50	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0x843f6f…
07-05 05:25:49	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	BUY	532	88¢	$470	0xdd5153…
07-05 04:27:04	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x56673c…
07-05 04:22:23	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x920cd1…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc04722…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xbb2c02…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xab6415…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x62e31b…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2faebf…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x21a619…
07-05 04:18:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x086cc0…
07-05 04:18:20	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaf800f…
07-05 04:18:20	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x72d31c…
07-05 04:18:19	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	BUY	130	83¢	$108	0x9fd505…
07-05 04:18:19	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	BUY	487	82¢	$399	0x52ce30…
07-05 02:54:14	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	BUY	267	73¢	$195	0x76eeb8…
07-05 01:59:11	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x03615c…
07-05 01:57:31	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xd185bf…
07-05 01:57:25	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x791a07…
07-05 01:57:22	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	No	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0xe87ceb…
07-05 01:54:01	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt4b 20260703212654954	Yes	BUY	1,334	7¢	$98	0x861768…
07-03 21:48:41	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x257212…
07-03 11:59:11	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2ae919…
07-03 11:57:55	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe6a1d0…
07-02 14:44:26	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe0a78a…
07-02 14:24:28	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaec32d…
07-02 14:23:04	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x45533e…
07-02 13:52:22	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x314612…
07-02 13:52:22	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2cb5a3…
07-02 13:42:26	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xec0e1e…
07-02 13:18:47	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb95d84…
07-02 12:51:50	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	459	0¢	$0	0xeea240…
07-02 12:41:02	will trump say firework during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547098	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xed112f…
07-02 12:07:16	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xdc2ceb…
07-02 12:01:05	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xed679a…
07-02 12:00:01	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	505	0¢	$1	0x9af638…
07-02 10:59:31	will trump say firework during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547098	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8f9f8a…
07-02 10:37:53	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	Yes	SELL	113	45¢	$51	0xf722cb…
07-02 10:24:16	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9e323f…
07-02 09:12:34	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x389265…
07-02 07:36:08	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x012b6d…
07-02 07:14:55	california homebuying loan program proposition	Yes	SELL	69	40¢	$27	0xff0470…
07-02 07:11:37	california homebuying loan program proposition	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x4feddf…
07-02 07:10:10	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	BUY	140	56¢	$79	0x5a9ba3…
07-02 06:37:40	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9a6215…
07-02 06:35:47	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x50669f…
07-02 06:26:28	california homebuying loan program proposition	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x622430…
07-02 06:20:44	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	Yes	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x935089…
07-02 06:20:13	california higher local tax vote threshold proposition	Yes	BUY	500	13¢	$66	0x5b529d…
07-02 06:19:35	california homebuying loan program proposition	Yes	BUY	158	35¢	$55	0x83ab30…
07-02 04:48:46	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x504746…
07-02 03:50:59	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x03be77…
07-02 03:48:44	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	412	4¢	$18	0x5a776c…
07-02 03:42:02	will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during remarks at the burning hills amphitheater 20260701154547081	No	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x76a69f…
07-02 01:25:53	will wti dip to 45 by june 29 2026	Yes	SELL	205	0¢	$0	0x3dcf77…
07-01 19:54:43	will wti dip to 45 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x7afe3c…
07-01 14:52:40	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	1,222	0¢	$1	0x83642e…
07-01 09:32:29	will wti dip to 45 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb79f44…
07-01 08:42:04	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xc8c2fa…
07-01 05:50:05	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	SELL	136	6¢	$8	0x02739c…
07-01 05:48:43	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	No	BUY	201	89¢	$179	0xc9201f…
07-01 04:03:43	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x25a705…
07-01 04:02:55	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa582d9…
07-01 04:02:41	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xe9932b…
07-01 04:02:40	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	No	BUY	55	81¢	$44	0xd5f106…
07-01 04:00:56	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	No	BUY	226	85¢	$193	0x028312…
07-01 03:58:20	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	No	BUY	62	82¢	$50	0x96a843…
07-01 03:27:25	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	SELL	233	18¢	$42	0x26d1d5…
07-01 03:20:04	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	BUY	160	11¢	$18	0x38405a…
07-01 03:19:50	will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	Yes	BUY	507	10¢	$49	0x2bef28…
07-01 03:07:46	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0xd003a1…
07-01 02:59:23	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	Yes	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x76bb4d…
07-01 02:56:10	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	Yes	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0x2e1f93…
07-01 02:52:22	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	Yes	SELL	339	24¢	$82	0xe1193b…
07-01 02:49:10	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by july 31 20260630205002629	Yes	BUY	772	16¢	$121	0x11c827…
07-01 02:10:47	will wti reach 95 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x288afa…
06-30 13:34:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$157	0x20c3f7…
06-28 14:27:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x55ac37…
06-28 13:52:13	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0xc041f7…
06-28 13:41:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefe0c1…
06-28 13:17:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbcccd9…
06-28 13:17:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x44a493…
06-28 13:12:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xbf311f…
06-28 12:52:01	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x793881…
06-14 13:04:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x7d1c0e…
06-14 12:30:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x647f7d…
06-10 16:48:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xed95ce…
06-05 08:37:36	will apple announce a touchscreen macbook during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x349c29…
05-23 12:44:46	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x63ec2a…
05-16 02:45:54	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	199	98¢	$195	0x2a11da…
05-12 23:29:38	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x3b0e6b…
05-11 01:41:42	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0x801d5b…
05-09 03:44:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd1d8ce…
05-09 02:38:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x43c6af…
05-04 15:34:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0xf998c6…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	198	99¢	$195	0x7b8a01…
04-22 08:47:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$176	0xbc8d73…
04-21 11:10:14	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x6cedae…
04-20 03:38:04	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	175	99¢	$174	0x4772fa…