Slippery-Hormone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.00K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

990

Trades

2,177

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-12 20:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Sports

65% 51% -$683

Other

30% 48% -$138

Crypto

5% 39% -$178

Politics

0% 8% -$5

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	40	$1.9K	3,271	3,271	+0	open	—	06-26 23:26
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	15	$1.2K	3,967	3,967	+0	No	+$153	06-22 13:52
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	23	$1.0K	6,611	5,777	+833	No	-$42	06-16 15:33
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	3	$837	643	643	+0	Spurs	+$37	05-13 02:10
Knicks vs. Hawks	5	$684	586	578	+8	Knicks	+$60	04-25 23:12
val edg1 bbl1 2026 07 02	9	$394	302	302	+0	BBL Esports	+$24	07-02 14:21
Celtics vs. 76ers	7	$361	330	330	+0	76ers	+$143	05-01 01:43
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	6	$342	3,411	349	+3,062	No	-$245	06-25 23:07
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	3	$331	274	274	+0	Yes	+$79	05-27 20:14
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$321	291	286	+6	Magic	+$77	04-25 18:47
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	3	$294	196	196	+0	Carlos Prates	+$96	05-02 15:04
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	8	$289	299	294	+5	Timberwolves	$0	04-26 03:07
mlb tex lad 2026 04 10	4	$275	181	179	+2	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$30	04-11 04:04
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	3	$272	232	232	+0	No	+$52	06-26 02:06
ufc kyo man1 2026 06 20	4	$260	161	161	+0	Manel Kape	+$62	06-21 02:18
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	4	$248	168	168	+0	No	+$16	06-21 23:19
ufc chr15 hyd 2026 06 20	4	$247	147	147	+0	Christian Rodriguez	+$47	06-21 01:18
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)	4	$244	145	145	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$46	05-27 13:06
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	3	$241	153	153	+0	Yes	+$61	06-30 18:35
ufc mat10 qui2 2026 08 08	4	$238	316	227	+89	Quillan Salkilld	-$42	08-08 17:22
mlb nyy sea 2026 04 01	2	$237	208	205	+3	New York Yankees	+$41	04-01 21:05
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	10	$232	470	278	+193	Spurs	-$108	06-09 03:25
ufc kyl5 cha3 2026 04 18	8	$231	182	180	+3	Charles Jourdain	+$45	04-19 02:10
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	6	$230	269	269	+0	Knicks	+$38	06-04 02:50
nba mia cha 2026 04 14 spread home 5pt5	6	$228	253	249	+4	Heat	-$31	04-15 02:17
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	5	$226	162	162	+0	Arnold Allen	+$43	05-17 03:01
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	4	$219	137	137	+0	Yes	+$55	07-05 22:11
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	3	$219	154	154	+0	Yes	+$19	06-22 17:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$216	526	526	+0	Yes	+$16	09-13 21:45
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	9	$215	197	172	+25	Knicks	+$37	05-24 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 20:28:24	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x31f513…
10-12 18:45:12	Keon Coleman: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x698bd0…
10-12 17:05:20	Kyren Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5	Over	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x293663…
10-12 16:24:11	James Cook III: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5	Over	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x80014c…
10-12 16:24:02	Blake Corum: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5	Over	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x58b8a5…
10-12 16:23:41	Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x08b39a…
10-11 22:19:51	Lions vs. Cardinals	Lions	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x7bc2c6…
10-11 22:19:39	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	49ers	SELL	44	89¢	$39	0xb3eadc…
10-11 20:43:24	Lions vs. Cardinals	Lions	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x90e927…
10-11 20:26:49	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	Giants	SELL	39	86¢	$34	0x8abb01…
10-07 19:51:58	Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	Vikings	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9bd22f…
10-07 19:49:49	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x363c89…
10-07 19:48:56	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	Giants	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xcdb818…
10-07 14:03:28	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0x2b294b…
10-07 14:01:58	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	Giants	SELL	47	50¢	$24	0x1bae79…
10-07 03:11:32	Bucky Irving: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x1d1a96…
10-07 03:11:12	Chris Godwin Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7b5689…
10-07 03:10:51	Chris Godwin Jr.: Receptions O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3d7f33…
10-07 02:50:47	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xe21330…
10-07 02:50:12	Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Broncos	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x5b86a7…
10-06 04:24:55	Spread: Vikings (-1.5)	Vikings	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x72b607…
10-05 23:52:46	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5d2784…
10-05 23:48:53	Vikings vs. Saints	Vikings	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf94bf9…
10-05 23:48:26	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	49ers	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x77be07…
10-05 23:47:46	Spread: Commanders (-3.5)	Giants	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb3ee6d…
10-05 23:45:55	Browns vs. Jets	Browns	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x100d09…
10-05 18:28:35	Juwan Johnson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x2551fe…
10-05 18:20:56	Brian Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdbf6b5…
10-05 18:20:46	Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5	Over	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4429af…
10-05 01:05:07	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb762b4…
10-04 20:34:49	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xfdbe1d…
10-04 20:14:19	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	SELL	82	92¢	$76	0xa63b89…
10-04 19:39:47	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xe1f50d…
10-04 19:38:56	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x4073d6…
10-03 21:25:07	UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)	Johnny Walker	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7d2865…
10-03 21:23:53	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Imanol Rodriguez	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x318afb…
10-03 21:22:32	Will Damian Pinas win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x4c6991…
10-03 21:22:07	Will Ateba Gautier win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x85cfb4…
10-03 21:20:55	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x749075…
10-02 16:24:20	Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5	Over	BUY	33	53¢	$17	0x680421…
10-02 13:52:56	Spread: Bears (-2.5)	Bears	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xe7db88…
10-02 12:56:38	Broncos vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xf96080…
10-02 12:56:00	Jaguars vs. Bengals	Jaguars	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x8503cc…
10-02 12:52:24	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xce6832…
09-22 02:39:54	lol koia blgj 2026 09 22	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xfc4e32…
09-20 20:30:32	Panthers vs. Falcons	Panthers	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0xd99d33…
09-20 16:20:46	Bengals vs. Texans	Texans	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x69b5c4…
09-20 16:14:19	Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5	Over	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x410701…
09-18 15:18:15	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	SELL	93	50¢	$46	0x2635fb…
09-18 15:17:45	Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 41.5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xa9c5b7…
09-18 15:17:19	Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x9ec89a…
09-17 13:26:04	nfl det buf 2026 09 18 recyd khalil shakir 39pt5	Over	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x5e81ce…
09-15 17:04:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x858bc9…
09-15 12:47:12	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)	Seahawks	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xaac0c3…
09-15 12:46:39	Spread: Packers (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x802fff…
09-15 12:46:27	Panthers vs. Falcons	Panthers	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x71aaef…
09-14 00:13:58	Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6ee317…
09-13 21:45:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	526	22¢	$116	0x8dd1d8…
09-13 21:23:13	Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Packers	SELL	48	92¢	$45	0x4ca74d…
09-13 20:35:07	Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x87fdfa…
09-13 20:35:06	Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x847ca1…
09-13 16:47:19	Khalil Shakir: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5	Over	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xaf0bc0…
09-11 17:56:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xf64d91…
09-11 15:12:04	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xa65cf3…
09-11 04:30:00	Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)	Brandon Moreno	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x80cdd4…
09-11 04:29:25	Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexa Grasso	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x860fbc…
09-11 04:29:00	Noche UFC: Rafa Garcia vs. Rongzhu (Lightweight, Prelims)	Rafa Garcia	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x47f1ab…
09-11 04:28:42	Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Waldo Cortes Acosta	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xdf231e…
09-11 04:27:51	Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)	Tommy McMillen	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xfa31d0…
09-10 18:26:25	Colby Parkinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x957ad1…
09-10 18:25:31	Colby Parkinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb93798…
09-10 18:24:55	Colby Parkinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x98c54a…
09-10 18:23:18	Colby Parkinson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3aa6ab…
09-10 04:03:43	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x00c231…
09-10 04:02:16	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xdf2837…
09-10 03:53:19	California vs. Syracuse	Syracuse	SELL	161	61¢	$98	0x712407…
09-10 03:25:45	Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)	Seahawks	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x3339cf…
09-09 19:57:27	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6979aa…
09-09 19:57:12	Spread: Rams (-2.5)	Rams	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x502e53…
09-09 16:13:54	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x03cae1…
09-08 17:16:42	Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Packers	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x9c1114…
09-08 17:15:49	Packers vs. Vikings	Packers	SELL	102	47¢	$48	0xa9f926…
09-08 17:09:34	Bills vs. Texans	Bills	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x651c46…
09-08 01:03:48	Spread: Eagles (-3.5)	Eagles	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x196cc6…
09-07 17:57:42	California vs. Syracuse	Syracuse	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xda2632…
09-03 16:09:22	San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x8350bb…
09-02 17:43:04	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x385a13…
09-02 17:42:43	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians	No	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x07c229…
09-02 17:41:54	Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x254ed2…
09-02 17:41:39	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xef0537…
09-02 17:41:13	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	No	SELL	27	54¢	$15	0x931436…
09-02 17:40:43	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x794548…
08-30 00:19:25	Broncos vs. Chiefs	Broncos	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x5db559…
08-30 00:19:09	Packers vs. Vikings	Packers	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x906d45…
08-30 00:18:49	Bills vs. Texans	Bills	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5a2e41…
08-30 00:00:31	nfl ne sea 2026 09 10 spread home 2pt5	Seahawks	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x46185e…
08-29 20:47:13	mlb mia wsh 2026 08 29 nrfi	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x48b33f…
08-29 19:49:01	mlb phi laa 2026 08 30 spread away 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x14aed7…
08-29 19:48:36	mlb tex mil 2026 08 29 nrfi	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x60a92f…
08-29 19:48:16	mlb col atl 2026 08 29 spread home 1pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf0e69c…