Immense-Hacienda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

633

lifetime

Volume

$9.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-19 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% 50% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	2	$414	215	214	+1	open	—	04-16 12:03
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	3	$397	229	228	+1	open	—	04-17 22:38
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 84 85f	3	$210	111	110	+1	open	—	04-16 18:05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	4	$146	104	102	+2	open	—	04-24 23:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	3	$141	105	102	+3	open	—	04-25 02:01
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 3corhigher	5	$125	85	85	+0	open	—	03-27 09:42
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	6	$105	88	86	+2	open	—	04-17 04:01
highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	1	$100	139	0	+139	open	—	04-24 04:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 6c	4	$95	108	103	+5	open	—	04-19 20:19
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 8c	4	$87	63	62	+1	open	—	04-10 19:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 17c	2	$84	52	52	+1	open	—	04-19 00:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 17corhigher	2	$84	51	51	+1	open	—	04-19 16:22
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	6	$83	83	83	+0	open	—	04-02 18:33
highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	4	$82	69	69	+0	open	—	03-23 01:48
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	4	$81	76	74	+2	open	—	04-19 00:03
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	3	$76	68	66	+3	open	—	04-26 20:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	3	$76	80	78	+2	open	—	04-24 19:50
highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 18c	2	$75	59	59	+0	open	—	03-25 01:53
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 22c	2	$72	43	43	+1	open	—	04-06 10:52
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	2	$69	68	65	+3	open	—	04-22 18:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	5	$68	77	75	+2	open	—	04-25 19:00
highest temperature in wuhan on april 11 2026 22c	2	$66	48	46	+1	open	—	04-11 10:18
highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 13c	2	$66	39	38	+0	open	—	04-01 03:51
highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 68 69f	2	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	03-22 11:06
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	2	$64	36	36	+0	open	—	03-19 19:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 19c	2	$63	96	92	+4	open	—	04-17 23:24
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 25?	3	$60	97	0	+97	open	—	04-24 18:31
highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 11c	2	$60	51	49	+2	open	—	04-24 13:12
highest temperature in toronto on march 23 2026 2c	2	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	03-23 17:07
highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 11corhigher	6	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	04-03 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:34:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x02c1d5…
07-19 21:18:36	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	34	90¢	$31	0x35df30…
07-19 20:41:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x173952…
07-19 18:42:25	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x766df7…
07-15 20:59:01	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x375f71…
07-14 11:36:20	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x62a253…
07-14 11:36:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb1adce…
07-12 00:41:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x13b3f1…
07-11 23:28:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 11pt5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2ce977…
07-11 23:28:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 10pt5	Under	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9dbea9…
07-11 23:27:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Under	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbb95c2…
07-11 23:27:35	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x32e799…
07-11 20:58:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xdc07b1…
07-11 20:57:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb379da…
07-11 20:57:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x30ed78…
07-11 20:57:25	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x88b665…
07-11 20:13:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8001fa…
07-06 21:06:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	29	27¢	$8	0xb077a3…
07-04 22:35:53	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Paraguay	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xab74c3…
07-04 20:27:22	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf97794…
07-04 20:27:07	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x586b8a…
07-04 20:26:52	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x50c13a…
07-04 20:26:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Paraguay	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd29535…
07-04 19:41:02	atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc4bf3f…
07-04 18:34:28	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$3	0x459222…
07-04 18:04:41	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 btts	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x8a104a…
07-04 16:13:38	atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04 match total 40pt5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8eeccb…
07-04 00:57:02	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 goals luis diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd90883…
07-03 21:51:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x42c27c…
07-03 21:50:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec67aa…
07-03 16:21:26	atp rinderk djokovi 2026 07 03 match total 40pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x445d22…
07-03 13:28:20	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x96c592…
07-03 13:28:02	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xd5a598…
07-03 13:26:13	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x68807f…
07-03 13:23:41	atp jodar mochizu 2026 07 03 match total 36pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x584dbc…
07-03 13:22:40	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcd347a…
07-03 13:21:41	atp rinderk djokovi 2026 07 03 match total 40pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x63b67c…
07-03 05:31:23	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0222fc…
07-03 02:33:59	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xc0a4e6…
07-03 01:05:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf70566…
07-03 00:57:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0xd038a9…
07-03 00:44:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd594f4…
07-03 00:31:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2fcaf2…
07-03 00:11:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xd073ec…
07-03 00:11:31	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x9af5ec…
07-02 22:11:22	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc073c1…
07-02 20:19:46	lol es1 tog 2026 07 02	Eintracht Spandau	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc22176…
07-02 20:19:26	atp mensik dimitro 2026 07 02 match total 40pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1be9fb…
07-02 17:35:10	lol es1 tog 2026 07 02	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc4386a…
07-02 16:59:29	atp mensik dimitro 2026 07 02 match total 40pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x624e61…
07-02 14:21:31	atp duckwor cobolli 2026 07 02 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x655cd8…
07-02 12:39:01	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2ad1c3…
07-02 12:38:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xa4b881…
07-02 12:36:38	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xff616a…
07-02 12:36:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x0146c7…
07-01 20:47:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x18a015…
06-28 18:43:46	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf30ffd…
06-28 16:43:25	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x90c433…
06-27 02:07:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x96e08b…
06-20 00:46:04	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	SELL	29	33¢	$9	0xeb12ee…
06-20 00:43:34	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7bf206…
06-16 02:36:06	world cup largest margin of victory record broken 20260608190334705	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x632201…
06-15 17:17:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0xb8d1af…
06-14 17:03:10	world cup largest margin of victory record broken 20260608190334705	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x732134…
06-14 03:09:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc0e92c…
06-12 17:19:24	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xfb0280…
06-12 03:22:00	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0b0ce4…
06-04 02:35:54	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by december 31 20260602182956656	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x409a6a…
05-28 16:15:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0xfe6ee0…
05-10 05:17:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4be8da…
05-08 23:42:05	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcc3db0…
05-02 15:18:02	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x47be30…
05-02 02:52:24	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7b5d1b…
05-02 02:51:56	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x3e1978…
05-01 22:24:42	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x8a76c9…
04-28 01:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0x5065e8…
04-28 00:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x730d66…
04-28 00:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd32e6a…
04-28 00:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xddc59a…
04-28 00:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0x3005fb…
04-27 23:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$3	0x78c82c…
04-27 21:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4f84f1…
04-27 18:30:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcafaf6…
04-27 18:27:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x8fd159…
04-27 17:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x6c3300…
04-27 16:03:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb3fd54…
04-27 15:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x5ba639…
04-27 05:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0xa2e888…
04-27 04:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0xd0ac49…
04-27 00:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x597697…
04-26 22:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	66	64¢	$42	0xdecc42…
04-26 22:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	125	28¢	$35	0x6b2d5f…
04-26 21:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x09e4b6…
04-26 21:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x8cea4c…
04-26 20:04:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	66	93¢	$61	0x25605e…
04-26 16:34:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x0dc0f8…
04-26 16:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x509778…
04-26 16:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a00da…
04-26 16:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x595a2c…
04-26 16:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9c1351…