Immense-Hacienda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

585

lifetime

Volume

$9.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-02 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% 50% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+36	$10	40¢	$14	+$4	06-27 02:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	2	$414	215	214	+1	open	—	04-16 12:03
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	3	$397	229	228	+1	open	—	04-17 22:38
highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 84 85f	3	$210	111	110	+1	open	—	04-16 18:05
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	4	$146	104	102	+2	open	—	04-24 23:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	3	$141	105	102	+3	open	—	04-25 02:01
highest temperature in toronto on march 27 2026 3corhigher	5	$125	85	85	+0	open	—	03-27 09:42
highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	6	$105	88	86	+2	open	—	04-17 04:01
highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	1	$100	139	0	+139	open	—	04-24 04:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 19 2026 6c	4	$95	108	103	+5	open	—	04-19 20:19
highest temperature in toronto on april 10 2026 8c	4	$87	63	62	+1	open	—	04-10 19:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 17c	2	$84	52	52	+1	open	—	04-19 00:34
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 17corhigher	2	$84	51	51	+1	open	—	04-19 16:22
will trump talk to mark rutte in march 855	6	$83	83	83	+0	open	—	04-02 18:33
highest temperature in nyc on march 23 2026 51forbelow	4	$82	69	69	+0	open	—	03-23 01:48
highest temperature in seoul on april 19 2026 24corhigher	4	$81	76	74	+2	open	—	04-19 00:03
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	3	$76	68	66	+3	open	—	04-26 20:04
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	3	$76	80	78	+2	open	—	04-24 19:50
highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 18c	2	$75	59	59	+0	open	—	03-25 01:53
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 22c	2	$72	43	43	+1	open	—	04-06 10:52
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	2	$69	68	65	+3	open	—	04-22 18:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	5	$68	77	75	+2	open	—	04-25 19:00
highest temperature in wuhan on april 11 2026 22c	2	$66	48	46	+1	open	—	04-11 10:18
highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 13c	2	$66	39	38	+0	open	—	04-01 03:51
highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 68 69f	2	$65	60	60	+0	open	—	03-22 11:06
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	2	$64	36	36	+0	open	—	03-19 19:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 19c	2	$63	96	92	+4	open	—	04-17 23:24
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 25?	3	$60	97	0	+97	open	—	04-24 18:31
highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 11c	2	$60	51	49	+2	open	—	04-24 13:12
highest temperature in toronto on march 23 2026 2c	2	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	03-23 17:07
highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 11corhigher	6	$57	39	39	+0	open	—	04-03 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 20:19:46	lol es1 tog 2026 07 02	Eintracht Spandau	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc22176…
07-02 20:19:26	atp mensik dimitro 2026 07 02 match total 40pt5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1be9fb…
07-02 17:35:10	lol es1 tog 2026 07 02	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc4386a…
07-02 16:59:29	atp mensik dimitro 2026 07 02 match total 40pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x624e61…
07-02 14:21:31	atp duckwor cobolli 2026 07 02 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x655cd8…
07-02 12:39:01	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2ad1c3…
07-02 12:38:47	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xa4b881…
07-02 12:36:38	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xff616a…
07-02 12:36:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x0146c7…
07-01 20:47:50	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Senegal	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x18a015…
06-28 18:43:46	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf30ffd…
06-28 16:43:25	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Ecuador	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x90c433…
06-27 02:07:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x96e08b…
06-20 00:46:04	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	SELL	29	33¢	$9	0xeb12ee…
06-20 00:43:34	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7bf206…
06-16 02:36:06	world cup largest margin of victory record broken 20260608190334705	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x632201…
06-15 17:17:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0xb8d1af…
06-14 17:03:10	world cup largest margin of victory record broken 20260608190334705	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x732134…
06-14 03:09:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xc0e92c…
06-12 17:19:24	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xfb0280…
06-12 03:22:00	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0b0ce4…
06-04 02:35:54	will lula announce the nomination of an individual for minister of the supreme federal court of brazil by december 31 20260602182956656	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x409a6a…
05-28 16:15:48	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0xfe6ee0…
05-10 05:17:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4be8da…
05-08 23:42:05	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcc3db0…
05-02 15:18:02	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x47be30…
05-02 02:52:24	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7b5d1b…
05-02 02:51:56	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x3e1978…
05-01 22:24:42	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x8a76c9…
04-28 01:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0x5065e8…
04-28 00:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x730d66…
04-28 00:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd32e6a…
04-28 00:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xddc59a…
04-28 00:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	40	86¢	$35	0x3005fb…
04-27 23:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$3	0x78c82c…
04-27 21:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4f84f1…
04-27 18:30:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcafaf6…
04-27 18:27:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x8fd159…
04-27 17:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x6c3300…
04-27 16:03:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb3fd54…
04-27 15:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x5ba639…
04-27 05:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0xa2e888…
04-27 04:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0xd0ac49…
04-27 00:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x597697…
04-26 22:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	66	64¢	$42	0xdecc42…
04-26 22:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	125	28¢	$35	0x6b2d5f…
04-26 21:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x09e4b6…
04-26 21:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x8cea4c…
04-26 20:04:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	66	93¢	$61	0x25605e…
04-26 16:34:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x0dc0f8…
04-26 16:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0x509778…
04-26 16:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a00da…
04-26 16:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x595a2c…
04-26 16:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9c1351…
04-26 16:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x351b5f…
04-26 14:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x2e2013…
04-26 04:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x3a59b3…
04-26 04:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x77323c…
04-26 04:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on April 26?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xd3f599…
04-26 02:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x2b4e22…
04-26 01:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4abcbc…
04-26 01:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x151748…
04-25 22:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x242ebe…
04-25 21:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7ff394…
04-25 19:01:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0adc29…
04-25 19:00:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa01e7b…
04-25 18:58:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2cc1ac…
04-25 18:25:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0x5c4050…
04-25 17:29:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x5df3e6…
04-25 16:59:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xb10595…
04-25 16:58:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x13848d…
04-25 16:58:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf36f3e…
04-25 13:17:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?	Yes	SELL	36	88¢	$31	0x1b4ed3…
04-25 04:34:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x063fce…
04-25 02:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	102	89¢	$91	0xb9a62e…
04-24 23:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0xf02579…
04-24 23:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	63	47¢	$30	0x20d620…
04-24 23:14:02	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0xaa7499…
04-24 19:55:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x41ef68…
04-24 19:50:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	Yes	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0x5ac67b…
04-24 19:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xafb475…
04-24 19:33:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 25?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7ef047…
04-24 19:32:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0xa8c843…
04-24 19:05:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xbb57b7…
04-24 18:31:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x97df9a…
04-24 18:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x89f5ef…
04-24 17:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe6379b…
04-24 13:12:30	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xa637f4…
04-24 05:14:04	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	33	88¢	$29	0x369207…
04-24 05:13:54	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x644e23…
04-24 04:35:52	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	31	79¢	$24	0xccc97b…
04-24 04:26:48	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xb9103a…
04-24 04:08:42	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x72b8a0…
04-24 03:49:36	highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0xb8d63f…
04-23 23:57:18	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x68f98a…
04-23 23:56:52	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5d3540…
04-23 23:13:40	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x611ea1…
04-23 22:53:20	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xebb317…
04-23 22:51:10	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0xee5513…
04-23 19:48:20	highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc22ca3…