Defensive-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$360

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-17 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 50% +$10

Sports

27% — —

Crypto

25% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$62	205	0	+205	Yes	$-62	05-11 07:00
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	01-28 03:08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$40	111	0	+111	Heroic	+$71	05-08 03:40
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen	1	$31	77	0	+77	open	—	05-20 11:09
nfl gb pit 2026 08 13	1	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	08-12 06:14
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$23	37	0	+37	open	—	06-24 07:19
cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19	1	$23	60	0	+60	open	—	08-17 11:25
Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 12:18
ucl thu din 2026 07 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$18	66	0	+66	open	—	07-20 07:34
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 30 april 5	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-02 07:18
ethereum above 2600 on january 17	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	01-14 09:24
bitcoin above 58k on march 14	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-13 09:48
will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-02 07:18
will xrp reach 2pt1 february 23 march 1	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-28 09:16
solana above 90 on january 16	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	01-14 09:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 11:25:13	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19	Aurora Gaming	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x0365f2…
08-12 06:14:48	nfl gb pit 2026 08 13	Steelers	BUY	66	45¢	$30	0xc2ed58…
07-20 07:34:36	ucl thu din 2026 07 21 spread away 1pt5	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	BUY	66	27¢	$18	0x1fb32e…
06-24 07:19:55	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	37	64¢	$23	0xf7e589…
05-20 11:09:19	Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	77	40¢	$31	0xbccc8a…
05-11 07:00:33	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	205	30¢	$62	0x55f6cb…
05-08 03:40:42	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xde792f…
04-27 12:18:00	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaa6bca…
04-02 07:18:37	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x329f88…
04-02 07:18:19	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7787f1…
03-13 09:48:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 14	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xda9985…
02-28 09:16:23	will xrp reach 2pt1 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x491d91…
01-28 03:08:53	Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x07c698…
01-28 03:07:39	Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xa196dd…
01-28 03:06:21	Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7dd1a9…
01-14 09:24:26	ethereum above 2600 on january 17	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6fb196…
01-14 09:24:18	solana above 90 on january 16	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd3e45e…