Formal-Opinion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$860

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-29 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	26	+26	open	—	05-17 19:59
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-17 20:14
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-18 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-19 16:19
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-15 02:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-21 11:19
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-14 15:23
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	500	+500	open	—	05-15 06:04
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-16 09:20
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-18 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-17 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-20 10:29
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-14 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-13 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	$-5	05-14 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-17 21:34
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-18 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-14 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-20 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-29 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-29 08:05
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	13	+13	open	—	05-29 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	14	+14	Down	$-5	05-13 05:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	45	+45	open	—	05-15 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-19 10:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-16 14:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-21 09:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-17 09:04
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-19 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-15 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:06:36	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6f786b…
05-29 15:00:46	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe2c15c…
05-29 14:56:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x50802b…
05-29 14:50:37	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaf25ed…
05-29 14:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x15d40a…
05-29 14:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xaedff5…
05-29 14:25:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x386312…
05-29 14:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x57ed78…
05-29 13:47:37	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3db8c4…
05-29 13:43:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1c21bf…
05-29 13:35:33	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x37c045…
05-29 10:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfbff72…
05-29 10:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x894236…
05-29 10:08:19	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5b2af7…
05-29 09:54:35	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0408cb…
05-29 09:04:35	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xab6a0f…
05-29 08:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaa70d9…
05-29 08:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb5e0e4…
05-29 08:05:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd9e015…
05-28 23:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0bcf75…
05-21 13:46:15	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa9bf0a…
05-21 13:06:35	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4c0fac…
05-21 12:49:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7b1335…
05-21 12:33:20	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3b2a2a…
05-21 11:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbe678f…
05-21 11:19:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x574b18…
05-21 10:56:23	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x10a50c…
05-21 10:39:23	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x22e1f3…
05-21 10:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7f3b76…
05-21 09:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x95a2e9…
05-21 08:47:00	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbe9783…
05-20 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe40dd7…
05-20 14:06:13	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcd0f0e…
05-20 13:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x420cd3…
05-20 13:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2a36c2…
05-20 12:50:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe7e624…
05-20 11:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4dfb17…
05-20 11:09:35	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0c5684…
05-20 10:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7343a9…
05-20 10:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa4a77f…
05-19 18:34:37	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5ecfe3…
05-19 16:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x48b538…
05-19 15:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9d3019…
05-19 15:01:09	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb9f14d…
05-19 14:42:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe37b26…
05-19 14:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x26a349…
05-19 14:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf56b1d…
05-19 14:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x008a7a…
05-19 14:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x11f34f…
05-19 13:56:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x62bb48…
05-19 13:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x792a27…
05-19 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xbf9fc8…
05-19 13:22:06	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x58d450…
05-19 12:15:24	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x788f3b…
05-19 11:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf8cd04…
05-19 10:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x650faf…
05-19 10:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb01295…
05-19 09:30:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0553bb…
05-19 09:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4eeb11…
05-19 09:02:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x04abfd…
05-18 23:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa00ea9…
05-18 15:01:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd6df14…
05-18 14:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5869ba…
05-18 14:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x769cd2…
05-18 14:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x013d57…
05-18 14:40:32	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd883d0…
05-18 14:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb4d84a…
05-18 14:30:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf53706…
05-18 14:25:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x12ad0f…
05-18 14:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe063f4…
05-18 14:06:02	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xab90f1…
05-18 14:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x028377…
05-18 13:50:57	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9b800d…
05-18 13:45:53	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5632ea…
05-18 13:40:59	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9a2f45…
05-18 13:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4e36b1…
05-18 13:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8a033c…
05-18 13:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1ade7f…
05-18 12:41:43	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x77e7ce…
05-18 12:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xad64c1…
05-18 12:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0e41aa…
05-18 11:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x39d465…
05-18 11:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xadc3a2…
05-18 11:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd36001…
05-17 21:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe47d16…
05-17 21:39:37	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x837bb4…
05-17 21:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xba49c7…
05-17 21:19:35	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0a4348…
05-17 20:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4e4bce…
05-17 20:14:34	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2c6c6a…
05-17 20:14:32	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x86ad0c…
05-17 19:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcedc86…
05-17 19:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7df594…
05-17 19:04:34	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbb84eb…
05-17 12:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x720bf1…
05-17 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb2e0b0…
05-17 09:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0da429…
05-17 09:04:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1d08d4…
05-17 09:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1fc5b9…
05-16 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb115be…