Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

+$92

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$919

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$122

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-08 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 50% -$37

Sports

28% 67% -$31

Other

14% 25% -$111

Politics

5% 0% -$1

Tech

3% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+902	$30	14¢	$122	+$92	09-21 09:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	265	0	+265	No	-$100	07-10 21:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	8	$90	978	0	+978	Up	-$90	03-04 18:24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$83	141	141	+0	No	+$33	07-19 16:12
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$77	96	96	+0	Yes	+$36	07-19 16:12
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$75	139	0	+139	No	-$75	07-19 16:15
bitcoin up or down march 4 1pm et	2	$46	49	49	+0	Up	+$4	03-04 18:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	8	$42	99	36	+63	Up	+$8	10-03 19:58
Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	6	$34	131	131	+0	No	-$33	03-07 19:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 13:00 UTC	2	$33	26	26	+0	Down	+$13	03-04 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	5	$31	63	24	+39	Down	-$3	03-08 18:37
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$30	902	0	+902	open	—	09-21 09:37
Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	1	$27	79	0	+79	open	—	10-02 10:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	7	$26	93	28	+64	Down	+$0	03-05 09:41
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	1	$24	99	0	+99	Yes	-$24	03-03 17:49
Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	2	$23	58	0	+58	open	—	10-08 19:12
bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	3	$19	40	15	+25	Up	+$7	03-04 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 09:00 UTC	2	$19	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	03-04 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$17	24	24	+0	Up	-$1	10-06 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:45 UTC	2	$13	31	31	+0	Up	-$2	03-06 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:35 UTC	4	$13	15	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-06 20:40
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$12	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 21:50 UTC	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	07-10 21:51
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$11	208	208	+0	open	—	10-08 19:10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	1	$10	25	0	+25	No	+$15	09-28 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$7	14	14	+0	Up	-$3	09-06 20:18
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 21:45 UTC	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	-$5	07-10 21:55
spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	-$5	03-04 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:20 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	03-04 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	09-25 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	2	$4	44	0	+44	Up	-$4	09-30 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 19:12:27	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x95f699…
10-08 19:10:54	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	208	3¢	$6	0x9f0258…
10-07 16:32:43	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x2b5639…
10-06 21:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x1ccc1e…
10-06 21:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc57c99…
10-06 21:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x09648e…
10-06 21:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x103d1e…
10-03 19:58:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2f5eac…
10-03 19:56:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x328e3c…
10-03 19:55:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x6d4e03…
10-03 19:54:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe5757e…
10-03 19:53:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe5b1db…
10-03 19:52:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4a3357…
10-03 19:51:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xc29934…
10-03 19:50:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x45faea…
10-02 10:32:17	Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	Yes	BUY	79	34¢	$27	0x87ac84…
09-30 21:03:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa8f925…
09-30 21:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xab31aa…
09-28 08:23:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbe37dd…
09-25 23:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x9d8ffe…
09-25 23:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0e6878…
09-21 09:37:39	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0xa01029…
09-21 09:29:44	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xce8e09…
09-15 09:15:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5eca6c…
09-12 00:01:46	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xc63f75…
09-06 20:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0xe06038…
09-06 20:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6a28df…
09-06 15:56:00	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	814	3¢	$25	0x11ed6a…
07-19 16:15:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	139	54¢	$75	0x09d07a…
07-19 16:12:12	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	59¢	$56	0x90027e…
07-19 16:12:07	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	141	41¢	$58	0xcc7888…
07-10 22:10:53	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0x7e3d88…
07-10 22:10:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	141	18¢	$25	0x854fd2…
07-10 21:55:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4d27b9…
07-10 21:51:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x882756…
07-10 21:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x13204e…
07-10 21:50:26	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x985e45…
03-08 18:37:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x2349be…
03-08 18:37:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x1d3eec…
03-08 18:36:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x616e98…
03-08 18:35:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x37cbbc…
03-08 18:31:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x90f557…
03-07 19:50:55	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	SELL	131	0¢	$1	0xf20f4e…
03-07 17:40:53	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x5d0721…
03-07 17:40:23	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x592100…
03-07 17:40:13	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc67818…
03-07 17:38:57	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x8efcad…
03-06 20:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0x9d5a12…
03-06 20:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x884810…
03-06 20:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcadc48…
03-06 20:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3d9552…
03-06 20:40:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb76b2…
03-06 20:39:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf82d1a…
03-06 20:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0xb87eca…
03-06 20:36:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x090e1f…
03-06 20:34:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf607b1…
03-06 20:18:03	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x127df9…
03-06 13:21:45	Will MrBeast say "Impossible" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	82	37¢	$31	0xd59d04…
03-06 13:12:51	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x881366…
03-05 10:38:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x989b5e…
03-05 10:33:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4a292c…
03-05 09:41:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x830d0d…
03-05 09:40:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x051259…
03-05 09:37:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x9f25b6…
03-05 09:36:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x20a160…
03-05 09:36:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0a238e…
03-05 09:34:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x788ffd…
03-05 09:31:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x327bf0…
03-05 09:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xee09fc…
03-05 09:24:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa0925c…
03-05 08:56:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x3d63e3…
03-05 08:54:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x042dcc…
03-05 08:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x97844b…
03-05 08:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x9fda81…
03-05 08:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcbaf4c…
03-04 21:36:59	spx opens up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc83d7e…
03-04 21:30:05	will trump say job 10 times during tech signing event on wednesday	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9b167e…
03-04 18:37:55	bitcoin up or down march 4 1pm et	Down	SELL	49	52¢	$25	0x252c77…
03-04 18:32:15	bitcoin up or down march 4 1pm et	Down	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0x029ab1…
03-04 18:24:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xb8717f…
03-04 18:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb4b295…
03-04 18:20:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	237	8¢	$20	0x12eb7b…
03-04 18:19:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x31d8bf…
03-04 18:18:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0cd2ef…
03-04 18:18:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xab24d8…
03-04 18:16:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0f4d0b…
03-04 18:16:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x40f3b6…
03-04 13:12:09	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x39c84e…
03-04 13:07:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x5e1568…
03-04 13:03:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x057e01…
03-04 12:57:35	bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4df80e…
03-04 12:56:41	bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	Up	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xe53a5d…
03-04 12:48:23	bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb354dc…
03-04 12:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6853f6…
03-04 09:06:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x13715a…
03-04 09:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x778191…
03-04 08:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xef927d…
03-04 08:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc1d6a8…
03-04 08:22:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x98fcf7…
03-04 08:08:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7cf3fe…