Near-Forebear — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$319

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

2,064

Trades

2,921

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-01 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 49% -$113

Politics

6% 0% -$206

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 392 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	7	$206	205,440	0	+205,440	Yes	-$206	04-20 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:00 UTC	2	$84	400	372	+28	Up	+$80	04-17 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:10 UTC	19	$33	26	26	+0	Up	$0	03-29 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:15 UTC	13	$22	18	18	+0	Up	-$1	03-29 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:05 UTC	11	$22	36	33	+2	Down	+$2	03-29 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:55 UTC	12	$21	14	13	+0	Up	$0	03-29 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:50 UTC	10	$20	22	21	+1	Down	+$1	03-29 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:20 UTC	8	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:40 UTC	8	$17	13	13	+0	Down	$0	03-29 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:15 UTC	9	$15	11	9	+2	Up	+$1	04-03 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 22:15 UTC	8	$14	8	8	+0	Up	$0	03-28 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:25 UTC	7	$14	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	03-29 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 01:00 UTC	7	$13	10	10	+0	Up	$0	03-29 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:25 UTC	6	$11	17	9	+8	Down	-$1	04-03 18:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC	5	$10	10	6	+4	Up	-$1	04-03 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:05 UTC	6	$10	12	11	+1	Down	+$1	04-03 13:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:15 UTC	7	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	03-29 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:40 UTC	6	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:50 UTC	5	$9	7	4	+3	Up	-$1	03-29 15:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:15 UTC	4	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	04-03 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 19:30 UTC	4	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	04-03 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:30 UTC	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	$0	03-29 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:20 UTC	4	$7	35	35	+0	Down	+$0	03-29 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 18:35 UTC	5	$7	9	4	+4	Down	-$1	04-03 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:40 UTC	4	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$0	03-29 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 12:25 UTC	4	$6	7	7	+0	Down	$0	03-29 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 11:30 UTC	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	$0	03-29 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:55 UTC	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	03-29 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 19:45 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-04 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 16:40 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-03 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 12:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xe5a3e6…
10-01 12:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xab2ca4…
10-01 12:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x441cbe…
10-01 12:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x31fa6f…
10-01 12:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x090453…
10-01 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdace81…
10-01 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbc8220…
10-01 12:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd667f7…
10-01 12:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x968fa7…
10-01 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x35a1b3…
10-01 12:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa7b299…
10-01 12:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5fc479…
10-01 12:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdd9f81…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe820ea…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc89713…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9e3f63…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x745ed2…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4f2ae7…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x351ee2…
10-01 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0552e0…
10-01 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa388af…
10-01 11:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbb9ca2…
10-01 11:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x512c06…
10-01 11:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xea95ac…
10-01 11:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb373b2…
10-01 11:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x6a94a6…
10-01 11:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5ba283…
10-01 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1b5462…
10-01 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1ac8a1…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x98f6ac…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x95ce03…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x683588…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5cbffc…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x50f7af…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1b228d…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x19c797…
10-01 11:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x04bf8a…
10-01 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc0cb15…
10-01 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xafcc28…
10-01 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x2b2de0…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd7105c…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa23b1f…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x886428…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x65a975…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x30598f…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2c4263…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2016d8…
10-01 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x0b0871…
10-01 10:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xfdbe73…
10-01 10:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x3aa345…
10-01 10:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6b384f…
10-01 10:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x7d3ebb…
10-01 10:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x888890…
10-01 10:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcdd218…
10-01 10:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x230b19…
10-01 10:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae0b1e…
10-01 10:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe87a1a…
10-01 10:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xee38e0…
10-01 10:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6746bb…
10-01 10:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xcd4a9d…
10-01 10:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x83a0e2…
10-01 10:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x31530f…
10-01 10:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd9d6f7…
10-01 10:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb49e02…
10-01 10:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x1b6944…
10-01 10:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x966bf0…
10-01 10:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x560795…
10-01 10:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x850207…
10-01 10:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x538cd3…
10-01 10:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa675e6…
10-01 09:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd6f6c6…
10-01 09:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd72075…
10-01 09:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6755eb…
10-01 09:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdbb4c3…
10-01 09:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xc6a182…
10-01 09:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4cee3b…
10-01 09:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xf588c2…
10-01 09:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xd5bbcc…
10-01 09:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xa62fec…
10-01 09:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xb6f8a8…
10-01 09:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xdbea86…
10-01 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf292e6…
10-01 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xbdcc17…
10-01 09:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd0d64f…
10-01 09:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x8f0582…
10-01 09:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x762fd1…
10-01 09:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x0a3daf…
10-01 09:08:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4c3ae9…
10-01 09:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x432306…
10-01 08:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfff931…
10-01 08:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf3cb5c…
10-01 08:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xbd85b9…
10-01 08:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xeff5a4…
10-01 08:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4e34e1…
10-01 08:49:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5765a8…
10-01 08:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x127079…
10-01 08:36:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd99ca0…
10-01 08:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd07c2f…
10-01 08:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xc31d09…
10-01 08:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x8ec50d…