Crafty-Disparity-Baobab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.3%

Resolved

178

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$976

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 08-02 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

100% 24% -$95

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?	1	$18	32	+32	No	-$18	07-18 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?	1	$18	33	+33	No	-$18	07-12 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?	1	$17	71	+71	Yes	+$54	07-14 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?	1	$16	32	+32	Yes	+$17	07-08 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 16?	1	$16	28	+28	Yes	+$12	07-15 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?	1	$14	25	+25	Yes	+$11	08-01 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?	1	$14	509	+509	No	-$14	06-22 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?	1	$13	25	+25	No	-$13	08-02 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	1	$13	61	+61	No	-$13	06-20 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 10?	1	$13	18	+18	Yes	+$5	07-10 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 15?	1	$12	21	+21	No	-$12	06-15 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 10?	2	$12	44	+44	No	-$12	06-10 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	1	$12	26	+26	Yes	+$14	07-15 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 6?	1	$12	25	+25	No	-$12	07-06 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?	1	$12	23	+23	Yes	+$11	07-13 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?	1	$12	23	+23	Yes	+$11	07-27 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12?	1	$11	26	+26	Yes	+$15	06-12 08:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?	1	$11	25	+25	No	-$11	07-16 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 9?	1	$11	21	+21	Yes	+$11	06-09 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 11?	1	$10	20	+20	No	-$10	06-11 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?	1	$10	25	+25	No	-$10	06-13 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?	1	$10	18	+18	No	-$10	06-07 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	1	$10	23	+23	Yes	+$13	07-21 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 11?	1	$9	19	+19	No	-$9	06-11 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 9?	1	$9	18	+18	No	-$9	06-09 08:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 19?	1	$9	21	+21	Yes	+$12	06-19 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?	1	$9	19	+19	Yes	+$10	06-05 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9?	1	$9	19	+19	Yes	+$10	06-09 08:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?	1	$9	19	+19	No	-$9	06-08 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5?	1	$9	22	+22	No	-$9	06-05 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 08:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf8d506…
08-02 08:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x60db86…
08-02 08:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xb3fde5…
08-01 04:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xed30ba…
08-01 04:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0x612983…
08-01 04:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd35a9b…
08-01 04:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	213	0¢	$1	0x6dc9a0…
07-29 18:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x85b074…
07-29 18:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x55346a…
07-29 18:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x8a78cf…
07-29 18:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x298d2f…
07-27 08:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x60f63c…
07-27 08:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xed5f44…
07-27 08:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x6b961a…
07-27 08:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x73ebd7…
07-24 14:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x670370…
07-24 14:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xfc69f2…
07-24 14:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x8b6a43…
07-24 14:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4c26a1…
07-23 01:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x1cb9f0…
07-23 01:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x3ca2a5…
07-23 01:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xbc663a…
07-23 01:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x017e97…
07-21 17:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xb9a000…
07-21 17:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xc16a8d…
07-21 17:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	22	31¢	$7	0x635913…
07-18 05:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xbf14e1…
07-18 05:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x190a8f…
07-18 05:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xf90783…
07-16 18:23:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0xb74a96…
07-16 18:22:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc4c146…
07-16 18:22:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x6b70bb…
07-16 18:21:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$11	0xb2b650…
07-16 18:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0xfe1d50…
07-16 18:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x8632e8…
07-16 18:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x3ee479…
07-16 17:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x39c4b3…
07-16 17:53:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0xcbf4c1…
07-16 17:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x0b0769…
07-15 15:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x511e16…
07-15 15:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x70193f…
07-15 15:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x5891b5…
07-15 15:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xed71b5…
07-15 03:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xa7ea7a…
07-15 03:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x5d8d0e…
07-15 03:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x09ca1c…
07-14 04:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0xd9ceea…
07-14 04:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	71	24¢	$17	0xf9eb5b…
07-13 06:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xa16650…
07-13 06:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	22	33¢	$7	0x933a59…
07-13 06:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x29713d…
07-13 06:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x13a918…
07-12 06:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x96bd32…
07-12 06:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3cefa9…
07-12 06:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	222	0¢	$1	0x39d20f…
07-12 06:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0xae46db…
07-10 06:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xfadd0a…
07-10 06:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x5d83c7…
07-09 07:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x792e46…
07-09 07:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xb9b462…
07-09 07:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf4e0d3…
07-09 07:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x3e8e46…
07-08 03:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	32	48¢	$16	0xacbc28…
07-08 03:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	29	12¢	$3	0x50d64f…
07-08 03:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x557685…
07-08 03:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x956596…
07-07 09:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x141114…
07-07 09:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xbc7e8a…
07-07 09:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x50b274…
07-07 09:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x775401…
07-06 06:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x761401…
07-06 06:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$3	0xbee914…
07-06 06:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0990aa…
07-06 06:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on July 6?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x6e22e6…
07-05 06:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xc2254a…
07-05 06:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xc2696b…
07-05 06:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x7742cc…
07-04 07:10:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xacbf8a…
07-04 07:10:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x479643…
07-04 07:09:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$4	0xf58b2e…
07-04 07:09:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 4?	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x87b694…
07-02 07:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x42c3f1…
07-02 07:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x7127f0…
07-02 07:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x4ddd1c…
06-30 10:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa4bebf…
06-30 10:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x73ca67…
06-30 10:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x391e70…
06-30 10:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xbca70b…
06-22 13:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	509	3¢	$14	0xbd0e07…
06-22 13:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4d4971…
06-22 13:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x401c0d…
06-21 05:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0xee3777…
06-21 05:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x6f3002…
06-21 05:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x4771fa…
06-21 05:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x684783…
06-20 05:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf511c1…
06-20 04:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	61	21¢	$13	0x5201d7…
06-20 04:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6f4570…
06-20 04:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x327ece…
06-19 04:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0x9f5dd3…