Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$135

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

243

Trades

588

lifetime

Volume

$36.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$766

1 position

First seen

2026-07-07

last 11-04 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 70% +$471

Sports

8% 54% -$235

Politics

6% 67% +$139

Other

3% 50% -$361

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 338 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+771	$630	99¢	$766	+$135	11-04 10:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	2	$1.1K	602	602	+0	Warriors	+$102	10-29 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	10	$834	599	515	+83	Up	-$116	10-27 07:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$671	707	0	+707	Yes	+$36	10-27 19:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$663	395	395	+0	Yes	+$126	11-04 10:19
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	1	$630	771	0	+771	open	—	11-04 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$600	674	0	+674	Down	+$74	10-26 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	6	$543	582	139	+443	Up	-$13	10-27 18:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$540	373	373	+0	No	-$4	10-29 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$525	444	444	+0	Up	-$75	10-26 08:46
Thunder vs. Mavericks	1	$500	595	0	+595	Mavericks	+$95	10-29 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$500	561	0	+561	Up	+$61	10-26 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	7	$496	381	326	+56	Up	-$14	10-27 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	8	$472	868	239	+629	Up	-$178	10-27 10:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$465	241	241	+0	Yes	+$17	11-04 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	5	$424	392	120	+272	Up	+$6	10-27 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$410	219	219	+0	Down	+$10	10-27 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$400	592	0	+592	Down	+$192	10-26 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$400	421	0	+421	Down	+$21	10-26 14:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$397	2,260	0	+2,260	Yes	-$397	09-15 01:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$392	3,239	0	+3,239	Yes	-$392	07-08 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$350	427	0	+427	Down	+$77	10-26 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$339	214	214	+0	Down	+$89	10-26 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$331	417	252	+165	Down	-$119	10-27 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	5	$306	400	166	+234	Down	+$190	10-27 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$303	269	106	+164	Down	-$6	10-27 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$300	324	0	+324	Down	+$24	10-26 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$300	330	0	+330	Down	+$30	10-27 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$300	315	0	+315	Up	+$15	10-27 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$295	335	174	+161	Up	-$43	10-27 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$275	360	0	+360	Up	-$275	10-26 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 10:33:30	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	771	82¢	$630	0xa6c96d…
11-04 10:19:01	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	395	100¢	$394	0xa6b77e…
11-04 10:18:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	241	100¢	$241	0xd969a4…
10-29 06:52:47	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	395	68¢	$268	0x9b63a6…
10-29 06:52:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	373	72¢	$268	0x053e4b…
10-29 06:13:41	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	373	73¢	$272	0x4461ae…
10-29 06:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x4cb764…
10-29 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	103	25¢	$26	0xfdaf8d…
10-29 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb5061f…
10-29 06:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x459b08…
10-29 06:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0f98e7…
10-29 06:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x942e85…
10-29 06:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x6b3bfd…
10-29 05:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xc2845d…
10-29 05:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x35bc04…
10-29 05:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x2ccb68…
10-29 05:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x2c92b2…
10-29 05:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xd87398…
10-29 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xa21f1a…
10-29 05:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x3c1425…
10-29 05:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6564ae…
10-29 05:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x284819…
10-29 05:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x4704e3…
10-29 03:35:11	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x8e8254…
10-29 03:02:35	Spread: Clippers (-2.5)	Clippers	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x1394e0…
10-29 03:01:23	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	SELL	602	100¢	$602	0xfa078c…
10-29 02:00:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	223	93¢	$207	0x41103a…
10-29 01:19:01	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	602	83¢	$500	0x64e14f…
10-28 03:30:19	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xcd8d9a…
10-27 19:03:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	707	95¢	$671	0x0a9733…
10-27 18:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa02d29…
10-27 18:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4816db…
10-27 18:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x355b20…
10-27 18:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x3a8e72…
10-27 18:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x5f9d9f…
10-27 18:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x08b016…
10-27 18:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1999e8…
10-27 18:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x6c1ab4…
10-27 18:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6df859…
10-27 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xd1f7c8…
10-27 18:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4deb9a…
10-27 18:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd25ca4…
10-27 18:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	139	31¢	$43	0x56058c…
10-27 18:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x77701c…
10-27 18:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2c549c…
10-27 18:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0db851…
10-27 18:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xfe3cba…
10-27 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xa3304a…
10-27 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe22544…
10-27 18:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xc8acea…
10-27 18:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0x232e37…
10-27 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	60	24¢	$14	0x239541…
10-27 18:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x3de90b…
10-27 18:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x373a1f…
10-27 18:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	52	12¢	$6	0x69c1a5…
10-27 18:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x12f541…
10-27 18:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xe196e3…
10-27 18:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6f2f53…
10-27 18:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x3a1dca…
10-27 18:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x99597d…
10-27 17:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9a2012…
10-27 17:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc39c93…
10-27 17:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xf3cbed…
10-27 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc40ae5…
10-27 17:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x37f2cb…
10-27 17:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xc7b3c2…
10-27 17:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xe6b86d…
10-27 17:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x6ef6e3…
10-27 17:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x78554e…
10-27 17:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x157945…
10-27 17:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x2913bf…
10-27 17:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x6e75d8…
10-27 17:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xe5a6d3…
10-27 16:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x80bf3f…
10-27 16:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x04ac52…
10-27 16:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1e3176…
10-27 16:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x237dc2…
10-27 16:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf52b42…
10-27 16:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xeb0725…
10-27 16:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1bc3ba…
10-27 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3bc28c…
10-27 16:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x673686…
10-27 16:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x95c01f…
10-27 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x94b1b5…
10-27 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x4271bd…
10-27 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x15acc5…
10-27 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x4786cd…
10-27 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x3ee729…
10-27 16:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x47ef45…
10-27 16:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xc460c8…
10-27 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0121bb…
10-27 16:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x4ec154…
10-27 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x3d4cfe…
10-27 16:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x038e0f…
10-27 16:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	69	65¢	$45	0x331c43…
10-27 16:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x6ae3f6…
10-27 16:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x758cd2…
10-27 16:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6c91ac…
10-27 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xade6b1…
10-27 16:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xa068c5…