Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$51.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$864

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 08-13 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% 100% +$1

Other

45% 100% +$4

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$1.5K	1,543	+1,543	open	—	08-13 04:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$1.5K	1,540	+1,540	open	—	07-26 17:52
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$1.5K	1,527	+1,527	open	—	07-21 22:01
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$1.5K	1,523	+1,523	open	—	07-17 04:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	4	$1.5K	1,521	+1,521	open	—	07-07 16:02
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	1	$1.5K	1,516	+1,516	open	—	06-25 06:30
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$1.5K	1,508	+1,508	open	—	06-22 05:20
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	1	$1.5K	1,505	+1,505	open	—	06-18 18:28
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	3	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	open	—	06-17 22:11
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	4	$1.5K	1,487	+1,487	open	—	06-04 07:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,484	+1,484	open	—	06-02 19:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$1.5K	1,471	+1,471	open	—	06-01 18:58
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1.5K	1,459	+1,459	open	—	05-20 21:04
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$1.4K	1,452	+1,452	open	—	05-16 22:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,449	+1,449	open	—	05-15 20:41
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	5	$1.4K	1,447	+1,447	open	—	05-14 18:43
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1.4K	1,439	+1,439	No	+$1	05-06 02:03
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,437	+1,437	Yes	+$4	05-02 05:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$1.4K	1,433	+1,433	open	—	04-25 03:05
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	1	$1.4K	1,423	+1,423	open	—	04-21 19:53
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$1.4K	1,422	+1,422	open	—	04-19 15:44
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	3	$1.4K	1,420	+1,420	open	—	04-13 20:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$1.4K	1,416	+1,416	open	—	04-09 04:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1.4K	1,413	+1,413	open	—	04-07 04:20
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$1.4K	1,410	+1,410	open	—	03-20 05:54
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	2	$1.4K	1,396	+1,396	open	—	03-18 22:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.3K	1,375	+1,375	open	—	02-02 23:15
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	1	$1.3K	1,345	+1,345	open	—	01-30 22:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.3K	1,337	+1,337	open	—	01-27 23:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1.3K	1,308	+1,308	open	—	03-18 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 04:16:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,543	100¢	$1,540	0x533305…
07-26 17:52:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,540	99¢	$1,527	0x963b5f…
07-21 22:01:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,527	100¢	$1,522	0xb075f2…
07-17 04:22:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,523	100¢	$1,521	0x4ba50b…
07-07 16:02:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	1,118	100¢	$1,114	0xb35d76…
07-07 14:31:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa79e18…
07-07 14:06:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x307c30…
07-07 12:14:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xce21c6…
06-25 06:30:28	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	1,516	99¢	$1,507	0x33eff5…
06-22 05:20:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	1,508	100¢	$1,505	0x693ef6…
06-18 18:28:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	1,505	100¢	$1,502	0x57fcc3…
06-17 22:11:08	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,156	0x8a7236…
06-17 22:10:59	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60b9a6…
06-17 22:10:26	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0xb2dc54…
06-12 18:05:12	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1,187	100¢	$1,186	0x2e81a7…
06-10 15:50:52	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,186	100¢	$1,184	0xf3da94…
06-04 07:32:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7d3b95…
06-04 07:32:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x297ea5…
06-04 07:32:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0458b4…
06-04 07:32:49	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,434	100¢	$1,431	0x2c916d…
06-02 19:23:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,484	99¢	$1,470	0xfe9cd3…
06-01 18:58:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,471	100¢	$1,469	0x787447…
05-20 21:04:31	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	648	100¢	$645	0x371029…
05-20 21:02:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	811	100¢	$807	0x2e1522…
05-16 22:22:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,452	100¢	$1,449	0xa3dabc…
05-15 20:41:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,449	100¢	$1,448	0x748abb…
05-14 18:43:05	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x905112…
05-14 18:03:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x18b5a8…
05-14 18:01:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xf050b9…
05-14 18:01:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0x80843b…
05-14 17:59:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	618	100¢	$615	0x2703c3…
05-06 02:03:08	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	1,439	100¢	$1,437	0x28bd4c…
05-02 05:19:12	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	824	100¢	$821	0xa63e44…
05-02 05:18:34	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	613	100¢	$611	0x8326c4…
04-25 03:05:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	1,433	99¢	$1,423	0x3d7e50…
04-21 19:53:10	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,423	100¢	$1,422	0xf37509…
04-19 15:44:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1,422	100¢	$1,420	0x584b68…
04-13 20:22:17	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	370	100¢	$369	0x8ce8cc…
04-13 19:41:49	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x954d56…
04-13 19:10:03	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x28ffc9…
04-09 04:00:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1,416	100¢	$1,413	0xceb5e0…
04-07 04:20:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,413	100¢	$1,410	0x6d35c6…
03-20 05:54:13	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	1,410	99¢	$1,396	0xff736b…
03-18 22:27:37	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	1,310	100¢	$1,308	0x6afe3d…
03-18 05:18:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,308	99¢	$1,302	0x2d19d3…
03-17 06:08:03	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	86	98¢	$85	0x8f411d…
03-15 01:50:47	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,302	100¢	$1,298	0x103fed…
03-12 05:33:51	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1,298	100¢	$1,297	0xaf8beb…
03-08 16:18:35	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,297	100¢	$1,293	0xbc0e89…
03-06 02:46:19	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,211	0x53c62e…
03-06 02:01:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x82fba3…
03-06 02:01:03	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x319fb9…
03-06 02:01:01	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfea20d…
03-06 02:01:01	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0c459e…
03-06 01:58:39	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfe5863…
03-05 05:41:35	new stranger things episode released by march 15 276 499 374 933 589 784	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x9cf116…
02-02 23:15:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,375	98¢	$1,345	0xf4d093…
01-30 22:17:16	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,345	99¢	$1,337	0x79ab3a…
01-27 23:22:33	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,337	99¢	$1,329	0xcfaa54…