Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$42

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

433

Trades

3,107

lifetime

Volume

$74.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$1.22K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-23 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

48% 44% +$12,555

Politics

35% 32% -$5,055

Crypto

17% 22% +$4,189

Sports

0% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		-8,433	-$1,181	15¢	$-1223	-$42	09-16 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jd vance clap 100 times or more during the state of the union	18	$4.0K	4,047	4,047	+0	No	+$505	02-25 05:31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$2.7K	1,553	1,553	+0	Yes	+$371	09-21 10:33
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	5	$1.8K	2,243	2,243	+0	No	-$1,329	09-21 11:02
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	4	$1.7K	1,260	1,260	+0	Yes	+$64	02-28 11:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	20	$1.6K	13,982	13,982	+0	No	-$1,267	04-01 01:03
nothing ever happens khamenei	27	$1.6K	7,015	0	+7,015	No	+$5,440	02-04 13:36
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	2	$1.6K	2,957	1,352	+1,605	Yes	+$2,527	01-23 16:02
will iran strike israel on march 7	4	$1.3K	1,456	878	+578	Yes	+$140	03-07 07:18
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$1.3K	1,496	1,496	+0	No	+$351	03-02 10:42
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$1.2K	0	8,433	-8,433	open	—	09-16 08:41
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	12	$959	4,151	4,151	+0	No	+$535	01-10 14:28
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	1	$908	2,521	0	+2,521	No	-$908	03-13 23:20
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	9	$837	6,408	6,408	+0	No	-$239	01-20 07:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	23	$822	966	966	+0	No	-$11	09-21 19:24
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	6	$793	572	572	+0	Yes	+$225	03-25 14:35
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	7	$764	3,037	1,337	+1,700	No	-$42	02-05 18:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$737	2,801	2,801	+0	No	-$496	03-31 00:37
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	16	$698	1,269	1,269	+0	Yes	+$13	01-14 23:05
will trump say nuclear 5 times during meetings with slovak prime minister	10	$691	1,073	1,073	+0	No	-$451	01-17 20:39
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	16	$689	4,834	3,168	+1,666	No	+$9	02-06 12:03
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$671	2,413	2,413	+0	No	+$103	03-02 14:24
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	14	$671	4,407	4,407	+0	No	-$188	02-25 04:01
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	29	$602	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$422	01-16 14:51
ethereum up or down february 8 11am et	30	$588	682	494	+187	Down	+$292	02-08 16:44
bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	26	$579	965	965	+0	Down	+$347	02-01 20:51
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	14	$571	1,705	1,681	+24	Yes	+$390	01-26 13:53
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	11	$534	1,578	1,068	+511	No	+$278	01-26 12:49
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	7	$513	1,870	1,870	+0	No	-$139	01-23 16:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	8	$483	898	0	+898	Yes	-$483	04-08 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 17:25 UTC	34	$480	905	0	+905	Up	-$480	03-19 17:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 16:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x868077…
09-23 16:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb8030e…
09-23 16:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc50a41…
09-23 16:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xd0568a…
09-21 19:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	42¢	$46	0xc4f7d9…
09-21 19:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x52ce16…
09-21 19:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x094a48…
09-21 19:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xcae79c…
09-21 19:23:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	42¢	$100	0x3f2670…
09-21 19:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x3ca987…
09-21 19:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	42¢	$79	0xffe745…
09-21 19:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x523a13…
09-21 19:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xfde2c3…
09-21 19:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x7bf870…
09-21 19:20:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x170d48…
09-21 19:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x31223c…
09-21 19:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xea37b9…
09-21 19:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xc413db…
09-21 19:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x452363…
09-21 19:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x274ebf…
09-21 19:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8b1e89…
09-21 19:17:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xe52f19…
09-21 19:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	42¢	$21	0x20a7a3…
09-21 19:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	42¢	$95	0xa3017d…
09-21 11:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	43¢	$136	0xd6f4a4…
09-21 11:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	43¢	$267	0xf8dc0a…
09-21 11:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0xf78ac1…
09-21 11:14:53	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xbd0695…
09-21 11:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	429	50¢	$214	0x46316e…
09-21 11:02:14	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1,369	10¢	$136	0xdf6812…
09-21 11:02:14	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	51	11¢	$5	0x4dfd78…
09-21 11:02:14	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	823	10¢	$81	0x2dd7ab…
09-21 10:35:50	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0xbc3aee…
09-21 10:35:18	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	2,209	69¢	$1,527	0x6eb3a7…
09-21 10:33:57	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,553	100¢	$1,551	0x8dd370…
09-16 08:43:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xf5d88b…
09-16 08:42:33	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,500	76¢	$1,140	0x07a54e…
09-16 08:41:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8,433	14¢	$1,181	0xfcc9b8…
08-30 16:08:10	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	Yes	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xd46c9a…
04-17 00:31:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	Yes	BUY	822	13¢	$110	0x69edb1…
04-13 19:58:03	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfc5e30…
04-13 19:57:55	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	BUY	187	15¢	$28	0x9d20e1…
04-13 19:57:03	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x41460a…
04-13 19:56:47	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0xb29f5a…
04-13 19:56:33	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$4	0xeed596…
04-13 19:49:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	Yes	BUY	566	1¢	$5	0x618b80…
04-13 19:45:49	will trump say hezbollah this week april 19	Yes	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0x3e9ff9…
04-13 19:37:01	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 140 159	Yes	BUY	155	11¢	$16	0x9eb17d…
04-12 14:52:53	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0xbcdbc4…
04-12 14:22:43	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	51	27¢	$14	0xa512c5…
04-12 13:11:51	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x180236…
04-12 13:10:05	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x783682…
04-09 22:07:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x2f70dc…
04-09 22:07:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7082a3…
04-09 22:07:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	87	13¢	$11	0x4838e3…
04-09 19:17:11	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0x369330…
04-09 19:17:11	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x212157…
04-09 11:59:15	Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x21126a…
04-09 08:35:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	406	53¢	$216	0xf61c38…
04-08 20:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	0¢	$0	0x6fdc98…
04-08 20:11:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	269	54¢	$145	0x010fc9…
04-08 20:10:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	85	54¢	$46	0x3544cc…
04-08 20:10:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x3926ff…
04-08 20:10:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x438521…
04-08 20:09:49	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	236	54¢	$127	0xcbb27e…
04-08 20:09:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x530180…
04-08 20:09:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	62	54¢	$34	0x6ad3a4…
04-08 20:09:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	111	54¢	$59	0x139edc…
04-08 19:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	95	49¢	$47	0x118313…
04-08 19:03:19	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0x5342f0…
04-08 19:02:01	will trump say biden or obama 6 times during events with rutte	No	BUY	44	77¢	$34	0xe7ff2e…
04-08 19:01:27	will trump say nuclear 3 times during events with rutte	No	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x00a449…
04-08 19:01:05	will trump say fantastic during events with rutte	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x158d15…
04-08 19:00:53	will trump say macron or france during events with rutte	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9a12a7…
04-08 19:00:51	will trump say macron or france during events with rutte	No	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0xbc53b6…
04-08 19:00:23	will trump say putin during events with rutte	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x9d981f…
04-08 19:00:07	will trump say courage or brave during events with rutte	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9042ca…
04-08 18:51:19	will trump say strait or hormuz during events with rutte	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x413a18…
04-08 18:50:23	will trump say courage or brave during events with rutte	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x01d970…
04-08 18:50:03	will trump say putin during events with rutte	No	BUY	33	62¢	$21	0x8f1f1d…
04-08 18:37:09	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	168	21¢	$35	0x47474d…
04-08 17:49:57	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0xfee415…
04-08 17:49:57	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7811b9…
04-08 17:49:55	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xc64a1f…
04-08 17:49:53	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	122	32¢	$39	0xa57981…
04-08 17:49:13	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	189	65¢	$122	0xa70d5e…
04-08 17:49:07	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	125	65¢	$81	0x6fce05…
04-08 17:29:21	Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	132	17¢	$22	0x533cfe…
04-08 14:55:29	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x3d1e62…
04-08 14:55:19	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	22	60¢	$14	0x2829a3…
04-08 14:53:03	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	302	68¢	$205	0xbf53f8…
04-08 14:45:23	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x480a5b…
04-08 07:14:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,325	0¢	$9	0x109cfa…
04-07 12:06:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	215	35¢	$75	0xebb333…
04-06 18:32:15	will trump say china during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x3c1d39…
04-06 18:24:59	will trump say biden during monday news conference	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x36686c…
04-06 18:24:19	will trump say moon during monday news conference	Yes	SELL	77	29¢	$22	0xc15aa2…
04-06 18:21:09	will trump say biden during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc3e8c0…
04-06 18:13:21	will trump say left behind during monday news conference	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x24de8e…
04-06 18:12:07	will trump say fuck or fucking during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0xe5b392…