Gullible-Clock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$336

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

331

Trades

3,815

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-21 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-324

Other

0% 0% $-12

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$290	195	195	+0	open	—	05-04 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	32	$269	282	235	+47	open	—	05-27 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$207	0	230	-230	open	—	05-27 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$198	130	130	+0	open	—	05-04 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	10	$175	200	150	+50	open	—	05-28 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$169	110	110	+0	open	—	04-28 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$162	277	277	+0	open	—	05-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	7	$154	223	158	+65	open	—	04-24 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	10	$152	160	120	+40	open	—	05-27 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$143	183	161	+22	open	—	04-28 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$135	129	129	+0	open	—	04-28 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$130	120	120	+0	open	—	04-28 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$127	114	114	+0	open	—	05-27 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	16	$127	340	222	+118	open	—	05-27 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	13	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$125	137	117	+20	open	—	04-28 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$119	160	77	+83	open	—	05-27 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	05-28 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	11	$114	81	81	+0	open	—	05-03 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$113	167	100	+67	open	—	05-04 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$111	194	0	+194	open	—	05-04 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	7	$110	75	75	+0	open	—	05-01 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$107	103	103	+0	open	—	05-28 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$104	86	71	+15	open	—	05-01 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	9	$104	201	118	+83	open	—	05-27 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	open	—	05-27 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$100	189	0	+189	open	—	05-28 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	05-04 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$99	82	82	+0	Down	+$19	05-13 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$97	85	85	+0	open	—	04-28 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 12:41:07	btc updown 5m 1782045600	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x5c192c…
06-21 12:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782045300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd06601…
06-21 12:38:01	btc updown 5m 1782045300	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x41a0f4…
06-21 12:37:25	btc updown 5m 1782045300	Up	SELL	37	21¢	$8	0xaf5a4a…
06-21 12:35:10	btc updown 5m 1782045300	Up	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x3f2d36…
06-21 12:25:49	btc updown 5m 1782044700	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8645cd…
06-21 12:24:04	btc updown 5m 1782044700	Up	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xa34168…
06-21 12:22:20	btc updown 5m 1782044700	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x5ef74a…
06-21 12:21:11	btc updown 5m 1782044400	Up	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0xed948b…
06-21 12:20:07	btc updown 5m 1782044400	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4ae38f…
06-21 12:18:04	btc updown 5m 1782044100	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf087f4…
06-21 12:15:59	btc updown 5m 1782044100	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x0a4991…
06-21 12:14:46	btc updown 5m 1782044100	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6ed2d3…
06-21 12:06:37	btc updown 5m 1782043500	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6a6b48…
06-21 12:05:52	btc updown 5m 1782043500	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8170a8…
06-21 12:04:29	btc updown 5m 1782043200	Up	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x991979…
06-21 12:04:29	btc updown 5m 1782043200	Up	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x1a08ac…
06-21 12:02:11	btc updown 5m 1782043200	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6bbb25…
06-21 11:41:02	btc updown 5m 1782042000	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x81de3f…
06-21 11:40:14	btc updown 5m 1782042000	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9b6dbd…
06-21 11:37:11	btc updown 5m 1782041700	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x80a15b…
06-21 11:37:04	btc updown 5m 1782041700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9ab1de…
06-21 11:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782041100	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe8c494…
06-21 11:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782041100	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7d687b…
06-21 11:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782041100	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5f79d6…
06-21 11:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782041100	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x26544d…
06-21 11:17:14	btc updown 5m 1782040800	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9bb0aa…
06-21 11:14:58	btc updown 5m 1782040200	Down	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x9508bd…
06-21 11:10:01	btc updown 5m 1782040200	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbf0298…
06-21 11:02:19	btc updown 5m 1782039900	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x547573…
06-21 10:56:49	btc updown 5m 1782039300	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xad3212…
06-21 10:54:56	btc updown 5m 1782039300	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0a7448…
06-21 10:45:13	btc updown 5m 1782038700	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x19b820…
06-21 10:41:38	btc updown 5m 1782038400	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x36f569…
06-21 10:38:05	btc updown 5m 1782038100	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc472ef…
06-02 21:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8693d9…
06-02 21:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x48f031…
06-02 21:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x4cb10e…
06-02 21:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1dd030…
06-02 21:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xfcf7b8…
06-02 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xd1db41…
06-02 20:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4870d9…
06-02 20:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x844dd0…
06-02 20:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x146906…
06-02 20:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x22db5c…
06-02 20:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x418267…
06-02 20:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x21c579…
06-02 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3dae2d…
06-02 20:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x1e70e3…
06-02 20:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x37ee88…
06-02 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x4ff940…
06-02 20:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xec2ad3…
06-02 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x90a835…
06-02 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6d2b95…
06-02 20:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x230424…
06-02 20:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x727274…
06-02 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62d177…
06-02 20:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xc1c968…
06-02 20:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa3dd8e…
06-02 20:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd729ad…
06-02 20:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x32b23b…
06-02 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1c1071…
06-02 19:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4443ca…
06-02 19:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xae84df…
06-02 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x84e86d…
06-02 19:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x40e9f8…
06-02 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb0eae8…
06-02 18:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3ccab9…
06-02 18:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x17b6e1…
06-02 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xb8c776…
06-02 18:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x5e6e4b…
06-02 18:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x2b4d53…
06-02 18:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x57da37…
06-02 18:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x287110…
06-02 18:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xcf642d…
06-02 18:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xdda888…
06-02 18:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x430338…
06-02 18:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x2e95ea…
06-02 18:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x99d314…
06-02 18:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xfe52b5…
06-02 18:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x175e0d…
06-02 18:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa5e9e3…
06-02 18:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x68c64b…
06-02 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xd60acd…
06-02 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x64258a…
06-02 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5625d1…
06-02 18:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x131529…
06-02 18:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb7e1e3…
06-02 18:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x9df263…
06-02 18:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x167dcf…
06-02 18:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x906d18…
06-02 18:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xe78839…
06-02 18:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdb60e9…
06-02 18:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x56bebf…
06-02 18:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe2df06…
06-02 18:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xdecd80…
06-02 18:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x02b29a…
06-02 18:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6b949f…
06-02 18:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xe1bf0b…
06-02 18:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x73cd81…