Extra-Large-Daybed-Pause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.81K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

30.9%

Resolved

7,383

Trades

28,307

lifetime

Volume

$56.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-08 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 23% -$2,082

Other

48% 20% -$720

Politics

0% 14% -$4

Sports

0% 11% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 612 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 8?	Yes		+43	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	11-08 03:17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 7?	Yes		+45	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-07 22:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	6	$309	300	300	+0	open	—	07-14 18:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	9	$307	200	200	+0	Yes	-$7	07-24 21:24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 24?	12	$304	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-23 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?	13	$273	200	200	+0	Yes	-$9	07-21 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	18	$231	191	191	+0	No	-$1	07-08 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$202	208	6	+202	Down	-$200	05-22 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?	20	$200	200	200	+0	No	-$6	07-21 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$200	231	0	+231	Up	+$31	05-22 21:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?	6	$197	146	146	+0	No	-$8	07-21 00:15
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	10	$191	386	24	+362	Yes	+$4	06-07 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?	5	$181	185	185	+0	No	-$1	07-08 20:26
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?	7	$179	250	250	+0	Yes	+$12	06-08 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	8	$173	158	158	+0	Yes	-$6	07-04 21:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?	6	$172	150	150	+0	No	-$2	07-01 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	6	$171	154	154	+0	No	-$3	07-06 21:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	2	$161	100	100	+0	No	-$5	07-26 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 30?	8	$160	152	152	+0	Yes	-$4	06-30 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 22?	2	$160	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?	6	$157	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	07-01 00:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?	2	$156	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 30?	6	$156	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	06-30 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?	2	$155	100	100	+0	No	-$5	07-26 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	8	$154	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-19 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?	8	$150	125	125	+0	Yes	$0	06-28 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 29?	4	$148	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-29 06:10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 23?	2	$146	100	100	+0	No	-$6	07-21 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 23?	3	$145	94	94	+0	No	-$1	07-22 22:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?	6	$145	100	100	+0	No	-$5	07-26 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 18?	3	$144	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-17 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 26?	5	$144	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	06-26 00:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 06:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdb2e59…
11-08 06:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x107713…
11-08 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xecfa6f…
11-08 06:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8f3b29…
11-08 05:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1b168d…
11-08 05:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x09e79a…
11-08 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xf12ce8…
11-08 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x980ebf…
11-08 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9275cc…
11-08 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7d2850…
11-08 05:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a208b…
11-08 05:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb56a64…
11-08 05:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x067c87…
11-08 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb7307c…
11-08 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x720c6b…
11-08 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x637a7b…
11-08 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x331b52…
11-08 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1c4a2f…
11-08 05:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa35894…
11-08 04:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xf9b3e5…
11-08 04:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x5218a5…
11-08 04:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x097e83…
11-08 03:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xffd0c3…
11-08 03:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3f7f3a…
11-08 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x59f787…
11-08 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2ab32d…
11-08 03:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xcd15a4…
11-08 03:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x9ca220…
11-08 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xebb058…
11-08 02:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xf93fbf…
11-08 02:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcf42d0…
11-08 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xd4fdff…
11-08 02:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x39bf08…
11-08 01:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc3c68b…
11-08 01:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0xba974a…
11-08 01:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0x559dbc…
11-08 01:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa8fc11…
11-08 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x1f82eb…
11-08 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x840614…
11-08 01:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xddee91…
11-08 01:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x341b1e…
11-08 01:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1a0f33…
11-08 01:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x11314d…
11-08 01:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xfd9b10…
11-08 00:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x750da2…
11-08 00:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x3ddf7b…
11-08 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x66fb79…
11-08 00:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x992be3…
11-08 00:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x334465…
11-08 00:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a9dda…
11-08 00:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x055383…
11-08 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe23bd1…
11-08 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb8c13c…
11-08 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x694ae0…
11-07 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xf672bb…
11-07 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xdc24ea…
11-07 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8affc6…
11-07 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x320495…
11-07 23:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0e73b1…
11-07 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x970599…
11-07 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x42a36f…
11-07 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x38db0e…
11-07 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x182efa…
11-07 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x13a4fc…
11-07 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x8d2e3c…
11-07 23:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x4474dd…
11-07 22:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x6eb92d…
11-07 21:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x9991b9…
11-07 21:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x29a3b8…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf7e0f4…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea0713…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb96c7f…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7217fd…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6bdd94…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x65cef1…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x576862…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5504a8…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1f8965…
11-07 21:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x16588a…
11-07 20:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xed24b8…
11-07 20:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x35faf6…
11-07 20:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x839c95…
11-07 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x06a439…
11-07 19:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xf9a7c9…
11-07 19:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x80cae4…
11-07 19:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x569a69…
11-07 19:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x126451…
11-07 18:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xe1a80e…
11-07 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd954fe…
11-07 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb13590…
11-07 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8a3213…
11-07 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0x56a349…
11-07 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4b6f55…
11-07 18:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x17f0ab…
11-07 18:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x44f7a6…
11-07 17:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	47	1¢	$0	0xeb1077…
11-07 17:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc31e7b…
11-07 17:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0x195ed7…
11-07 17:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc5dd21…
11-07 17:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa7ad75…