Dismal-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-31 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 75% +$1

Other

27% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 100% +$105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	2	$1.7K	829	829	+0	No	-$1	02-25 10:39
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$1.5K	773	773	+0	No	-$1	02-25 05:52
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$724	725	0	+725	No	+$1	02-25 19:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$482	483	0	+483	No	+$1	03-19 17:54
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$335	336	0	+336	No	+$1	05-19 09:03
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 10 2026 16corbelow	1	$296	296	0	+296	No	+$0	04-09 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 27?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	05-26 09:52
highest temperature in shanghai on april 10 2026 11c	1	$197	197	0	+197	No	+$0	04-08 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on June 30?	1	$188	188	0	+188	No	+$0	06-28 15:42
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$161	161	0	+161	No	+$0	02-26 09:52
highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 55forbelow	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	04-07 04:01
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 58 59f	1	$114	114	0	+114	No	+$0	03-13 05:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 24?	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$0	06-23 08:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 4 2026 18c	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	04-03 09:09
nba phx atl 2026 01 23	1	$79	184	0	+184	Hawks	+$105	01-23 06:59
highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 75forbelow	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	03-11 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 2?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	08-31 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 2?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-31 12:32
highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 5corbelow	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	03-15 01:44
will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	02-25 08:14
highest temperature in wellington on february 4 2026 13corbelow	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-02 20:01
highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 56 57f	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-10 09:33
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 5c	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-05 18:05
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	01-22 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 2?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	08-31 15:32
highest temperature in london on february 9 2026 8c	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	02-09 04:23
highest temperature in miami on february 10 2026 68 69f	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	02-10 07:44
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	01-22 23:49
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-05 18:10
highest temperature in wellington on february 4 2026 14c	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-02 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 15:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x16b41e…
08-31 15:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd0ce34…
08-31 12:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 2?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x54d53f…
06-28 15:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xce9ab7…
06-23 08:39:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 24?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x20a419…
06-02 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C on June 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb60530…
05-26 09:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 27?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xcf94be…
05-19 09:03:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x43e4b4…
04-09 12:28:13	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 10 2026 16corbelow	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xc4fdf5…
04-08 09:10:07	highest temperature in shanghai on april 10 2026 11c	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0xcea0cd…
04-07 04:01:55	highest temperature in atlanta on april 8 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x1bac21…
04-03 09:09:13	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 4 2026 18c	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xa88ca9…
03-19 17:54:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	483	100¢	$482	0x9da9db…
03-15 01:44:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 5corbelow	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa88fb9…
03-13 05:55:45	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xf87b7a…
03-11 00:13:05	highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 75forbelow	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x3fa618…
03-05 18:05:57	highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 5c	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x95a85b…
02-26 09:52:46	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x680ce2…
02-25 19:35:32	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	725	100¢	$724	0xc95266…
02-25 10:39:14	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	829	100¢	$827	0xb0abaa…
02-25 08:14:12	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2d8b36…
02-25 07:08:32	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	829	100¢	$828	0xbaf171…
02-25 05:52:58	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	773	100¢	$771	0x7ec5e9…
02-25 04:20:50	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	773	100¢	$772	0xa9d52a…
02-10 09:33:11	highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x05b8c6…
02-10 07:44:39	highest temperature in miami on february 10 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xec035c…
02-10 03:05:29	highest temperature in atlanta on february 11 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25a08e…
02-09 04:23:03	highest temperature in london on february 9 2026 8c	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5dac88…
02-05 18:10:59	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2af387…
02-02 22:18:00	highest temperature in wellington on february 4 2026 14c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2c9eca…
02-02 20:01:44	highest temperature in wellington on february 4 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbd5a73…
01-26 16:18:31	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 140 164	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x18b71d…
01-23 06:59:00	nba phx atl 2026 01 23	Hawks	BUY	184	43¢	$79	0xdf6e1f…
01-22 23:49:00	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x49fb97…
01-22 09:16:40	will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1a32cc…
01-08 09:34:07	highest temperature in toronto on january 9 6c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x682d36…