Fortunate-Believer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

197

Trades

445

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-13 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% $-43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$404	272	136	+136	Down	+$1	05-13 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	7	$388	262	134	+128	Up	$-3	05-13 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$318	201	119	+82	Down	+$2	05-13 11:13
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	25	$301	153	153	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$299	152	152	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$290	146	146	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$279	141	141	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$279	141	141	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$256	130	130	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$253	128	128	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$249	128	128	-0	Down	+$1	05-11 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	7	$242	123	123	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 11:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$238	120	120	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$236	120	120	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$232	117	117	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$230	116	116	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 00:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$225	113	113	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$225	113	113	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$221	112	112	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$219	111	111	+0	Up	$-1	05-13 12:14
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	10	$215	109	109	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$203	102	102	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$197	99	99	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 18:04
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$186	99	89	+10	Up	+$0	05-11 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$182	92	92	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$181	91	91	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$180	91	91	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	10	$179	90	90	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$178	90	90	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 15:39
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$178	91	91	-0	Up	$-2	05-12 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xae2702…
05-13 17:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc875a5…
05-13 17:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x51c51a…
05-13 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xac4a16…
05-13 17:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x19a1ea…
05-13 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xc8d53f…
05-13 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ad750…
05-13 17:19:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x6ef5dc…
05-13 17:19:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x68a304…
05-13 17:19:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x53c264…
05-13 17:19:23	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x574a59…
05-13 17:19:20	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc24e40…
05-13 17:19:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x6412b2…
05-13 17:19:14	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe47e82…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe324a9…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8f778…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca427f…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc680fa…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x960126…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9511d3…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d19f3…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70e976…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x571772…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x35cab4…
05-13 17:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x156f41…
05-13 17:19:04	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc32dda…
05-13 17:19:04	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x73a824…
05-13 17:19:02	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc5cefb…
05-13 17:18:59	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x8a95ef…
05-13 17:18:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xd4bc96…
05-13 17:18:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0b0dc9…
05-13 17:18:46	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x89be60…
05-13 17:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x0de32b…
05-13 15:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0xb07f92…
05-13 15:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x124450…
05-13 15:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x90797e…
05-13 15:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x5ec519…
05-13 15:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x461055…
05-13 15:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x2e399c…
05-13 15:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x3e2ca3…
05-13 15:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x6e210a…
05-13 15:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x11ea9b…
05-13 14:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x27ebc0…
05-13 14:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xfd7e13…
05-13 14:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcd0e29…
05-13 14:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8e7e8e…
05-13 14:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xa5b2ed…
05-13 14:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x99fd24…
05-13 14:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0x59eda1…
05-13 14:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x9c34fc…
05-13 14:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	141	99¢	$140	0xdd2898…
05-13 14:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xfa2424…
05-13 14:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x3f3d01…
05-13 14:04:51	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20144b…
05-13 14:04:09	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8cbcb1…
05-13 14:03:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfa19f2…
05-13 14:03:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc3180…
05-13 14:03:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0ad7d4…
05-13 13:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x9aaed4…
05-13 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x89633e…
05-13 13:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x20179f…
05-13 13:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0xc2ae6c…
05-13 13:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xac1524…
05-13 13:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xeff510…
05-13 13:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x27516c…
05-13 13:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x10f89d…
05-13 13:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x012126…
05-13 13:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc98ff4…
05-13 13:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x64956a…
05-13 13:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xddd487…
05-13 13:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	134	96¢	$129	0xe70631…
05-13 13:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x9344f6…
05-13 13:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x21abd5…
05-13 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x21d4c9…
05-13 12:49:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x34b398…
05-13 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x8f86e9…
05-13 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x48cf2a…
05-13 12:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x92af3f…
05-13 12:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf7a6f3…
05-13 12:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x500f64…
05-13 12:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0x071b93…
05-13 12:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x0ea987…
05-13 12:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x208a9c…
05-13 12:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	126	98¢	$123	0x589272…
05-13 12:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xe4c138…
05-13 12:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0xc38a10…
05-13 12:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	83	98¢	$81	0x5672a0…
05-13 12:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x5a9f0d…
05-13 12:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd94523…
05-13 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x379609…
05-13 12:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xc164da…
05-13 12:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x906492…
05-13 11:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfcd773…
05-13 11:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x781f48…
05-13 11:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x32a75b…
05-13 11:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x843e8e…
05-13 11:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6f42ff…
05-13 11:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa1c47f…
05-13 11:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9159d7…
05-13 11:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x213830…