Best-Butter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

118

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-28 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

53% 99% +$6

Politics

33% 91% +$0

Crypto

9% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+47	$33	55¢	$26	-$7	10-20 12:55
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+15	$15	99¢	$15	+$0	10-28 23:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$79	56	56	+0	Yes	+$0	10-18 00:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$77	40	40	+0	No	+$3	09-30 18:29
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$73	37	37	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 09:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	2	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	08-13 22:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$59	31	31	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:09
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	1	$45	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	10-13 12:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$40	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	10-04 23:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	09-30 20:18
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$37	37	0	+37	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	09-16 00:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$36	37	0	+37	No	+$0	09-14 17:15
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$36	36	0	+36	Yes	+$0	09-04 08:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	09-07 01:40
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-05 06:29
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-14 12:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	08-10 04:59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	09-01 01:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$33	47	0	+47	open	—	10-20 12:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$1	08-21 01:57
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	02-28 17:33
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-31 01:50
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	08-17 23:59
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-30 03:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	10-28 23:44
googl above 340 on march 31 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-31 01:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-30 08:48
pltr above 162 on february 27 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-24 17:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-30 13:35
Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-26 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:44:10	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x905e6b…
10-24 00:15:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xdea37d…
10-20 12:55:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	47	69¢	$33	0x77a2b4…
10-18 00:05:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0xecea2c…
10-15 10:51:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x560753…
10-13 21:49:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xaffc98…
10-13 12:06:52	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x5fde01…
10-09 13:08:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x1910a2…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xaa96a9…
10-06 02:02:14	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x1956ac…
10-04 23:44:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbf17ff…
09-30 20:18:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0c2a73…
09-30 18:29:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0074d3…
09-25 00:05:47	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0x613c70…
09-22 15:34:03	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x35b0f7…
09-16 00:13:19	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xf6bf10…
09-14 17:15:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0x81b7ce…
09-10 09:16:55	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x270e8d…
09-09 18:53:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$36	0x897f8c…
09-07 01:40:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x73e918…
09-04 08:53:06	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x210193…
09-01 05:21:54	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb4a8ec…
09-01 01:53:04	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xde088a…
08-30 13:35:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x647431…
08-26 19:49:03	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce0165…
08-26 17:16:22	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf78651…
08-25 15:09:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x96a208…
08-24 07:38:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xdbd38c…
08-21 01:57:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x8f7c5e…
08-20 01:29:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23d5fc…
08-20 00:07:15	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xd0b489…
08-19 21:15:06	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x16b113…
08-17 23:59:10	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x389b5d…
08-16 08:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x212576…
08-16 08:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x847e88…
08-16 08:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x22f993…
08-16 08:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x143ac0…
08-16 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xebd95e…
08-16 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x89051c…
08-16 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x64ea88…
08-16 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x64c35b…
08-16 07:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3e5033…
08-16 07:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x707c20…
08-16 07:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc13ca9…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xffa127…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa2c0a8…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x82c1f6…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4823cd…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x449c66…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x36ae5a…
08-16 07:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x110cc3…
08-16 07:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x65ad9e…
08-16 07:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4bdf36…
08-16 07:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc12a7a…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf375a6…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xed86b9…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe21f28…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa628a1…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4099eb…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x3c6a2c…
08-16 07:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x280313…
08-16 07:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4a704c…
08-14 12:33:46	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xae2e0e…
08-13 22:14:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x87b60e…
08-13 17:15:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xed183d…
08-10 04:59:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x59ecd6…
08-05 19:55:38	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9df27…
08-05 06:29:35	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9d001f…
07-31 18:24:08	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7080f7…
07-31 09:33:00	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x66d42e…
07-31 01:50:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x77893a…
07-30 00:18:33	will xagusd dip to 50 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9ab9c2…
07-28 07:39:49	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20cf68…
07-27 23:41:10	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbed0bc…
07-27 15:26:24	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x549dd1…
07-27 03:59:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfaa1cf…
07-26 07:32:09	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf38e0e…
07-24 22:51:49	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb1dac…
07-13 16:35:10	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xd7b527…
07-06 05:45:49	will bitcoin dip to 40k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec5208…
07-06 03:00:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a315f…
06-30 03:16:08	Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5876ff…
06-28 21:53:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4af650…
06-28 01:10:07	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x6b148c…
06-28 00:05:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb5a234…
06-27 18:10:37	Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd44f46…
06-27 16:12:37	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ebf39…
06-27 11:49:55	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x587cd5…
05-30 08:48:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfefb5c…
05-30 06:27:12	Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4366f…
05-26 02:49:23	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x2ced07…
05-15 02:02:39	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe86649…
05-13 02:54:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1539b2…
05-09 09:33:02	Will Meta have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9c6455…
05-09 06:34:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x462ec7…
05-09 06:10:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc0d268…
05-08 01:24:19	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9be188…
05-07 11:30:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaaf28d…
05-05 15:29:50	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1397dd…
05-05 10:09:36	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe54f4a…