Substantial-Warlock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-10 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x68e6dc…
05-10 09:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7c5bb4…
05-10 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7af75b…
05-10 09:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedb2db…
05-10 09:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd9a480…
05-10 09:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8b55a5…
05-10 09:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x990862…
05-10 09:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18aa7b…
05-10 08:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xddcdfc…
05-10 08:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x663e5f…
05-10 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0c7fad…
05-10 08:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ef940…
05-10 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x170c81…
05-10 08:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd52f1f…
05-10 08:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x817a1b…
05-10 08:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdc0fcf…
05-10 08:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5f34cb…
05-10 08:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd5d87c…
05-10 08:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa5a006…
05-10 08:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4796b3…
05-10 08:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdbd911…
05-10 08:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4c5084…
05-10 08:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe8472a…
05-10 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xec6160…
05-10 07:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6b03c0…
05-10 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x42cb37…
05-10 07:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xd28ef7…
05-10 07:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xeaece2…
05-10 07:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x63cae5…
05-10 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d8f85…
05-10 07:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2ff8a5…
05-10 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x52615d…
05-10 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2af2f6…
05-10 06:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc67e7c…
05-10 06:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0c8ca3…
05-09 21:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x22e01c…
05-09 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcefb53…
05-09 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff0bb0…
05-09 21:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2872a2…
05-05 10:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x772f3a…
05-05 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61f99a…
05-05 09:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x89461d…
05-05 09:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x355d7d…
05-05 09:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x170136…
05-05 09:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b9421…
05-05 09:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0316b6…
05-05 09:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf81540…
05-05 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa0a621…
05-05 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb56e7d…
05-05 09:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9a56c0…
05-05 09:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5aa75f…
05-05 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x90eaaf…
05-05 09:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbab0df…
05-05 09:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf27d90…
05-05 09:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdfacb3…
05-05 09:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0b6d01…
05-05 09:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xcc0ec1…
05-05 09:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xba41e7…
05-05 08:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfadf9f…
05-05 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x788d6f…
05-05 08:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x132615…
05-05 08:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdaa9d0…
05-05 08:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9f7053…
05-05 08:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd584c3…
05-05 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0c160f…
05-05 08:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9b73a6…
05-05 08:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x59b0c3…
05-05 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc47a8d…
05-05 08:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf06828…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x569ef4…
05-05 08:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xce0159…
05-05 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6bd501…
05-05 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xabb9f0…
05-05 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57a4d3…
05-05 08:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcb1a72…
05-05 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x43e868…
05-05 07:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf34729…
05-05 07:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x579d73…
05-05 07:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xd29bc3…
05-05 07:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc7522f…
05-05 07:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x86e618…
05-05 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65c7f7…
05-05 07:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf155b9…
05-05 07:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x953b60…
05-05 07:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa7c4c8…
05-05 07:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x33d063…
05-05 07:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x489233…
05-05 07:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e804f…
05-05 07:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5e492c…
05-05 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedccb2…
05-05 03:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe0f7e3…
05-05 03:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xccffa5…
05-05 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf44363…
05-05 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4500e6…
05-05 03:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb30c34…
05-05 03:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x06fd7b…
05-05 03:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d48af…
05-05 03:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x36a329…
05-05 03:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf179b9…
05-05 03:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf3ff5a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	60	$64.7K	3,109	05-10 09:30
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	60	$49.7K	705	05-10 09:29
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	60	$33.4K	2,422	05-10 09:29
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	60	$31.5K	4,768	05-10 09:29
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	60	$18.7K	1,731	05-10 09:30
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	60	$16.0K	948	05-10 09:27
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	60	$15.5K	944	05-10 09:27
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	60	$15.5K	589	05-10 09:27