Ill-Oats — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

309

Trades

750

lifetime

Volume

$86.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-17 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$4,827

Sports

0% 0% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:35 UTC	7	$2.9K	1,630	1,621	+9	Up	+$227	02-21 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:55 UTC	4	$2.6K	1,425	1,418	+7	Up	+$216	02-22 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 06:15 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,405	1,392	+13	Up	+$391	02-22 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:30 UTC	6	$2.0K	1,136	1,127	+9	Up	+$257	02-21 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:40 UTC	5	$1.8K	1,006	999	+7	Up	+$196	02-22 03:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 04:25 UTC	5	$1.6K	856	853	+3	Down	+$95	02-22 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:25 UTC	3	$1.5K	833	829	+4	Up	+$125	02-22 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 21:45 UTC	7	$1.5K	906	875	+32	Up	+$222	02-21 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 22:25 UTC	4	$1.4K	867	857	+10	Down	+$258	02-22 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 00:30 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,056	1,048	+8	Up	+$645	02-22 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:30 UTC	3	$1.3K	704	703	+2	Down	+$48	02-22 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:35 UTC	4	$1.2K	712	704	+8	Up	+$226	02-22 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:25 UTC	5	$1.2K	682	676	+6	Up	+$175	02-21 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:20 UTC	4	$1.2K	713	706	+7	Up	+$237	02-21 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:20 UTC	6	$1.2K	1,968	320	+1,648	Up	+$930	02-22 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 03:45 UTC	3	$1.1K	579	576	+2	Down	+$67	02-23 03:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:40 UTC	4	$1.1K	633	626	+7	Down	+$195	02-22 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:15 UTC	3	$917	473	473	+1	Up	+$20	02-21 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:50 UTC	3	$907	516	512	+4	Up	+$111	02-22 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 05:20 UTC	2	$872	479	476	+2	Up	+$74	02-22 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 21:55 UTC	7	$869	504	500	+4	Up	+$125	02-21 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:25 UTC	3	$842	669	640	+29	Up	+$445	02-21 23:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 23:00 UTC	6	$838	975	609	+366	Down	+$222	02-21 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:25 UTC	6	$830	531	527	+5	Up	+$35	02-23 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:10 UTC	5	$809	457	454	+3	Down	+$92	02-21 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:20 UTC	3	$771	482	475	+7	Up	+$177	02-21 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:45 UTC	3	$708	412	408	+4	Up	+$112	02-21 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 06:10 UTC	2	$705	860	0	+860	Up	-$705	02-22 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 04:20 UTC	4	$702	812	303	+510	Down	-$138	02-22 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:10 UTC	3	$700	868	0	+868	Up	+$168	02-22 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 20:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5305aa…
10-17 20:38:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd893d…
10-17 20:38:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3af808…
10-17 20:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc771ea…
10-17 20:38:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x761111…
10-17 20:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	79	23¢	$18	0x2226b3…
10-17 20:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xbe6df4…
10-17 20:35:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x1cedb3…
10-17 20:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x2c9673…
10-17 20:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa80a69…
10-17 20:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x23bb3e…
10-17 20:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	44	8¢	$4	0x4deadf…
10-17 20:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd0fa0d…
10-17 20:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x845194…
10-17 20:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x365a4b…
10-17 20:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xaa1df5…
10-17 20:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	112	22¢	$25	0xaae3db…
10-17 20:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x61088e…
10-17 20:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x6633c6…
10-17 20:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xaa188e…
10-17 20:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x970d70…
10-17 20:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x16dd66…
10-17 20:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9271a4…
10-17 20:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x5503af…
10-17 20:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xcbfbdb…
10-17 20:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xbaf4c1…
10-17 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0x798bfb…
10-17 19:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xeac11f…
10-17 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x01a62d…
10-17 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x6f0496…
10-17 19:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x8aa0fa…
10-17 19:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc4af85…
10-17 19:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4bda29…
10-17 19:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x2b9940…
10-17 19:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x3d088d…
10-17 19:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7d4f20…
10-17 19:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xb23335…
10-17 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xb14c15…
10-17 19:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x527d64…
10-17 19:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x21c8a8…
10-17 19:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xde388d…
10-17 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x745d56…
10-17 19:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xec5608…
10-17 19:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x055d20…
10-17 19:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x04d22b…
10-17 19:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf9acf3…
10-17 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x33427f…
07-02 03:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x98cbb5…
07-02 03:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xafd0b7…
07-02 03:01:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x43e3a5…
07-02 03:01:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x7cd07d…
07-02 03:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x7bcf43…
07-02 03:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x7bbbe0…
07-02 02:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x81f7f2…
07-02 02:53:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x748a34…
07-02 02:39:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf6c7c…
07-02 02:37:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x7c4c5f…
07-02 02:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x442b59…
07-02 02:35:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xb857f5…
07-02 02:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x60d586…
07-02 02:35:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x7ca51c…
07-02 02:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x9b2e73…
07-02 02:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x0158d0…
07-02 02:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x9d1fd5…
07-02 02:26:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x584f5e…
07-02 02:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6d8a92…
07-02 02:16:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb968c0…
07-02 02:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x222af8…
07-02 02:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x561722…
07-02 02:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa319ab…
07-02 02:12:04	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,251	3¢	$40	0xaac8ed…
07-02 02:11:56	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,111	4¢	$40	0x595feb…
06-21 01:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x45b6f4…
06-21 01:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x45ca96…
06-21 01:49:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd3110b…
06-21 01:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x2af222…
06-21 01:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xf821ad…
06-21 01:40:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x92ca2b…
06-21 01:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4c905c…
06-21 01:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	41	23¢	$9	0x3f89e5…
06-21 01:37:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x59b1d6…
06-18 20:00:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbc4450…
06-18 19:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9856be…
06-18 19:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4a40ce…
06-18 19:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x37513a…
06-18 19:46:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x631e58…
06-18 19:44:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x839de4…
06-18 19:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x765481…
06-18 19:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xa17bd0…
06-18 19:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	275	36¢	$100	0xccc376…
06-18 19:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe23441…
06-18 19:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x724bbb…
06-18 19:18:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x76a6ee…
06-18 19:16:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x63e2a4…
06-18 19:13:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9ee4ac…
06-18 19:11:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6baec7…
06-18 19:02:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x323f11…
06-18 19:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x585c86…
06-18 18:43:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf180b8…
06-18 18:37:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf36e72…