Firsthand-Bartender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 60% +$3

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+9	$5	70¢	$6	+$1	05-12 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	+5	$2	99¢	$5	+$2	05-14 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	05-14 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	+5	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-14 23:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 21:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-12 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-14 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-14 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-13 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	+$3	05-13 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 23:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x833287…
05-14 22:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0e8637…
05-14 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8dc35b…
05-14 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc07af3…
05-14 21:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa7c084…
05-14 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8a09aa…
05-14 18:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xdb94db…
05-14 17:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2b0e72…
05-14 15:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x509f83…
05-14 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x57a1f8…
05-14 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x89bed8…
05-13 22:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x663349…
05-13 20:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x5430bb…
05-12 13:52:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xaabf1d…
05-06 00:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcb4c62…
05-06 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x82a693…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	13	$1.83K	207	05-14 23:03
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	12	$3.14K	157	05-14 23:03
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	12	$724	83	05-14 23:07
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	11	$2.64K	112	05-14 23:03
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	11	$879	95	05-14 23:00
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	11	$533	29	05-14 22:54
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	10	$1.08K	59	05-14 23:05
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	9	$530	21	05-14 22:57