Embarrassed-Special — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

282

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-27 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:24
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:46
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 11:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:58
highest temperature in jakarta on april 24 2026 28corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 22:46
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 06:42
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:20
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:38
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:12
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:33
highest temperature in jakarta on april 17 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:48
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 70 71f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 02:11
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:32
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:15
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 04:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:52
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe06c85…
10-27 08:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ce8c6…
10-26 05:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65096e…
10-24 06:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x819816…
10-22 09:55:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce8d7a…
10-20 04:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa6d56…
10-19 07:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8acf92…
10-18 07:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed049f…
10-17 07:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19d271…
10-16 08:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdce499…
10-15 08:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb052…
10-14 08:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2dab0…
10-13 05:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4fb52…
10-12 04:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74cdde…
10-11 03:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaf491…
10-08 07:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb905f2…
10-07 09:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f3071…
10-06 07:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0ce7d…
10-04 08:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72d87d…
10-03 04:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x771ea2…
10-02 07:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x979729…
10-02 03:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1fe74…
10-01 07:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb063ef…
09-30 09:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c02b4…
09-29 08:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e6787…
09-28 08:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ecafd…
09-27 08:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x806a23…
09-25 07:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84f4e7…
09-24 06:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe22a6f…
09-23 05:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e5728…
09-22 06:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6e438…
09-21 08:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddba86…
09-20 03:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb637b…
09-19 07:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4a64d…
09-18 01:13:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83127a…
09-17 03:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c6db6…
09-16 08:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x577587…
09-15 23:37:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5b261…
09-15 02:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb50f29…
09-14 02:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23dd9a…
09-12 09:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91e29b…
09-11 06:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56940f…
09-10 01:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x832d35…
09-09 01:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a4667…
09-08 01:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17ae03…
09-07 01:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe58fed…
09-06 01:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39a6b6…
09-05 09:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e7410…
09-04 08:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a6b7e…
09-03 07:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09d548…
09-01 01:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f8f4e…
08-30 01:05:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a5e5e…
08-29 05:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa58761…
08-28 02:03:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x027257…
08-27 01:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x287f75…
08-26 02:05:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ac7ba…
08-25 08:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71fa3a…
08-24 07:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x635633…
08-23 07:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81f807…
08-22 06:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ac05d…
08-21 01:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd6b9b…
08-20 08:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52545f…
08-19 07:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabc28d…
08-18 01:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf5021…
08-17 06:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde0d3a…
08-16 10:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb0330…
08-15 05:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb42b8e…
08-14 06:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81a29b…
08-13 01:00:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd04a7d…
08-12 06:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c23c4…
08-11 00:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdbf9d…
08-10 00:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3675d2…
08-09 01:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fb5e7…
08-08 07:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2edcb…
08-07 00:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe03255…
08-06 00:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf10222…
08-05 00:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec26c6…
08-04 03:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82c57e…
08-03 01:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95e499…
08-02 00:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6525d…
08-01 00:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45d715…
07-31 07:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe3d84…
07-30 00:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42c355…
07-29 01:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10326e…
07-28 00:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63697a…
07-27 07:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71cbaa…
07-26 01:13:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x333653…
07-25 00:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ad874…
07-24 06:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84f7b1…
07-23 01:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa33eb7…
07-22 01:36:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a5357…
07-20 23:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x388bb9…
07-19 22:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x215a44…
07-18 22:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x077a21…
07-17 23:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b16d3…
07-17 01:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89f454…
07-15 21:43:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x396209…
07-15 05:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9c6ba…
07-14 06:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8600e…
07-13 02:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x019afd…