That-Ligand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

293

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-01 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:51
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:51
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:39
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:13
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:49
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:14
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:34
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:26
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:37
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:36
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:40
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:39
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:13
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 04:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba4d13…
10-31 09:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaeba7…
10-30 09:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2727bf…
10-29 17:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c91de…
10-29 08:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104609…
10-28 05:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1832e7…
10-27 08:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x948b70…
10-26 08:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5cf2…
10-24 09:52:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bfcde…
10-22 10:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5193c…
10-20 04:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb9acf…
10-19 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ae48b…
10-18 08:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f57fa…
10-17 08:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3837d5…
10-16 08:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01ee5c…
10-15 08:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96fc75…
10-14 08:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47a1f4…
10-13 08:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb1de2…
10-12 08:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6562cd…
10-11 07:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c8e02…
10-08 08:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf79d7d…
10-07 13:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63b482…
10-06 07:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bae47…
10-04 10:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46c9b4…
10-03 05:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f2154…
10-02 07:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x556285…
10-01 08:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab4bb1…
09-30 11:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd42e8b…
09-29 09:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2270c8…
09-28 09:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6255cd…
09-27 08:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2069af…
09-25 08:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x809e4d…
09-24 08:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63aa6c…
09-23 05:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x168682…
09-22 07:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe94156…
09-21 08:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f6b2d…
09-20 05:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd34f74…
09-19 07:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63a1df…
09-18 01:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ab2cb…
09-17 03:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4fa23…
09-16 07:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3b4c6…
09-15 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3559bb…
09-14 07:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb47c0d…
09-13 09:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98f14f…
09-12 10:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x430178…
09-11 07:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58e2b7…
09-10 02:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ec232…
09-09 01:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x608a98…
09-08 01:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53ac3a…
09-07 08:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x184cf5…
09-06 17:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b5cab…
09-06 08:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c9035…
09-05 09:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe972b3…
09-04 09:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c4113…
09-03 08:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92cdf0…
09-01 01:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebb794…
08-30 07:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf23bdc…
08-29 06:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb7f99…
08-28 06:50:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9da6a…
08-27 07:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee64fc…
08-26 08:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8000dc…
08-25 07:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x485f78…
08-24 09:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa13500…
08-23 08:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c3613…
08-22 07:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x898625…
08-21 03:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1585e4…
08-20 08:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2edaf…
08-19 08:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33ed92…
08-18 04:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f5087…
08-17 07:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11894d…
08-16 10:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0978d7…
08-15 08:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbae7d5…
08-14 06:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x385d8c…
08-13 07:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd13d8c…
08-12 07:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd73c9…
08-11 00:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x967fda…
08-10 00:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7c96e…
08-09 01:11:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69d5da…
08-08 07:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86a951…
08-07 00:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29ee59…
08-06 00:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4113f4…
08-05 07:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38ba23…
08-04 07:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52d84c…
08-03 01:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f7559…
08-02 01:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2edaa…
08-01 00:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a8ec0…
07-31 07:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32fee3…
07-30 01:17:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69de83…
07-29 05:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd102d9…
07-28 05:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9628e…
07-27 07:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0eaee…
07-26 06:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x115850…
07-25 00:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2322…
07-24 08:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3f35e…
07-23 09:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42974a…
07-23 02:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7686f0…
07-22 01:40:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4a543…
07-20 23:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92045b…
07-20 02:14:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d0279…
07-18 22:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4eca3…