Serpentine-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-01 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 28% $-39

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776772800	2	$209	172	164	+9	open	—	04-21 12:04
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 12pm et	4	$124	98	95	+3	open	—	04-21 16:27
btc updown 5m 1776777300	3	$120	3,119	0	+3,119	open	—	04-21 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$105	93	93	+0	open	—	05-30 12:35
btc updown 5m 1776772500	2	$71	56	53	+3	open	—	04-21 12:00
btc updown 5m 1776787800	2	$54	48	45	+3	open	—	04-21 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776775500	1	$50	173	0	+173	open	—	04-21 12:46
btc updown 5m 1776773100	1	$50	150	0	+150	open	—	04-21 12:07
btc updown 5m 1776789600	2	$40	744	0	+744	open	—	04-21 16:43
btc updown 5m 1776777600	1	$40	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-21 13:25
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	1	$40	8,062	0	+8,062	open	—	04-21 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	05-30 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	open	—	05-30 14:50
eth updown 15m 1776962700	2	$32	38	37	+2	open	—	04-23 16:46
btc updown 5m 1776775800	3	$31	17	16	+0	open	—	04-21 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$30	27	18	+9	open	—	05-30 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776792900	3	$29	187	16	+170	open	—	04-21 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776797700	2	$27	20	20	+1	open	—	04-21 18:58
btc updown 5m 1776962400	2	$26	20	19	+1	open	—	04-23 16:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$25	91	0	+91	open	—	05-30 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-30 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 14:40
btc updown 5m 1776962700	2	$24	22	21	+1	open	—	04-23 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 06:59
btc updown 5m 1776772200	2	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-21 11:55
eth updown 15m 1776870000	2	$22	41	39	+2	open	—	04-22 15:11
ethereum up or down april 22 2026 11am et	2	$22	27	26	+1	open	—	04-22 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-30 09:50
btc updown 5m 1776960900	2	$20	16	16	+1	open	—	04-23 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:03:10	bitcoin up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x84cec7…
07-01 15:56:26	bitcoin up or down july 1 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4cb406…
07-01 15:38:43	btc updown 5m 1782920100	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x5a4a9c…
07-01 15:35:40	btc updown 5m 1782920100	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe1f5f0…
07-01 15:32:53	btc updown 5m 1782919800	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7fabec…
06-29 16:01:37	btc updown 5m 1782748800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x846476…
06-29 15:57:34	btc updown 5m 1782748500	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x458e03…
06-29 15:55:32	btc updown 5m 1782748500	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0c5115…
06-29 15:53:25	btc updown 5m 1782748200	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3b073e…
06-26 21:08:29	btc updown 5m 1782507900	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x145a7b…
06-26 21:07:55	btc updown 5m 1782507900	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xaead5a…
06-26 21:05:58	btc updown 5m 1782507900	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x90196d…
06-26 21:03:56	btc updown 5m 1782507600	Up	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0x2b7ef2…
06-26 21:03:31	btc updown 5m 1782507600	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x5a2a27…
06-26 21:01:34	btc updown 5m 1782507600	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfa4b41…
06-26 21:00:14	eth updown 5m 1782507300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9e3f3b…
06-26 20:55:26	eth updown 5m 1782507300	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa54714…
06-26 20:54:10	btc updown 5m 1782507000	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x800a47…
06-26 20:50:46	btc updown 5m 1782507000	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x06a7ca…
06-26 20:47:16	btc updown 5m 1782506700	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe1c268…
06-26 20:46:44	btc updown 5m 1782506700	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x3e676b…
06-26 20:45:16	btc updown 5m 1782506700	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x035652…
06-26 20:44:50	btc updown 5m 1782506400	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$3	0x1f0655…
06-26 20:43:13	btc updown 5m 1782506400	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x96fc5b…
06-26 20:42:35	btc updown 5m 1782506400	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x8ffb8f…
06-26 20:41:50	btc updown 5m 1782506400	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9972f6…
06-20 09:00:32	btc updown 5m 1781946000	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9b002d…
06-20 08:56:05	btc updown 5m 1781945700	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xacb6ef…
06-20 08:55:05	btc updown 5m 1781945400	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x08e310…
06-20 08:54:05	btc updown 5m 1781945400	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbe1d34…
06-20 08:52:25	btc updown 5m 1781945400	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x241534…
06-20 08:50:26	btc updown 5m 1781945400	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2365f0…
06-20 08:46:10	btc updown 5m 1781945100	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd7eaee…
06-19 21:18:41	eth updown 5m 1781903700	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4cdc7a…
06-19 21:18:04	btc updown 5m 1781903700	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4a6e69…
06-19 21:15:50	btc updown 5m 1781903700	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xef0758…
06-18 14:30:28	btc updown 5m 1781793000	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd76735…
06-18 14:29:01	btc updown 5m 1781792700	Up	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x9d87fe…
06-11 19:32:13	btc updown 5m 1781206200	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x850d2f…
06-11 19:21:07	btc updown 5m 1781205600	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5a8567…
05-31 13:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xadbf3a…
05-31 13:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xeb5870…
05-31 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x65049a…
05-31 12:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x61cd36…
05-31 07:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x66add4…
05-31 07:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2d9bc9…
05-31 07:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf36019…
05-31 07:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc2d252…
05-31 07:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x278d1f…
05-30 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7f1c0d…
05-30 21:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x57cb8e…
05-30 21:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6c848f…
05-30 21:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc3070a…
05-30 21:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x3bd804…
05-30 21:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0bd910…
05-30 19:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf238c3…
05-30 19:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd2996e…
05-30 19:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x427ccc…
05-30 19:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2c827f…
05-30 19:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf7a2d9…
05-30 19:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2750a5…
05-30 19:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe087fb…
05-30 19:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5261ad…
05-30 19:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x9bdb84…
05-30 19:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x526e9b…
05-30 19:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc4dcb1…
05-30 19:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xf6f089…
05-30 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x322757…
05-30 19:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8b0119…
05-30 17:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa6d72b…
05-30 17:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x620b50…
05-30 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9852cf…
05-30 17:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf52284…
05-30 17:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xba4c9a…
05-30 17:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x3f3559…
05-30 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x97040e…
05-30 15:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x98f277…
05-30 14:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xed77ac…
05-30 14:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf0e8c8…
05-30 14:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x478d4b…
05-30 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x028b3a…
05-30 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe98c10…
05-30 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa6df8e…
05-30 14:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x7b1d97…
05-30 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x178526…
05-30 14:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb06309…
05-30 14:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfba61a…
05-30 14:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xddfcbc…
05-30 14:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f6aa2…
05-30 13:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0518ab…
05-30 13:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x47f9bf…
05-30 13:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x98e9b7…
05-30 13:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x35e50a…
05-30 13:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x7a6ea5…
05-30 13:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x55bd93…
05-30 12:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x62a5a8…
05-30 12:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x010c0a…
05-30 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x281127…
05-30 12:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x7f7c02…
05-30 12:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xecb5cb…