Serpentine-Lecture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.1%

Resolved

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$2.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-31 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 28% $-39

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776772800	2	$209	172	164	+9	open	—	04-21 12:04
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 12pm et	4	$124	98	95	+3	open	—	04-21 16:27
btc updown 5m 1776777300	3	$120	3,119	0	+3,119	open	—	04-21 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$105	93	93	+0	open	—	05-30 12:35
btc updown 5m 1776772500	2	$71	56	53	+3	open	—	04-21 12:00
btc updown 5m 1776787800	2	$54	48	45	+3	open	—	04-21 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776775500	1	$50	173	0	+173	open	—	04-21 12:46
btc updown 5m 1776773100	1	$50	150	0	+150	open	—	04-21 12:07
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	1	$40	8,062	0	+8,062	open	—	04-21 12:56
btc updown 5m 1776777600	1	$40	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-21 13:25
btc updown 5m 1776789600	2	$40	744	0	+744	open	—	04-21 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	05-30 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$32	28	28	+0	open	—	05-30 14:50
eth updown 15m 1776962700	2	$32	38	37	+2	open	—	04-23 16:46
btc updown 5m 1776775800	3	$31	17	16	+0	open	—	04-21 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$30	27	18	+9	open	—	05-30 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-30 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776792900	3	$29	187	16	+170	open	—	04-21 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776797700	2	$27	20	20	+1	open	—	04-21 18:58
btc updown 5m 1776962400	2	$26	20	19	+1	open	—	04-23 16:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$25	91	0	+91	open	—	05-30 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-30 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-30 14:40
btc updown 5m 1776962700	2	$24	22	21	+1	open	—	04-23 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 06:59
btc updown 5m 1776772200	2	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-21 11:55
eth updown 15m 1776870000	2	$22	41	39	+2	open	—	04-22 15:11
ethereum up or down april 22 2026 11am et	2	$22	27	26	+1	open	—	04-22 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-30 09:50
btc updown 5m 1776960900	2	$20	16	16	+1	open	—	04-23 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 13:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xadbf3a…
05-31 13:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xeb5870…
05-31 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x65049a…
05-31 12:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x61cd36…
05-31 07:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x66add4…
05-31 07:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2d9bc9…
05-31 07:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf36019…
05-31 07:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc2d252…
05-31 07:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x278d1f…
05-30 21:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7f1c0d…
05-30 21:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x57cb8e…
05-30 21:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6c848f…
05-30 21:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc3070a…
05-30 21:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x3bd804…
05-30 21:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0bd910…
05-30 19:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf238c3…
05-30 19:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd2996e…
05-30 19:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x427ccc…
05-30 19:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2c827f…
05-30 19:48:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf7a2d9…
05-30 19:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2750a5…
05-30 19:38:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe087fb…
05-30 19:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5261ad…
05-30 19:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x9bdb84…
05-30 19:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x526e9b…
05-30 19:30:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc4dcb1…
05-30 19:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xf6f089…
05-30 19:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x322757…
05-30 19:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8b0119…
05-30 17:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa6d72b…
05-30 17:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x620b50…
05-30 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9852cf…
05-30 17:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf52284…
05-30 17:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xba4c9a…
05-30 17:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x3f3559…
05-30 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x97040e…
05-30 15:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x98f277…
05-30 14:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xed77ac…
05-30 14:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf0e8c8…
05-30 14:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x478d4b…
05-30 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x028b3a…
05-30 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe98c10…
05-30 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa6df8e…
05-30 14:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x7b1d97…
05-30 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x178526…
05-30 14:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb06309…
05-30 14:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfba61a…
05-30 14:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xddfcbc…
05-30 14:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3f6aa2…
05-30 13:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0518ab…
05-30 13:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x47f9bf…
05-30 13:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x98e9b7…
05-30 13:07:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x35e50a…
05-30 13:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x7a6ea5…
05-30 13:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x55bd93…
05-30 12:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x62a5a8…
05-30 12:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x010c0a…
05-30 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x281127…
05-30 12:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x7f7c02…
05-30 12:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xecb5cb…
05-30 12:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x682005…
05-30 12:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9736cc…
05-30 12:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xd1ade3…
05-30 12:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xdede78…
05-30 12:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x61969d…
05-30 12:35:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0x87be9e…
05-30 12:32:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x33fb49…
05-30 12:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xeaf9e9…
05-30 12:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9918ce…
05-30 12:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe0d4e5…
05-30 11:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x873c84…
05-30 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x6e910a…
05-30 11:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x157d42…
05-30 11:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf70283…
05-30 11:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe37c4e…
05-30 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xafc2bd…
05-30 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe78f83…
05-30 09:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x73ed76…
05-30 09:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9ff4aa…
05-30 09:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x39f407…
05-30 09:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x85e3cd…
05-30 09:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61b7c9…
05-30 09:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x1447bc…
05-30 09:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3c5269…
05-30 09:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8e27ee…
05-30 09:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x2bdd6a…
05-30 09:29:52	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x1a8175…
05-30 09:28:26	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd89ecc…
05-30 09:26:41	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6be8c8…
05-30 09:25:31	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1cef3b…
05-30 09:24:02	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x823509…
05-30 09:23:25	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xe6b59e…
05-30 09:21:51	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2c1721…
05-30 09:21:23	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbecc7f…
05-30 09:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xf0c099…
05-30 09:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xfb7075…
05-30 09:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8f5ed8…
05-30 09:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x04c0e0…
05-30 09:16:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xabfb36…
05-30 09:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x6de79b…