Humiliating-Cage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.62K

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

126

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$54.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

$132

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-01 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 28% -$8,580

Other

22% 33% -$1,781

Sports

0% 0% -$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+3,149	$992	3¢	$102	-$890	09-14 13:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes		+4,012	$756	1¢	$30	-$726	10-01 12:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$5.8K	18,280	15,132	+3,149	open	—	09-14 13:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$3.2K	10,629	5,314	+5,314	No	-$1,275	09-14 13:19
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	3	$2.8K	5,235	5,235	+0	No	+$2,696	08-24 13:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$2.1K	26,840	5,000	+21,840	No	-$1,895	05-25 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	6	$2.0K	1,628	1,628	+0	Down	+$615	07-28 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	5	$1.7K	1,453	1,453	+0	Up	+$415	07-28 16:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	3,267	3,267	+0	Yes	+$81	07-29 02:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:40 UTC	4	$1.4K	1,528	838	+690	Up	+$71	07-28 16:43
will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	5	$1.1K	12,348	5	+12,343	No	-$1,099	09-30 15:31
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$1.1K	13,447	0	+13,447	No	-$1,089	04-17 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:25 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,218	1,154	+64	Down	+$349	04-19 15:27
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 8pm et	5	$948	1,826	524	+1,302	Up	-$139	04-21 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:15 UTC	4	$941	830	648	+182	Up	+$376	04-14 01:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 14:30 UTC	8	$914	3,071	1,009	+2,062	Down	+$299	04-10 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:10 UTC	2	$885	633	633	+0	Down	+$285	08-24 23:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:15 UTC	3	$882	644	623	+21	Up	+$203	04-14 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$810	521	521	+0	Down	+$210	05-15 15:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	2	$756	4,012	0	+4,012	open	—	10-01 12:47
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$664	38,980	0	+38,980	No	-$664	05-25 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	3	$660	625	625	+0	Up	+$191	08-24 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:15 UTC	3	$649	524	500	+23	Down	+$273	04-13 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:55 UTC	3	$639	494	476	+18	Up	+$157	04-14 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$629	2,290	0	+2,290	Up	-$629	07-29 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$615	1,565	0	+1,565	Up	-$615	05-15 16:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 19:05 UTC	2	$596	2,387	0	+2,387	Up	-$596	04-14 19:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 15:20 UTC	2	$578	523	500	+23	Up	+$201	04-14 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:45 UTC	3	$561	1,963	0	+1,963	Up	-$561	04-14 01:46
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 15:30 UTC	7	$561	4,225	0	+4,225	Down	-$561	04-19 15:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 17:50 UTC	3	$528	484	460	+24	Up	+$252	04-14 17:54
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$502	38,706	0	+38,706	No	-$502	02-03 20:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 12:47:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x75992c…
10-01 12:47:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,959	19¢	$746	0x256c52…
10-01 12:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	484	41¢	$200	0xe9b5f1…
09-30 15:31:05	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x2874c7…
09-30 13:21:15	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2,027	10¢	$200	0x8c8761…
09-30 13:19:29	will ethereum dip to 2400 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10,993	5¢	$500	0xf71af1…
09-30 13:15:54	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0xa28ace…
09-30 13:15:29	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x844e43…
09-30 13:12:45	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8,099	9¢	$700	0x832022…
09-14 13:20:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,149	29¢	$913	0x640b84…
09-14 13:19:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,314	18¢	$957	0xde64db…
09-12 02:09:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,629	21¢	$2,232	0x472b6b…
09-12 02:07:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,132	16¢	$2,421	0x134e38…
08-26 13:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	181	25¢	$45	0x8111e8…
08-25 02:51:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	356	51¢	$181	0x270770…
08-24 23:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	180	50¢	$90	0xac4a2e…
08-24 23:21:31	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,632	19¢	$500	0x34d057…
08-24 23:17:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x9a787a…
08-24 23:17:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xd5ef4e…
08-24 23:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	509	20¢	$100	0xeaab8a…
08-24 23:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x5aed74…
08-24 23:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	633	92¢	$585	0x3cb4ca…
08-24 23:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	633	47¢	$300	0xa00d3a…
08-24 15:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	398	13¢	$50	0x76b2cd…
08-24 15:55:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x47747e…
08-24 13:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	625	68¢	$425	0x324dc5…
08-24 13:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	119	29¢	$34	0x12258c…
08-24 13:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	506	39¢	$200	0xc7e825…
08-24 13:38:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,500	16¢	$2,000	0xffb542…
08-24 13:21:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	5,235	53¢	$2,771	0xdcb163…
08-03 14:07:48	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	241	1¢	$3	0x2da38c…
08-01 22:00:53	mlb cws tb 2026 08 01	Chicago White Sox	BUY	775	19¢	$147	0x04db26…
08-01 21:58:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x3ed101…
08-01 21:55:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	283	35¢	$100	0xf25725…
08-01 21:53:45	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	1,784	2¢	$41	0xc329d9…
08-01 21:53:45	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	724	8¢	$59	0x837c07…
08-01 19:48:14	wnba las chi 2026 08 01	Chicago Sky	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0xd58525…
08-01 18:04:30	wnba las chi 2026 08 01	Chicago Sky	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xf1de75…
08-01 18:01:08	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 1	Yes	BUY	1,739	11¢	$200	0x4ca4d1…
08-01 17:58:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0x597cfb…
08-01 17:44:30	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4,994	1¢	$72	0x70e721…
07-31 20:44:47	bitcoin above 66k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3,660	10¢	$350	0xd1727a…
07-31 20:42:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	2,543	10¢	$250	0xea39c2…
07-31 20:42:05	bitcoin above 62k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0x828a61…
07-31 20:38:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	533	9¢	$50	0x10715c…
07-31 20:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	252	20¢	$50	0xf8eee2…
07-31 20:36:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x1ef2b7…
07-31 20:34:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	603	33¢	$200	0xb0b3f4…
07-31 20:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	48¢	$28	0xb626a0…
07-31 20:32:06	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	837	42¢	$350	0xd258ed…
07-31 20:29:36	will bitcoin reach 66k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2,315	2¢	$50	0xb152c3…
07-31 20:26:57	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	11,986	1¢	$100	0x9ed194…
07-29 02:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	30¢	$15	0x9f484b…
07-29 02:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	871	29¢	$249	0x44b081…
07-29 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,370	27¢	$366	0xc08f6b…
07-29 02:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	711	14¢	$100	0x8c32e9…
07-29 02:20:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3,267	25¢	$802	0x80b425…
07-28 17:28:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,340	0¢	$7	0xa4f32a…
07-28 17:26:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3,267	22¢	$721	0xcb425c…
07-28 17:21:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	562	15¢	$85	0x68c971…
07-28 17:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1,891	13¢	$247	0xd8e820…
07-28 17:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1,476	11¢	$168	0x9de66a…
07-28 17:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,042	81¢	$840	0xc83d49…
07-28 17:17:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	587	79¢	$463	0xc6bb7a…
07-28 17:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	605	31¢	$188	0xd26bf8…
07-28 17:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	319	48¢	$153	0xfbbe88…
07-28 17:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0xf6cfc2…
07-28 17:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	583	49¢	$286	0xa7f452…
07-28 17:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	600	17¢	$100	0x225a69…
07-28 17:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	378	26¢	$100	0x9e744d…
07-28 17:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,175	4¢	$46	0x717765…
07-28 17:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2,203	2¢	$54	0xe65dd9…
07-28 16:46:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	47	71¢	$33	0x121ca1…
07-28 16:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1,406	73¢	$1,020	0x4d1576…
07-28 16:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	365	38¢	$138	0x08c9a5…
07-28 16:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,008	46¢	$463	0x240b1f…
07-28 16:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	80	47¢	$37	0x14c656…
07-28 16:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xd82d99…
07-28 16:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xaad006…
07-28 16:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	838	89¢	$741	0x4feefa…
07-28 16:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	838	72¢	$600	0x3172ef…
07-28 16:39:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	303	17¢	$50	0xbae810…
07-28 16:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x637a57…
07-28 16:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	338	21¢	$72	0xb7e937…
07-28 16:26:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	287	53¢	$152	0x8b8a84…
07-28 16:25:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	140	61¢	$85	0xeef7a6…
07-28 16:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x2027f5…
07-28 16:21:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0x7c908d…
05-25 14:56:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	8,056	1¢	$90	0x64b56d…
05-25 14:55:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	5,000	2¢	$105	0xedd1ff…
05-22 20:54:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x359be5…
05-22 20:54:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	30,924	2¢	$573	0x1d3697…
05-22 20:53:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	26,840	7¢	$2,000	0xeac0ce…
05-15 16:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0xde5967…
05-15 16:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0xbbe057…
05-15 16:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x318af2…
05-15 16:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1a2da6…
05-15 16:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xbf7c3c…
05-15 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,220	42¢	$515	0x196f24…
05-15 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,334	7¢	$100	0x0cac96…