Milky-Binoculars — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

1,996 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$442

$13.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$56

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 10-20 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

66% 94% -$42

Crypto

30% 92% -$16

Politics

4% 78% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 75% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+104	$63	52¢	$55	-$8	10-11 10:22
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	+1	$1	65¢	$1	$0	10-17 08:43
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	10¢	$1	$0	10-20 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 8?	2	$133	81	81	+0	Yes	-$5	10-08 14:49
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	3	$95	55	55	+0	No	+$1	07-27 09:41
val geng zeta2 2026 07 16	2	$80	43	43	+0	Gen.G Esports	+$0	07-16 10:30
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%?	3	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-04 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	1	$77	77	0	+77	Yes	+$0	07-01 16:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	2	$63	104	0	+104	open	—	10-11 10:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	08-05 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?	2	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	08-04 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 28?	7	$63	79	0	+79	Yes	+$16	05-28 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	1	$62	62	0	+62	Yes	+$0	08-06 12:52
lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	2	$60	67	67	+0	T1	-$40	08-04 08:53
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 5?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	08-05 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 30?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	06-30 21:33
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$58	60	0	+60	No	+$2	07-31 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 31?	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	07-31 10:32
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	3	$55	58	49	+9	Bilibili Gaming	-$26	07-04 10:37
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$53	33	33	+0	Yes	-$5	05-26 14:18
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 8?	1	$53	54	0	+54	No	+$1	10-08 14:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?	6	$53	64	64	+0	No	-$35	07-03 15:11
Estoril Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Carreno Busta	2	$51	52	0	+52	Pablo Carreno Busta	+$1	07-21 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 21?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	07-21 16:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 17:00 UTC	3	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	02-14 17:04
Hamburg European Open: Valentina Steiner vs Noma Noha Akugue	3	$50	50	0	+50	Noma Noha Akugue	+$1	07-21 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	07-12 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 16?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	07-16 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	2	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	07-13 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 22:50 UTC	4	$47	50	0	+50	Up	+$3	02-13 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 21?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-21 12:38
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 23?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	08-23 11:49
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	3	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$1	07-25 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 22:10:35	Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x58e44b…
10-17 18:08:39	Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x4a36be…
10-17 08:43:48	next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4b9316…
10-16 13:26:13	Will Chase Infiniti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa2ee71…
10-16 13:25:54	Will Jaafar Jackson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xadc8cb…
10-16 13:23:07	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x203885…
10-16 13:14:24	Will Eminem release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x216952…
10-11 10:22:42	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	61¢	$62	0x1c331a…
10-10 13:49:51	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5fd087…
10-08 14:52:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 8?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xaf4e36…
10-08 14:49:35	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x213ba5…
10-08 14:49:02	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 8?	No	SELL	81	79¢	$64	0x888659…
10-08 10:43:17	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on October 8?	No	BUY	81	85¢	$69	0x55c911…
10-07 09:30:24	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 7?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x748d11…
10-06 21:33:53	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x1651bb…
10-06 19:50:09	amzn close above 250 on october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcaf80d…
10-06 18:49:41	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0866b7…
10-06 18:20:15	amzn close above 250 on october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xbb1079…
10-06 18:19:53	amzn close above 245 on october 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe913e2…
09-04 19:55:40	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2d13c7…
08-23 11:49:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 23?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x003eac…
08-21 12:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 21?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x11aaea…
08-14 15:36:40	will coin reach 160 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xad7aeb…
08-14 15:36:19	will coin reach 162 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x887070…
08-13 08:48:06	will yeti say marketing during earnings call 20260810174204169	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x952be8…
08-13 08:31:22	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x26184b…
08-13 08:30:51	Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 30,000-40,000?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb8b991…
08-13 08:30:25	will coin reach 160 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc18f3b…
08-08 22:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99ed66…
08-08 16:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x325fb8…
08-08 16:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e1bb5…
08-08 11:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e0f6…
08-08 03:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a3052…
08-07 19:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa78f97…
08-07 13:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x173d63…
08-07 09:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64745a…
08-07 04:08:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf64995…
08-07 03:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x016eb8…
08-07 03:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0989f9…
08-07 02:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa7c61…
08-07 01:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8438b4…
08-07 01:10:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65de69…
08-06 14:21:48	Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7afd06…
08-06 12:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8833a5…
08-06 12:43:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x45ad13…
08-05 21:45:09	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 5?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x954fa1…
08-05 21:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdf96c6…
08-05 12:32:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xbcce57…
08-04 21:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x5a10f7…
08-04 20:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa8752b…
08-04 08:53:39	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	T1	SELL	67	15¢	$10	0xade5b6…
08-04 08:41:27	lol t1 hle1 2026 08 04	T1	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x5e1e44…
08-01 19:19:32	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x471cac…
08-01 10:56:50	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ad734…
08-01 10:56:47	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6ab1e…
08-01 10:25:17	Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x8dc06c…
07-31 22:07:45	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x1c597e…
07-31 10:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x1932e0…
07-31 08:05:18	will msft reach 465 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2fc42b…
07-31 07:54:57	Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd42bfe…
07-31 07:33:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0x5268b8…
07-31 07:06:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x35942f…
07-30 21:53:44	will apple say health during earnings call 20260727155548215	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb2b5c8…
07-30 21:53:11	will apple say health during earnings call 20260727155548215	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbf2f34…
07-30 21:09:41	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6bfab…
07-30 21:09:39	will apple say china during earnings call 20260727155548213	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51f866…
07-30 09:50:09	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbff141…
07-30 09:00:32	will amazon say prime 10 times during earnings call 20260728011934935	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x029490…
07-30 08:59:11	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 58b 20260717035215863	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x72d916…
07-30 08:58:17	will apple aapl q3 wearables home and accessories revenue be above 8pt5b 20260717035113334	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0eadfa…
07-30 08:48:09	will apple say siri during earnings call 20260727155548221	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbee388…
07-30 08:46:12	will amazon say data center during earnings call 20260728011934948	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3c3d1f…
07-30 08:26:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd556e…
07-30 08:25:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a1193…
07-29 22:39:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x994a86…
07-29 21:27:39	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x91e06d…
07-29 20:36:48	Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0a9429…
07-29 20:35:57	Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc05298…
07-29 20:35:53	Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd39843…
07-29 20:35:51	Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x74ccee…
07-29 20:31:26	cmg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt32	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x085bd2…
07-29 16:59:03	wta fernand eala 2026 07 29	Alexandra Eala	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3600ed…
07-29 09:57:47	Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6f761…
07-29 07:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7828…
07-28 18:41:17	will trump say worker during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556647	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1e8227…
07-28 13:42:56	will trump say putin during fox friends appearance 20260728022316501	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8b01c0…
07-28 12:14:26	will paypal say users during earnings call 20260724221739514	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x050f0d…
07-28 11:53:50	wti closes above 83 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfb8129…
07-28 10:21:46	atp krumich henning 2026 07 27	Martin Krumich	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xedc436…
07-28 10:14:20	will procter gamble say commodity during earnings call 20260717164206379	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9c46b0…
07-28 10:12:58	will procter gamble say commodity during earnings call 20260717164206379	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0041c8…
07-28 10:05:22	wti closes above 83 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa8717f…
07-28 10:05:16	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd17ed6…
07-28 09:55:05	atp kumasak bax 2026 07 27	Takuya Kumasaka	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x2ca7ac…
07-28 08:39:55	atp kumasak bax 2026 07 27	Takuya Kumasaka	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x731de4…
07-27 18:51:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb22eb…
07-27 15:44:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x3b4700…
07-27 15:42:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3f981a…
07-27 15:18:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b82af…
07-27 15:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd96840…