Optimistic-Trowel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

793

Trades

2,037

lifetime

Volume

$20.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-29 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 50% -$1,074

Other

29% 39% -$111

Sports

1% 38% -$59

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	10	$379	438	438	+0	Up	+$19	05-17 10:26
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	14	$315	349	349	+0	Yes	-$16	01-30 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	9	$280	248	248	+0	Up	-$20	05-17 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$269	346	171	+175	Up	-$131	05-17 10:07
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	12	$264	312	243	+69	Down	-$43	04-27 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 15:10 UTC	12	$254	194	194	+0	Down	+$54	06-24 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$228	395	270	+125	Up	-$22	05-17 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$220	197	197	+0	Up	+$20	05-06 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$214	127	127	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$204	383	123	+260	Up	-$46	05-06 10:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$191	238	238	+0	Down	-$9	05-07 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:35 UTC	2	$172	140	138	+2	Up	+$7	03-27 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	11	$167	193	175	+18	Down	+$8	09-11 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$156	265	0	+265	Down	-$156	05-17 09:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 08:45 UTC	9	$155	204	178	+26	Down	-$24	01-25 08:59
bitcoin up or down january 25 4am et	2	$147	111	111	+0	Up	+$12	01-25 09:37
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	3	$147	77	77	+0	Yes	+$4	01-23 01:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:35 UTC	8	$145	164	164	+0	Up	+$6	06-16 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$139	410	410	+0	Up	-$61	05-06 11:02
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$133	96	96	+0	England	+$33	07-06 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:10 UTC	2	$132	75	74	+1	Down	+$16	03-26 13:15
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$120	293	293	+0	Switzerland	$0	07-03 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 05:20 UTC	2	$117	65	64	+0	Down	+$5	03-27 05:22
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	11	$114	201	201	+0	No	+$8	08-28 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$114	72	72	+0	Up	+$14	09-10 13:22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	4	$114	175	175	+0	Yes	-$46	05-08 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	10	$110	237	237	+0	Down	-$50	09-08 13:41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$104	128	128	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 01:45 UTC	5	$103	200	191	+9	Up	+$35	01-26 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 13:00 UTC	7	$100	136	135	+1	Down	+$21	01-25 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:25:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0ddac2…
10-29 04:24:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4bfd8d…
10-26 12:05:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x65e396…
10-26 12:05:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0xa388c1…
10-26 01:32:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8631ac…
10-24 09:36:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x745536…
10-24 09:36:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8963ce…
10-09 07:34:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	Yes	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0xaf1371…
10-08 10:29:39	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xca6753…
10-08 01:16:35	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5cb92a…
10-08 01:09:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xca98b0…
10-08 01:09:20	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3339b9…
10-07 13:35:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4270f9…
10-07 13:35:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa85e23…
10-07 12:28:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfe5f72…
10-07 02:09:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa0a739…
10-06 14:36:51	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x061fc3…
10-06 03:10:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8ee0d3…
10-05 14:30:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x2fc7ba…
10-05 02:07:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$11	0x33572e…
10-03 13:53:26	bitcoin above 88k on october 9 2026	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8bf417…
10-02 02:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x52a8d1…
09-30 07:59:38	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xe53698…
09-30 07:52:35	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xfc475a…
09-30 03:27:44	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xf1a888…
09-27 02:11:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xb8d293…
09-27 02:10:53	will bitcoin reach 85k on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd593c6…
09-25 01:19:41	xauusd up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xacd1f6…
09-24 11:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9b4f86…
09-24 11:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9046f5…
09-24 11:01:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	46	14¢	$7	0x575d62…
09-24 11:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x30b25d…
09-24 11:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xcac5d2…
09-24 10:41:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:40 UTC	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x8e9a52…
09-24 10:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9555a4…
09-24 08:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x65b87e…
09-24 08:32:47	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0x9a675a…
09-24 07:17:23	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xa8474f…
09-24 07:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8008b5…
09-24 07:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5e3352…
09-24 07:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x91811f…
09-24 07:12:23	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xecfff5…
09-24 07:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3b1a7…
09-24 07:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x41e23d…
09-24 07:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x100075…
09-24 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6a8310…
09-24 07:00:09	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	SELL	36	37¢	$13	0x41bc24…
09-24 02:11:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x0202ee…
09-24 01:06:32	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfee942…
09-24 01:04:52	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x147ca5…
09-24 01:03:23	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeabdc1…
09-24 00:56:26	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfff125…
09-24 00:32:41	xauusd up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x40932b…
09-23 15:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-23 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x8bee84…
09-23 14:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x757718…
09-23 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x95b728…
09-23 14:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd423e7…
09-23 14:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xa00b30…
09-23 14:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf6c165…
09-23 14:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x5cb58b…
09-23 14:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x23b2c8…
09-23 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xaee050…
09-23 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbd9a87…
09-23 14:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x20c24f…
09-23 14:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xc6f6e6…
09-23 14:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb47506…
09-23 14:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x65ca5f…
09-23 13:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x51300c…
09-23 13:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9718cb…
09-23 13:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa578f0…
09-23 13:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x62d53f…
09-23 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xb64154…
09-23 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3725d7…
09-23 12:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0x826ea5…
09-23 12:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xf529be…
09-23 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x96925a…
09-23 07:36:13	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0xd9f51a…
09-23 00:13:08	xauusd up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc36a8d…
09-23 00:13:05	xauusd up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb0ff3f…
09-22 13:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9b47f3…
09-22 13:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x6b32ce…
09-22 10:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3a7aa2…
09-22 07:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xdd4b5c…
09-22 07:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x37793f…
09-22 00:46:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe6d2d7…
09-21 13:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x60fbd7…
09-21 13:25:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0x7283eb…
09-21 11:32:36	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xd4b92e…
09-21 08:32:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x2d7199…
09-21 08:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x67655d…
09-21 08:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x26d1aa…
09-21 02:11:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0aea3a…
09-21 02:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaf38c6…
09-21 01:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x52b821…
09-21 01:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0beaab…
09-21 01:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2ff0e1…
09-21 01:09:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xb009b7…
09-21 00:57:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x44f612…
09-21 00:57:41	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x00427b…
09-21 00:57:29	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9cd73d…