Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

27,343 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.16K

$80.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$453

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

94% 23% +$1,302

Sports

5% 14% +$666

Politics

1% 67% +$18

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 10% -$4

Crypto

0% 40% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 1002 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+90	$78	99¢	$89	+$11	11-01 17:20
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+45	$44	97¢	$44	+$0	10-31 11:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+50	$38	72¢	$36	-$1	10-31 07:27
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	+45	$33	72¢	$32	$0	10-31 17:07
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	+53	$36	55¢	$29	-$6	10-31 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+30	$29	97¢	$29	$0	10-31 10:01
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	+45	$28	64¢	$29	+$0	10-31 13:00
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+30	$25	86¢	$26	+$0	10-31 13:54
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+45	$22	48¢	$21	$0	10-31 12:49
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	+30	$21	70¢	$21	+$0	11-01 02:13
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+45	$19	42¢	$19	+$0	11-01 14:13
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+45	$14	34¢	$15	+$2	10-31 15:58
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	+30	$13	44¢	$13	+$1	11-01 10:51
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+20	$14	65¢	$13	-$1	10-31 16:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+12	$12	99¢	$12	$0	10-31 16:02
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+45	$9	26¢	$11	+$2	10-31 13:11
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	+30	$13	35¢	$10	-$2	10-31 11:59
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+238	$54	1¢	$2	-$52	11-01 17:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nvda above 185 on january 2 2026	2	$788	830	0	+830	Yes	-$788	01-02 19:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	51	$673	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$377	08-09 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?	32	$506	716	0	+716	No	+$210	08-09 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	27	$496	558	0	+558	No	+$62	08-08 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8?	25	$483	653	0	+653	No	+$170	08-08 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?	22	$440	572	0	+572	No	+$132	08-15 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	39	$435	994	0	+994	Yes	-$435	08-09 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	28	$410	709	0	+709	No	+$299	08-11 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9?	11	$362	406	0	+406	No	+$44	08-09 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 8?	13	$355	362	0	+362	No	+$7	08-08 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	22	$340	435	0	+435	Yes	-$340	08-16 11:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?	21	$333	360	0	+360	No	+$27	08-15 14:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	6	$324	410	0	+410	No	+$86	08-08 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	26	$310	589	0	+589	No	+$279	08-15 09:21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 7?	5	$309	342	0	+342	No	+$33	08-07 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 11?	25	$293	479	0	+479	Yes	-$293	08-11 07:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10?	16	$287	354	0	+354	No	+$67	08-10 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	18	$282	342	0	+342	No	+$60	08-15 17:27
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?	29	$281	439	0	+439	No	+$158	08-15 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 9?	26	$277	364	0	+364	No	+$87	08-09 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 8?	8	$266	290	0	+290	No	+$24	08-08 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?	19	$256	265	0	+265	No	+$9	08-08 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on November 1?	1	$252	252	0	+252	open	—	10-31 08:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 10?	18	$245	314	0	+314	No	+$69	08-10 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 15?	7	$241	241	0	+241	No	+$0	08-15 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?	25	$237	387	0	+387	No	+$150	08-08 16:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 8?	15	$236	271	0	+271	No	+$35	08-08 16:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	12	$231	280	0	+280	No	+$49	08-10 15:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 25?	3	$231	200	200	+0	Yes	+$167	07-26 00:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 11?	16	$228	309	0	+309	No	+$81	08-11 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:59:16	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	BUY	36	79¢	$29	0xb55a69…
11-01 17:34:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd25c06…
11-01 17:20:40	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x721d28…
11-01 17:20:39	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x00dff9…
11-01 17:15:55	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	19¢	$9	0xf6468b…
11-01 16:51:22	Will the Central Bank of Chile increase the monetary policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xde6fcc…
11-01 16:10:06	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in October?	No	BUY	18	83¢	$14	0xe74c28…
11-01 16:08:13	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xbb7a7c…
11-01 15:33:42	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xd6edf2…
11-01 15:24:28	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde0ad1…
11-01 15:24:28	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95a9c5…
11-01 15:24:28	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $50M and $75M by November 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3ec1b5…
11-01 15:16:52	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0xafb9f8…
11-01 15:05:10	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0e379…
11-01 15:05:10	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd692b6…
11-01 15:05:09	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on November 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaa6eb9…
11-01 14:56:13	Will the Republican Party win the GA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xfb1f5e…
11-01 14:13:15	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x7bac46…
11-01 13:22:33	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x261490…
11-01 11:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on November 2?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xec3672…
11-01 10:51:49	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xbd0575…
11-01 10:18:39	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3cf951…
11-01 10:17:49	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x9a2063…
11-01 10:10:09	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x28bd9e…
11-01 09:20:25	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0xf861bc…
11-01 08:59:24	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	No	BUY	45	79¢	$35	0x992aa6…
11-01 08:58:27	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfed944…
11-01 08:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x000530…
11-01 07:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc7857b…
11-01 07:15:18	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$43	0x91c79b…
11-01 04:27:46	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	63	26¢	$16	0x076faf…
11-01 03:57:57	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x202b40…
11-01 03:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb79a39…
11-01 03:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6618b0…
11-01 02:57:24	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	No	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x93ee62…
11-01 02:14:31	Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc0451e…
11-01 02:13:24	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xbd5c4f…
11-01 02:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on November 2?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x79806d…
11-01 02:10:13	Will the median home value in Miami be between $788,000 and $809,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x2bec91…
11-01 02:10:13	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fed68…
11-01 02:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x90cac3…
11-01 01:57:40	Will the Samajwadi Party (SP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	45	80¢	$36	0xaaa2be…
11-01 01:44:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 0%-20%?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xfddb33…
11-01 01:44:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0f278c…
11-01 01:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 2?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x640b0b…
10-31 21:26:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	45	39¢	$18	0xe7cdc9…
10-31 21:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x6d654e…
10-31 21:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x566957…
10-31 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?	No	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x38020c…
10-31 21:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 2?	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x19d1ad…
10-31 21:10:18	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9ee495…
10-31 19:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x93f1c8…
10-31 17:07:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	45	73¢	$33	0x35581c…
10-31 17:02:28	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xbcdca0…
10-31 16:48:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xca328b…
10-31 16:02:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x02be44…
10-31 15:58:18	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x938d87…
10-31 15:57:28	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfc2141…
10-31 15:56:55	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x80d1f2…
10-31 15:25:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?	No	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0xd9d0ec…
10-31 15:14:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4744f…
10-31 15:10:06	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x75fd4b…
10-31 14:48:40	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least $14M?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x57d237…
10-31 14:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa7f687…
10-31 13:55:25	Will Lo Pei-chin win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x23ba72…
10-31 13:54:52	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7671e2…
10-31 13:45:01	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x77d9a1…
10-31 13:40:45	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	53	67¢	$36	0x2c7181…
10-31 13:11:33	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x697479…
10-31 13:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0eb050…
10-31 13:00:37	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x08d890…
10-31 12:56:42	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x3d04f7…
10-31 12:49:28	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xc5bce5…
10-31 11:59:45	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	No	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x3dfb6e…
10-31 11:44:40	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x34a409…
10-31 11:22:51	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x3a4376…
10-31 11:03:13	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd966c5…
10-31 10:04:28	Will PP receive between 34% and 36% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x6c8680…
10-31 10:03:51	Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?	No	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xf56f2a…
10-31 10:02:48	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x7fcf8f…
10-31 10:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0cf742…
10-31 09:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x7c7f29…
10-31 08:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1?	No	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x49ed73…
10-31 08:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x63466c…
10-31 08:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C or below on November 1?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x32b9b4…
10-31 08:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x155668…
10-31 07:27:49	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x87243a…
10-31 07:09:42	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x48dc12…
10-31 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa60540…
10-31 07:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x717d42…
10-31 06:56:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1?	No	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x052b79…
08-25 12:56:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbece3e…
08-25 12:39:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x60827e…
08-17 14:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x96fa30…
08-17 14:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 17?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xaf2bc2…
08-17 14:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x5c8be2…
08-17 14:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe32e72…
08-17 14:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90c8b2…
08-17 14:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x8e77ee…
08-17 14:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48863…