Clever-Dancing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$631

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

2,302

Trades

5,312

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 267 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 56% -$473

Other

13% 62% -$130

Sports

3% 44% -$27

Politics

2% 71% +$0

Tech

0% 60% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	+4	$7	55¢	$2	-$4	10-28 07:43
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-1	-$1	40¢	$-0	+$0	05-26 11:34
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	-1	$1	17¢	$-0	-$1	08-25 05:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	85	$641	5,140	5,124	+16	No	-$69	03-16 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:05 UTC	12	$189	245	158	+87	Down	-$11	04-06 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:15 UTC	7	$161	138	136	+2	Up	+$53	03-11 15:19
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	56	$133	92	88	+4	open	—	10-28 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:35 UTC	7	$123	123	80	+44	Up	+$4	03-11 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:35 UTC	11	$114	143	90	+53	Up	+$5	04-06 10:38
will arsenal reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$109	502	502	+0	Yes	+$5	03-12 06:59
will trump say job 10 times during tech signing event on wednesday	4	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	03-04 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 07:45 UTC	9	$101	114	82	+32	Up	+$22	04-06 07:49
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 25	4	$100	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-25 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 16:00 UTC	4	$99	99	98	+1	Down	+$17	02-27 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:30 UTC	11	$92	219	0	+219	Down	-$9	03-12 06:34
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	16	$81	50	51	-1	open	—	08-25 05:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:20 UTC	11	$80	244	0	+244	Up	-$9	03-11 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:40 UTC	9	$78	180	0	+180	Up	+$29	03-12 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:50 UTC	13	$77	164	0	+164	Down	-$23	03-12 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:00 UTC	8	$75	145	0	+145	Up	-$6	03-12 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:40 UTC	11	$74	160	0	+160	Down	+$4	03-12 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:20 UTC	8	$74	143	0	+143	Down	+$0	03-26 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:55 UTC	5	$74	139	29	+110	Down	-$32	02-27 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 08:10 UTC	12	$73	145	0	+145	Up	-$6	04-06 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 09:15 UTC	9	$73	247	0	+247	Up	+$7	04-06 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:15 UTC	9	$72	139	0	+139	Down	+$4	03-12 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:50 UTC	8	$72	87	0	+87	Up	-$64	03-12 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:55 UTC	7	$72	82	62	+20	Up	+$11	04-06 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:40 UTC	13	$71	148	0	+148	Up	+$4	03-26 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:25 UTC	9	$71	73	72	+1	Up	+$8	03-20 15:29
Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	17	$71	42	34	+7	Yes	+$0	04-27 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:15 UTC	9	$70	149	0	+149	Up	+$1	03-12 07:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:25 UTC	10	$70	150	0	+150	Up	+$16	03-12 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:43:28	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x183194…
10-27 13:23:48	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfe8685…
10-27 13:23:17	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe3b107…
10-27 12:43:20	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$3	0xef3d8e…
10-27 08:32:42	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x77c75e…
10-27 08:32:27	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x1866f1…
10-27 08:32:18	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xeaebff…
10-27 08:32:08	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x8c51fa…
10-27 08:32:00	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x284c10…
10-27 08:31:38	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x04a7a5…
10-27 08:31:30	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x8b8829…
10-27 08:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x28ca9d…
10-27 08:17:06	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6ca6fd…
10-26 10:46:29	Goyang vs. LG Sakers	LG Sakers	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x01b586…
10-26 10:45:36	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4647b5…
10-25 06:45:23	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x53bcfe…
10-24 11:09:53	Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9ec353…
10-24 08:36:48	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcc012f…
10-24 08:36:32	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf8e5df…
10-23 07:28:14	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3ef72a…
10-22 11:38:14	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa68cc3…
10-22 07:05:56	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x105703…
10-22 06:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc27a4f…
10-22 06:47:15	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6e95c7…
10-21 17:38:02	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6c2050…
10-21 09:20:45	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe054ae…
10-20 17:43:41	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb21041…
10-20 12:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x33e185…
10-20 12:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3f16dd…
10-20 12:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1ca77d…
10-20 12:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x99ccea…
10-20 07:45:41	Japan Women's Open: Maya Joint vs Zeynep Sonmez	Maya Joint	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc6abe7…
10-20 07:41:32	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd6aa82…
10-19 07:14:42	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7e00bb…
10-19 06:30:18	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x79022d…
10-18 06:08:09	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa7c91b…
10-17 05:38:22	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x36c349…
10-17 05:22:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2953d7…
10-17 05:21:44	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1e73a2…
10-17 05:20:31	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xdf4872…
10-16 06:04:03	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x51a6ed…
10-15 18:40:22	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbaa1bb…
10-15 18:39:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb47aee…
10-15 18:39:35	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd058b9…
10-15 18:39:02	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf25ad9…
10-15 18:38:41	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8d0c76…
10-15 05:11:44	jumper fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x847102…
10-14 06:31:05	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xbc2dad…
10-14 06:30:50	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb61988…
10-14 06:02:28	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd7a30f…
10-14 06:01:55	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x976064…
10-14 06:01:31	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9b7733…
10-13 06:16:33	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x51415f…
10-12 09:52:08	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x16a5c2…
10-12 09:51:20	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0x85c180…
10-12 06:16:59	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xad53a2…
10-11 07:11:15	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xee54b3…
10-11 07:10:48	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x779b92…
10-11 05:29:32	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe8249b…
10-11 05:29:06	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7b8ac7…
10-10 11:23:21	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeffaa5…
10-10 06:03:43	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x28dc50…
10-09 14:41:01	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x080980…
10-09 10:44:01	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery	Karen Khachanov	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc477e4…
10-09 08:28:19	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x18d463…
10-09 08:28:04	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x179253…
10-08 08:30:29	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Mariano Navone	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x298efb…
10-08 05:29:32	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x72a265…
10-07 06:06:18	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$5	0xd0192e…
10-07 05:52:33	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2e6730…
10-06 10:17:13	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3b0068…
10-06 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x29c1c6…
10-06 09:49:33	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc17d0d…
10-06 09:47:13	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0x491212…
10-06 06:17:48	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf4b02b…
10-05 15:31:58	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x673406…
10-05 11:45:38	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2fc372…
10-05 08:49:38	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d8276…
10-05 08:49:05	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x93fc09…
10-04 10:23:41	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd96c8f…
10-04 10:23:17	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xcbf827…
10-04 08:55:02	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x80da96…
10-04 08:08:13	atp vachero fils 2026 10 03	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x26812b…
10-04 06:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x099c28…
10-04 06:46:31	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b413a…
10-04 06:03:01	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x74ad53…
10-03 15:02:06	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x54cc5e…
10-03 15:01:39	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x012cc0…
10-03 09:38:24	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x953210…
10-03 09:38:14	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x331ec1…
10-03 09:38:02	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x091a9a…
10-03 09:37:54	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x190255…
10-03 06:38:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x19e659…
10-03 05:25:51	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6267b9…
10-02 10:49:36	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x701e0d…
10-02 06:40:54	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe3301d…
10-02 04:39:24	North Texas vs. Tulsa	North Texas	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf47865…
10-01 16:07:29	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa514ed…
10-01 06:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x45038a…
09-30 16:20:15	Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9c51c2…