Haunting-Traveler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,908

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-11 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

39% 33% $-2

Crypto

35% 64% +$2

Politics

23% 0% $-8

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$1.6K	1,385	1,385	+0	open	—	02-28 13:49
cs2 fut prv 2026 02 18	11	$1.2K	714	710	+4	open	—	02-18 15:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$994	575	575	+0	open	—	03-04 11:51
cs2 navi g2 2026 02 18 game2	9	$976	574	574	+0	open	—	02-18 17:58
cs2 mouz fut 2026 02 17 game2	7	$866	548	548	+0	open	—	02-17 12:12
bitcoin up or down february 12 3pm et	95	$817	1,374	1,215	+159	open	—	02-12 20:41
cs2 mouz vit 2026 02 16 game2	3	$814	446	446	+0	open	—	02-16 16:46
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$666	411	411	+0	open	—	03-08 22:44
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 0pt5	3	$628	371	371	+0	open	—	07-05 21:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$625	4,830	2,267	+2,563	open	—	03-10 22:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$545	739	739	+0	open	—	03-11 12:47
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	9	$470	829	829	+0	open	—	03-05 10:23
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$470	317	317	+0	open	—	02-10 14:10
bitcoin up or down february 12 1pm et	19	$461	721	721	+0	open	—	02-12 18:54
cs2 mouzn tdk 2026 02 18	7	$331	436	162	+274	open	—	02-18 15:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$309	1,558	1,558	+0	open	—	03-07 00:36
cs2 navi aur1 2026 02 16	5	$300	164	164	+0	open	—	02-16 11:27
btc updown 15m 1770844500	4	$293	389	384	+4	open	—	02-11 21:23
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	8	$289	294	294	+0	open	—	03-03 18:45
btc updown 5m 1770931200	2	$281	204	200	+3	open	—	02-12 21:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$259	204	200	+3	open	—	04-10 16:46
us strikes iraq by february 28	4	$252	252	252	+0	open	—	03-03 21:58
cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 15 game1	5	$231	148	148	+0	open	—	02-15 18:49
cs2 m8 hotu 2026 02 14	2	$218	119	119	+0	open	—	02-14 20:38
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$212	379	379	+0	Yes	$-8	04-22 19:31
btc updown 5m 1771107300	4	$206	105	105	+0	open	—	02-14 22:20
cs2 fut ast10 2026 02 16 game1	4	$204	111	111	+0	open	—	02-16 11:52
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$198	155	155	+0	open	—	03-03 10:08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$193	361	361	+0	open	—	04-12 16:35
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	2	$191	157	157	+0	open	—	02-16 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 00:59:22	btc updown 5m 1783731300	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xf84d52…
07-11 00:58:31	btc updown 5m 1783731300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8aba6d…
07-09 21:38:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x340f8c…
07-09 21:37:22	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0xed8a7d…
07-09 21:28:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	SELL	56	26¢	$15	0x836751…
07-09 19:46:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x10e9f9…
07-07 16:23:02	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x9aec95…
07-07 16:22:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xd78423…
07-05 21:56:14	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8f2de6…
07-05 21:43:49	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	371	99¢	$368	0xf60249…
07-05 19:42:53	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x00741a…
07-05 19:40:43	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x01de83…
07-05 19:39:38	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9fbd31…
07-03 20:40:46	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xab393e…
07-03 20:34:10	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x355e7f…
07-03 20:29:31	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa832d8…
07-03 20:23:50	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xd5f5d6…
07-03 20:22:20	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8504a0…
07-03 19:18:44	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x35d692…
07-03 19:17:53	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47e4e1…
07-03 19:12:40	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	13	19¢	$2	0x3226b5…
07-03 19:12:26	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 btts	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf02adf…
07-01 17:54:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	DR Congo	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xd6bb72…
07-01 15:27:25	btc updown 5m 1782919500	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xaaf165…
07-01 15:27:07	btc updown 5m 1782919500	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf9e6da…
07-01 08:20:28	btc updown 5m 1782894000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc150a1…
05-31 08:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x1cc4d6…
05-31 08:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x83d91a…
05-31 08:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0abd97…
05-31 08:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xee565d…
05-31 08:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6d71c6…
05-31 08:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x56bfd6…
05-28 16:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x35828c…
05-28 16:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0686d4…
05-28 16:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x98b94c…
05-28 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb82f23…
05-28 16:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x55b7c5…
05-28 16:10:47	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0x97dcee…
05-28 16:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x94f9f5…
05-28 16:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbcecd6…
05-28 16:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb5b568…
05-28 15:48:30	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x84be87…
05-27 20:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc2d664…
05-27 20:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x233b94…
05-27 20:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2d1f1…
05-27 15:52:52	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0xb004a1…
05-27 15:25:41	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xe05e6f…
05-24 12:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3b69d4…
05-16 10:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x6bb050…
05-16 10:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x59dbe8…
05-16 10:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa55f4d…
05-16 10:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdee483…
05-16 10:30:00	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7f5cbb…
05-16 10:26:59	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xb4d771…
05-16 10:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x4e4051…
05-16 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x401a21…
05-16 10:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb63f92…
05-16 10:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x23590a…
05-16 10:23:00	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8c5bae…
05-16 10:22:44	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdec043…
05-16 10:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xb226fa…
05-16 10:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0ee753…
05-16 10:14:50	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x6ff36c…
05-16 10:13:41	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb36e6a…
05-16 10:10:10	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x12c45e…
05-16 10:09:26	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbc7e83…
05-16 10:08:32	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xae7abe…
05-16 10:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcf1fa1…
05-16 10:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xa0f9c9…
05-16 10:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1ba557…
05-15 16:01:26	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x2758b8…
05-15 15:34:51	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4636e0…
05-15 15:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xfd0c6a…
05-15 15:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8a9d0b…
05-13 20:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x40da57…
05-13 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xdcbb5a…
05-13 20:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xeb1ac5…
05-13 20:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$1	0xe9faf9…
05-13 20:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe35b43…
05-13 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x0eab2d…
05-13 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf90ccb…
05-13 20:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x4ac6ec…
05-13 20:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x213232…
05-13 08:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x4503d2…
05-13 08:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x837393…
05-12 22:18:41	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x3be847…
05-12 22:14:32	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x22e812…
05-12 22:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xf03cb9…
05-12 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x542e10…
05-12 22:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1441f5…
05-12 22:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x949ffc…
05-12 22:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x36fb2a…
05-12 21:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x5ad8de…
05-12 21:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1fb2cc…
05-12 16:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x364d73…
05-12 16:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa14daf…
05-12 16:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x05bdf0…
05-10 16:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb4814d…
05-10 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xbc0503…
05-10 16:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd486e1…