Live-Laugh — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$246

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 11-06 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

51% 33% +$55

Other

30% 0% -$71

Sports

10% 0% -$25

Tech

6% 0% -$15

Crypto

3% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes		+31	$3	15¢	$5	+$2	11-06 16:42
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	—	+72	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	11-13 22:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$56	429	429	+0	open	—	10-27 20:11
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	1	$30	250	0	+250	Under	-$30	05-30 14:49
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$26	46	0	+46	No	-$26	09-08 13:24
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$25	125	0	+125	Yes	+$100	05-16 13:28
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$25	625	0	+625	No	-$25	06-07 19:18
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$25	397	0	+397	No	-$25	05-16 13:29
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	1	$20	124	0	+124	Yes	-$20	02-28 20:10
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	1	$15	88	0	+88	No	-$15	11-03 15:38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$15	149	0	+149	No	-$15	09-08 13:11
FAA outage attributed to Iran?	1	$5	72	0	+72	open	—	11-13 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	09-01 13:35
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	1	$3	31	0	+31	open	—	11-06 16:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:15 UTC	1	$2	18	0	+18	Up	-$2	01-27 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 22:06:31	FAA outage attributed to Iran?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x8bb9db…
11-06 16:42:10	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x23127f…
11-03 15:38:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xbfd444…
10-27 20:11:51	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	429	6¢	$26	0x673507…
09-08 13:24:01	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	Yes	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x82e870…
09-08 13:11:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	10¢	$15	0xecacf0…
09-01 14:05:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x8bfcff…
09-01 13:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4c106e…
06-07 19:18:57	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x6bf4d2…
05-30 14:49:14	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xe22dce…
05-16 13:29:12	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	397	6¢	$25	0x13f7d0…
05-16 13:28:40	Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x8528c8…
02-28 20:10:51	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0xc0aef6…
01-27 22:29:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8902da…