Ill-Informed-Lung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-29 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

75% 100% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec5029…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba58db…
06-29 19:05:40	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c11ea…
06-29 19:05:37	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8cfe3…
06-29 16:45:01	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	Esport BERG	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x517d12…
06-29 14:13:55	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3d3bf…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a957f…
06-28 17:28:43	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4500fd…
06-28 17:09:53	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x790e3c…
06-28 04:00:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95ac7a…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd61a7c…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332aba…
06-28 01:32:04	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f7881…
06-27 20:38:17	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x048137…
06-27 20:00:17	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15963b…
06-27 02:05:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x289734…
06-26 21:09:26	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35fe20…
06-26 19:03:13	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd0f291…
06-26 19:03:10	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb755fc…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fd093…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf3a9d…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfae19d…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x88cb85…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4aa33…
06-25 00:12:32	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6835d6…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbba369…
06-24 20:58:25	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c739c…
06-24 16:57:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d3195…
06-24 09:58:58	val osg t1a 2026 06 24 game1	ONSIDE GAMING	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a9b06…
06-24 01:01:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91764c…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd36b79…
06-23 18:25:10	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe232b8…
06-23 18:10:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x551018…
06-23 15:30:58	crint nam3 nga2 2026 06 23	Namibia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x234216…
06-23 04:13:38	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50d10d…
06-23 00:51:19	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9a018…
06-21 20:22:47	codmw tor g2m 2026 06 21 game1	G2 Minnesota	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x912e7b…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fde71…
06-21 05:58:05	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e78b1…
06-20 20:06:43	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18667c…
06-20 19:13:19	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddf01b…
06-20 19:05:32	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals crysencio summerville gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaebaa6…
06-20 12:35:43	kbo kia kt 2026 06 20	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f483f…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8406bc…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7ffff…
06-20 02:33:17	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53612a…
06-20 01:55:04	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x4c6725…
06-20 01:50:22	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xead4c6…
06-20 01:49:32	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe0686…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd34ea3…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51dc42…
06-19 15:36:19	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bcbcd…
06-19 01:55:11	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 18 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6cfc1…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b322…
06-18 23:47:11	r6siege m80 c9 2026 06 18	M80	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ce2b3…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x970e4f…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x247959…
06-18 18:01:41	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x918184…
06-18 09:59:53	itf salazar newberr 2026 06 18	Lois Newberry	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce7715…
06-17 19:25:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98563c…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aad86…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa971d6…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x029fca…
06-17 16:10:05	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc34f68…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23f49e…
06-17 16:06:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a912a…
06-17 03:06:06	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfca0b…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8509aa…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19213f…
06-15 18:27:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa84900…
06-15 18:00:12	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4dfaf9…
06-15 17:57:58	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x117081…
06-15 12:41:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71d17e…
06-15 03:25:55	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f83cb…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe399d6…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd12d4f…
06-14 19:06:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54f43a…
06-14 19:02:25	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38d3ff…
06-14 01:58:33	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 1h total 109pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8b15d…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16f11b…
06-12 22:02:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x731039…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84cf8f…
06-12 20:56:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9b6781…
06-12 20:37:12	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccac37…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8908c9…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47b0d6…
06-12 20:17:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x839ad5…
06-12 20:05:37	cs2 noirve saab 2026 06 12	Noir Verse	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ca93c…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc88d0b…
06-11 22:13:43	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6dda7e…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7acbe0…
06-11 17:16:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20d906…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f7a9f…
06-11 16:18:42	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1480	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb50a5b…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76ae6e…
06-10 20:05:12	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cf4ab…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5e741…
06-08 21:37:03	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd72d8b…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa393e6…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x889d85…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:31
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 21:02
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 12:02
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 18:52
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 08:09
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-31 15:26
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 20:53
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 00:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 21:53
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:00
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-17 19:04
cs2 noirve saab 2026 06 12	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-12 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Kichenok/Krawczyk	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 10:37
val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-18 22:59
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 5.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 15:25
itf salazar newberr 2026 06 18	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-18 09:59
codmw tor g2m 2026 06 21 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-21 20:22
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals crysencio summerville gte1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 19:05
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-05 17:03
cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-28 17:28
AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 0.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 20:01