Ill-Informed-Lung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

763

Trades

802

lifetime

Volume

$7.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-01 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

80% 97% -$3

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:05
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$10	10	0	+10	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:29
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 total 12pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	06-20 01:49
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	QoR	+$0	06-03 00:47
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
cs2 theboy bandac 2026 07 10 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	TheBoys	+$0	07-10 19:37
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-10 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:36:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e181a…
11-01 01:39:04	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x464965…
11-01 01:09:22	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa78c96…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1c5e9…
11-01 00:05:27	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc24990…
10-31 16:00:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef822c…
10-30 23:40:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63a129…
10-30 22:23:49	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x820074…
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x457108…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x032ea0…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaae26…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c5b04…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdad560…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8376a…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc27b9e…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49aed7…
10-22 20:41:06	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46fdb9…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a82ec…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x194e86…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x109aeb…
10-19 19:11:29	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x631cde…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd660c…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7486b3…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e6503…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc99f1d…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ad50f…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf83b3a…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4bce4…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x393614…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9113b5…
10-12 09:01:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9cc3de…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5df4a5…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa8757a…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54ec52…
10-10 12:54:21	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f0286…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d6bd5…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x241014…
10-09 02:10:00	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35fc59…
10-08 19:15:11	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x320fc3…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeb9359…
10-07 13:53:59	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c3b23…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb99c4a…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1c6d22…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62219a…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x246c7f…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2bd39…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0097fc…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93945d…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d74e6…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230ace…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a7b81…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf83a30…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1718ff…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf6c9a…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x021802…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfef3c…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x77e20d…
10-01 11:30:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x378db4…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97d142…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4dee2a…
09-30 23:54:48	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x904969…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xed9acf…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfb7bd…
09-29 22:33:08	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x117076…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73be5a…
09-29 13:20:15	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x620a61…
09-28 16:54:57	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76fb93…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x744d44…
09-27 20:41:56	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29630e…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0957d…
09-27 13:31:21	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3bace…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f2e30…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc87374…
09-27 00:30:42	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x734dca…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25d5e6…
09-26 20:01:36	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd349ac…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf17b3…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29fe8d…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf1752…
09-25 10:14:42	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf33f76…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf34185…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6915b5…
09-23 16:27:34	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b9ab7…
09-23 04:45:11	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed0d07…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5edfdb…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb9669…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd89025…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe39fc8…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x124561…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fa2b0…
09-20 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe19706…
09-20 12:44:49	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b49cd…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7f36…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54863e…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x544424…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ee0cc…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6fbe6…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6633e…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12d5af…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81a125…