Glaring-Cygnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$162

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved (90d)

409

Trades (90d)

2,203

3,971 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$792

$1.59K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-30 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

100% 16% +$378

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	—	+330	$1	0¢	$0	$0	10-30 17:09
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+80	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-30 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	39	$144	300	240	+60	No	+$84	06-02 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	18	$87	170	110	+60	No	+$65	05-22 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	23	$65	320	110	+210	No	+$49	09-18 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	33	$52	430	80	+350	Yes	+$5	08-25 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	23	$50	375	305	+70	Yes	+$43	10-09 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	11	$45	45	45	+0	Yes	+$44	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	10	$43	110	80	+30	Yes	+$39	10-16 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	24	$42	295	50	+245	No	+$14	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	14	$41	120	50	+70	No	+$15	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	13	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	07-21 06:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	14	$40	50	49	+1	Yes	+$15	05-26 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	21	$40	105	73	+32	Yes	+$36	10-30 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	12	$35	100	20	+80	Yes	+$5	07-03 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	27	$34	301	115	+186	Yes	+$24	05-22 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	9	$33	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	06-09 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	16	$33	304	40	+264	No	+$28	10-13 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	9	$33	70	60	+10	Yes	+$15	09-11 12:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	27	$29	215	35	+180	Yes	-$9	07-24 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	11	$26	185	20	+165	No	+$12	06-23 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	12	$26	90	20	+70	Yes	-$4	08-28 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	34	$26	510	470	+40	No	+$22	10-08 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	9	$25	30	30	+0	No	+$10	07-21 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	24	$25	225	15	+210	Yes	-$2	07-10 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	15	$23	105	15	+90	Yes	$0	06-26 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	8	$22	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	07-17 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	23	$22	310	230	+80	No	+$19	08-20 22:05
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	14	$19	250	50	+200	No	+$16	10-13 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	9	$19	65	20	+45	No	+$5	06-16 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	18	$18	380	340	+40	No	+$16	08-21 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	4	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	06-12 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb925fb…
10-30 18:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ea8bf…
10-30 18:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4019de…
10-30 18:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x59aa07…
10-30 17:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x59f5bf…
10-30 17:09:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x20c8a6…
10-30 16:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe5e841…
10-30 16:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4ea07d…
10-30 16:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x40443c…
10-30 16:19:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xac91a8…
10-30 15:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xceefa0…
10-30 15:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x963b24…
10-30 15:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x806ece…
10-30 15:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4baa04…
10-30 15:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2cf09c…
10-30 15:01:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x95d7da…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xea1d44…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdd6778…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2c6b6e…
10-30 14:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf95800…
10-30 14:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0x57977a…
10-30 14:15:00	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xb3e900…
10-30 14:14:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x8dc397…
10-30 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x8dbf0e…
10-30 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1e950b…
10-30 14:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb8dab9…
10-30 14:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x608b5f…
10-30 14:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x10c4f2…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xfac64f…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x664c68…
10-30 13:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xa6967a…
10-30 13:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x35f1e4…
10-30 13:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa4defe…
10-30 13:46:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xc0e71c…
10-30 13:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xc2c6eb…
10-30 13:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x4d1e8f…
10-30 13:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x43596a…
10-30 13:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x369f17…
10-30 13:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x84984a…
10-30 13:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x82616c…
10-30 13:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc79d0e…
10-30 13:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a6416…
10-30 13:38:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x89753f…
10-30 13:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x361532…
10-30 08:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1644d0…
10-30 06:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8656c7…
10-30 06:22:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x84b0f9…
10-30 06:22:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb2bd86…
10-30 06:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbf7cbc…
10-30 06:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xe535bc…
10-30 06:06:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8edca3…
10-30 06:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x9e3e18…
10-30 05:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdf85b2…
10-30 05:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x193f60…
10-30 05:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbbf7b7…
10-30 05:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x2da13c…
10-30 05:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6425bc…
10-30 05:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6204e3…
10-30 04:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x75c5b7…
10-30 00:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7ecd6d…
10-29 21:46:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb7e8b6…
10-29 21:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x22b290…
10-29 21:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x3a22a8…
10-29 21:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbf8f2f…
10-29 21:33:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x7c5a4a…
10-29 21:32:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xacecb6…
10-29 21:32:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x46861f…
10-29 21:32:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2c8b9d…
10-29 20:01:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x279416…
10-29 19:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x02fd2b…
10-29 19:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x830d0b…
10-29 19:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xe21fee…
10-29 19:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x247df3…
10-29 17:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x4211e1…
10-29 17:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x352123…
10-29 17:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfe49b2…
10-29 16:39:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x253b8b…
10-29 16:39:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x28136a…
10-29 16:38:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x185533…
10-29 15:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x45dc41…
10-29 14:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x68b512…
10-29 14:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x052877…
10-29 14:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0d72a1…
10-29 14:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd345f0…
10-29 07:58:32	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2d516b…
10-29 07:54:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x946095…
10-29 07:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x71a425…
10-29 07:48:59	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xb036cd…
10-29 07:42:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8ebbb8…
10-29 05:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xfcb752…
10-29 04:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdbf1d6…
10-29 04:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x39f701…
10-29 03:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x43c5e8…
10-29 03:14:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb8a941…
10-29 01:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb71884…
10-28 23:43:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9a1610…
10-28 23:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xd909d5…
10-28 23:43:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0a0376…
10-28 23:24:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x48358d…
10-28 22:35:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7715d1…