Elastic-Announcement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 43% +$12

Other

19% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	+7	$4	99¢	$7	+$3	05-12 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	+6	$4	62¢	$4	$-0	05-12 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	+4	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-12 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	+3	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	05-12 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x852492…
05-12 22:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x45ee13…
05-12 22:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x59913d…
05-12 22:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1295e0…
05-12 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x72f70a…
05-12 22:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xeba996…
05-12 22:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb57dd0…
05-12 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x88089d…
05-12 21:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xae0025…
05-12 21:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2af83a…
05-12 21:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfbf222…
05-12 21:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x32f08c…
05-12 20:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xddb886…
05-12 00:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x188e59…
05-12 00:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x06ed9a…
05-11 23:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdb03dc…
05-11 23:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb33805…
05-11 23:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeda651…
05-11 23:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x23916c…
05-11 23:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x10a114…
05-11 23:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe0d6d7…
05-11 23:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4cac5…
05-11 23:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa7bc08…
05-10 02:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa49ef8…
05-10 01:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x63bf61…
05-10 01:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x946d21…
05-10 00:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x79d541…
05-07 19:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x44b685…
05-06 15:36:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xec1a7d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$7.26K	278	05-12 22:53
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$12.3K	272	05-12 22:52
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	25	$2.05K	179	05-12 22:52
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	25	$1.17K	196	05-12 22:52
Angry-Suede 0x8692…fbac	25	$643	163	05-12 22:52
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	24	$918	107	05-12 22:52
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	23	$6.72K	83	05-12 22:51
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	23	$1.87K	86	05-12 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$10	43	+43	No	$-10	05-06 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-12 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	+$3	05-07 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-12 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-12 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$2	11	+11	Up	$-2	05-10 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 23:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	14	+14	Up	$-1	05-10 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	10	+10	Down	$-1	05-11 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Up	$-1	05-11 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$1	11	+11	Down	+$10	05-12 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$1	11	+11	Up	$-1	05-11 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-12 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$1	4	+4	Up	+$3	05-11 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-12 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	05-12 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	05-12 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$1	14	+14	Down	$-1	05-12 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$1	14	+14	open	—	05-12 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-12 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-12 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	05-12 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 23:37